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View Full Version : Dollar Update.... Weak. Asia Stocks Down


nychief
11-30-2004, 10:31 PM
Dollar Weak, Asia Stocks Down
Tue Nov 30, 2004 10:05 PM ET
By Andrew Callus
SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Asian shares retreated on Wednesday, tracking losses in U.S. stocks, and pressured by a weak dollar which sat close to a record low struck against the euro late on Tuesday.

Crude oil prices dipped below $49 a barrel after an increase in U.S. heating fuel stocks eased supply concerns, while gold was flat above the key $450 an ounce support level.

Japanese government bonds moved up as stocks fell, but caution ahead of a 10-year auction on Thursday capped gains. U.S. Treasuries were flat following losses scored in the United States after technical levels were breached.

Dealers said the dollar would trade in tight ranges for a few days after weeks of heavy selling.

"The dollar remains in a correction phase from recent heavy selling, after hedge funds closed books for the year and European officials voiced concerns (over the euro's rise)," said Toshiaki Kimura, chief forex manager at Mitsubishi Trust and Banking.

European central bank chief Jean-Claude Trichet repeated on Tuesday that recent moves in the euro were not welcome, but also expressed confidence the United States would act to reduce the deficits which have been hurting dollar sentiment.

Those comments helped to push the euro to a fresh record high of $1.3336 overnight, but traders said there was now a lull in place ahead of Friday's key U.S. jobs data, which could provide clues to whether the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates later this month.

In Asian trade the dollar eased to $1.3291 against the euro, versus $1.3282 in late New York trade, and around 102.81 yen, from 103.08 in late U.S. trade but off a 4-1/2-year low of 102.15 yen hit on Friday.

RETAILERS WEAK

The dollar's persistent weakness weighed on stock markets in Asia as investors worried about the impact of strong local currencies and weak U.S. consumer confidence on their exports.

Tokyo's benchmark Nikkei average had fallen 1.02 percent by midday to 10,788.21, Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index fell 0.63 percent to 13,970.89, and an MSCI index of non-Japan shares fell 0.45 percent to 254.21.

World stocks as measured by the MSCI fell 0.11 percent to 273.88.

Asia's biggest retailer Aeon Co. and the department store chain Isetan dipped 3.0 and 3.3 percent, respectively, after a Goldman Sachs downgrade citing harsh domestic sales conditions for leading retailers.

Funai Electric Co., a major supplier of DVD players, televisions and other video equipment to Wal-Mart, fell 2.2 percent in the wake of a weak sales outlook from the number one U.S. retailer at the weekend. Shares in other export firms like Japan's Canon and South Korea's Samsung were down 1.1 percent and 1.7 percent respectively, leading the sector lower after private research company the Conference Board said U.S. consumer confidence had slipped to an eight-month low in November.

But Canon's rival Olympus Corp. rose 2.5 percent after it unveiled plans to launch a capsule endoscope in two years, aiming at a promising market for small cameras that patients swallow like pills to allow doctors to make internal examinations.

Singapore's Straits Times was up 0.31 percent.

Taiwan shares dipped more sharply than most after S&P cut the nation's debt rating outlook. The benchmark index fell 1.1 percent. Australia's S&P ASX 200 eased 0.23 percent and South Korea's KOSPI fell 0.22 percent.

The U.S. 10-year note was yielding 4.35 percent, unchanged from New York and the yield on 10-year JGB futures fell half a basis point to 1.44 percent.

Gold was flat compared with New York levels at $451. U.S oil prices as measured by January NYMEX crude futures dipped 14 cents to $48.99 a barrel.

U.S. stocks closed lower. The Dow Jones industrial average fell 0.46 percent and the Nasdaq Composite Index dropped 0.48 percent.

Slayer
11-30-2004, 10:36 PM
Yeah, the Euro is now worth $1.45...I sure hope the dollar gets stronger soon.

nychief
11-30-2004, 10:39 PM
Yeah, the Euro is now worth $1.45...I sure hope the dollar gets stronger soon.


you and me both.... rep. :thumb:

WoodDraw
11-30-2004, 10:44 PM
It's all about the deficit, baby. In the short term, this hurts the EU far more than it hurts us but it is a big concern. Hopefully this gets turned around before it causes some real harm.

jAZ
11-30-2004, 11:54 PM
Yeah, the Euro is now worth $1.45...
No it's not... http://www.xe.com/

Calcountry
12-01-2004, 10:58 AM
Yeah, the Euro is now worth $1.45...I sure hope the dollar gets stronger soon.
Why?

Calcountry
12-01-2004, 10:59 AM
you and me both.... rep. :thumb:
Why? Why is that rep worthy?

