KCN
11-03-2004, 08:53 PM
...Bush would have won the EC 281 to 257.
Some problems with this method that I discovered while calculating:
-Using this method, the only thing that matters is the net EV your state produces. If your state is split like MN or OH, then the value of your state's EV's is zero.
-States with an even number of EV's are at a huge disadvantage to states with an odd number, since states with an odd # will not produce a tie
-States that have 3 or 4 EV's take a significant change in % to switch one vote from one side to the other, while a handful of votes can switch several EV's for a state like California
-Instead of focusing on large population areas or swing states, the focus would be on which states had the best chance of rounding up to gain another EV. This puts random variables into play...variables which should not matter in a presidential election.
So with that I conclude that the voters in Colorado made the correct decision in voting it down.
In case you're curious:
Bush/Kerry:
AK 2 1
AL 6 3
AR 3 3
AZ 6 4
CA 25 30
CO 5 4
CT 3 4
DC 0 3
DE 1 2
FL 14 13
GA 9 6
HI 2 2
IA 4 3
ID 3 1
IL 9 12
IN 7 4
KS 4 2
KY 5 3
LA 5 4
MA 5 7
MD 4 6
ME 2 2
MI 8 9
MN 5 5
MO 6 5
MS 4 2
MT 2 1
NC 8 7
ND 2 1
NE 3 2
NH 2 2
NJ 7 8
NM 3 2
NV 3 2
NY 13 18
OH 10 10
OK 5 2
OR 3 4
PA 10 11
RI 2 2
SC 5 3
SD 2 1
TN 6 5
TX 21 13
UT 4 1
VA 7 6
VT 1 2
WA 5 6
WI 5 5
WV 3 2
WY 2 1
Some problems with this method that I discovered while calculating:
-Using this method, the only thing that matters is the net EV your state produces. If your state is split like MN or OH, then the value of your state's EV's is zero.
-States with an even number of EV's are at a huge disadvantage to states with an odd number, since states with an odd # will not produce a tie
-States that have 3 or 4 EV's take a significant change in % to switch one vote from one side to the other, while a handful of votes can switch several EV's for a state like California
-Instead of focusing on large population areas or swing states, the focus would be on which states had the best chance of rounding up to gain another EV. This puts random variables into play...variables which should not matter in a presidential election.
So with that I conclude that the voters in Colorado made the correct decision in voting it down.
In case you're curious:
Bush/Kerry:
AK 2 1
AL 6 3
AR 3 3
AZ 6 4
CA 25 30
CO 5 4
CT 3 4
DC 0 3
DE 1 2
FL 14 13
GA 9 6
HI 2 2
IA 4 3
ID 3 1
IL 9 12
IN 7 4
KS 4 2
KY 5 3
LA 5 4
MA 5 7
MD 4 6
ME 2 2
MI 8 9
MN 5 5
MO 6 5
MS 4 2
MT 2 1
NC 8 7
ND 2 1
NE 3 2
NH 2 2
NJ 7 8
NM 3 2
NV 3 2
NY 13 18
OH 10 10
OK 5 2
OR 3 4
PA 10 11
RI 2 2
SC 5 3
SD 2 1
TN 6 5
TX 21 13
UT 4 1
VA 7 6
VT 1 2
WA 5 6
WI 5 5
WV 3 2
WY 2 1