:shake:

Calcountry
12-01-2004, 11:00 AM
It's all about the deficit, baby. In the short term, this hurts the EU far more than it hurts us but it is a big concern. Hopefully this gets turned around before it causes some real harm.
What harm is going to be caused?

How?

Slayer
12-01-2004, 02:45 PM
Why?

I'm attempting to go to Europe for a year, so I'd like the dollar to be stronger by the time I trade them all in for Euros.

Calcountry
12-01-2004, 03:08 PM
I'm attempting to go to Europe for a year, so I'd like the dollar to be stronger by the time I trade them all in for Euros.
Thats a good answer.

But that is a micro economic answere as it pertains to you personally. I agree, that would suck for you. But why is the lower dollar going to hurt Americans as a whole, or in Macro economic since?

Which is what I thought you all were referring to?

Slayer
12-01-2004, 03:26 PM
Thats a good answer.

But that is a micro economic answere as it pertains to you personally. I agree, that would suck for you. But why is the lower dollar going to hurt Americans as a whole, or in Macro economic since?

Which is what I thought you all were referring to?

It probably won't do anything to America as a whole unless the Euro gets a lot stronger...so I'm not worried about that happening.

Saggysack
12-01-2004, 03:50 PM
No it's not... http://www.xe.com/

Maybe he is figuring the exchange rate and fees.

On europeonn vacations it is still better to use ATM's. The fees aren't quite as large as going and exchanging dollars to Euro's.

I sure do wish though that the Euro was still .88 like it was 3yrs ago rather than 1.33 like it is now.

In April the exchange rate was 1.19, it stayed that way, within a few cents throughout the year. This year the low IIRC was 1.09 in Feb.

Calcountry
12-01-2004, 03:54 PM
Maybe he is figuring the exchange rate and fees.

On europeonn vacations it is still better to use ATM's. The fees aren't quite as large as going and exchanging dollars to Euro's.

I sure do wish though that the Euro was still .88 like it was 3yrs ago rather than 1.33 like it is now.

In April the exchange rate was 1.19, it stayed that way, within a few cents throughout the year. This year the low IIRC was 1.09 in Feb.
The Europeans are welcome to reciprocate the bargains at American businesses this year. :thumb:

Saggysack
12-01-2004, 04:17 PM
The Europeans are welcome to reciprocate the bargains at American businesses this year. :thumb:

ROFL

Don't know why I find your statement funny but, for some reason I do.

I just don't see a larger influx of Europeon tourists than what we already have every year based on the dollars exchange rate. I personally know a French guy that came over here for a couple weeks in July, he was afraid to admit he was a frenchman. He told everyone he was from Montreal. I couldn't help but give him poopoo over his reluctance to admit his Frenchieness.

nychief
12-02-2004, 09:34 PM
I own property in spain, so I am directly shot in the ass by this.

jAZ
12-02-2004, 09:55 PM
Maybe he is figuring the exchange rate and fees.

On europeonn vacations it is still better to use ATM's. The fees aren't quite as large as going and exchanging dollars to Euro's.

I sure do wish though that the Euro was still .88 like it was 3yrs ago rather than 1.33 like it is now.

In April the exchange rate was 1.19, it stayed that way, within a few cents throughout the year. This year the low IIRC was 1.09 in Feb.
I think he's just ill informed... the xe is at its all time high right now at 1.33.

It's bad enough at 1.33, no need to exaggerate.

Saggysack
12-02-2004, 11:17 PM
I think he's just ill informed... the xe is at its all time high right now at 1.33.

It's bad enough at 1.33, no need to exaggerate.

I understand that xe.com shows a high of 1.33. It's 1.328 right now, but, that 1.32 is not what you would pay for 1 Euro. There are fees that are included when you buy currency. Let's take for instance the Euro. At 1.32, a rough estimate you would pay 1.45-1.50 per Euro depending on who you exchange thru. Credit and Debit card transactions are slightly cheaper than converting cash but they still cost you to.

Calcountry
12-04-2004, 10:21 AM
ROFL

Don't know why I find your statement funny but, for some reason I do.

I just don't see a larger influx of Europeon tourists than what we already have every year based on the dollars exchange rate. I personally know a French guy that came over here for a couple weeks in July, he was afraid to admit he was a frenchman. He told everyone he was from Montreal. I couldn't help but give him poopoo over his reluctance to admit his Frenchieness.
Everybody loves bargains, especially the French.

Saggysack
12-04-2004, 04:40 PM
Everybody loves bargains, especially the French.

Naw, I think it is the vast land space that brings them here. The WoW factor.

To clarify the frechie I know. He came here to help a friend with a start-up.