View Full Version : Gretz: And the Pick Is?

keg in kc
04-22-2005, 08:22 AM
GRETZ: And the Pick Is? (http://www.kcchiefs.com/news/2005/04/22/gretz_and_the_pick_is/)

Apr 22, 2005, 5:36:55 AM by Bob Gretz

OK, hereís one manís guess on what direction the Chiefs will go with their first-round choice, pick No. 15, in this weekendís annual NFL Draft.

Over more than 25 years of doing this, Iíve developed a method to my madness. Generally, my process begins with the big picture of where a teamís roster is, the age of those players and who is ascending and descending in ability.

But Carl Peterson has made things a bit easier this year, saying several times that the teamís draft will focus on defense and most especially in the first round. That narrows the field considerably.

Now, what are the chances of the Chiefs trading up from No. 15? Unlikely. The chances of the Chiefs trading down are better, but still not likely. Publicly and privately, the Chiefs believe a defensive player will fall to them that is worthy of the 15th slot.

The name the Commissioner announces for the Chiefs pick will depend on the teams ahead of them. This is always the most difficult part of the exercise, because there is so much misinformation thatís printed and spoken about when it comes to individual teams. Even insiders, who can reach the decision makers, often do not get the real deal; teams do not give this information away.

But one thing time has taught me is that the draft boards of NFL teams donít really vary that much. Seldom is there a case where a player is considered a top 15 pick by one team and not considered at least a first-round possibility by every other team.

The early drumbeats suggest there are at least eight offensive players expected to be taken early in the first round, probably in the first 10 to 12 picks: Quarterbacks Alex Smith and Aaron Rogers, running backs Ronnie Brown, Carnell Williams and Cedric Benson, wide receivers Braylon Edwards and Mike Williams and tackle Alex Baron. Thereís also the chance that another wideout, Troy Williamson could slip into the early picks.

So here are the defensive players generally considered among the top choices this year by NFL teams:

CB: Antrel Rolle, Miami; Adam Jones, West Virginia; Carlos Rogers, Auburn.
S: Thomas Davis, Georgia.
LB: Derrick Johnson, Texas.
DE-LB: DeMarcus Ware, Troy State; Shawne Merriman, Maryland; David Pollack, Georgia.
DE: Erasmus James, Wisconsin; Marcus Spears, LSU.
Now, by all accounts Rolle and Johnson will be gone by the time the Chiefs are on the clock. Jones and either Ware, Merriman or both should also be off the board. Combine those four with eight offensive players and thatís 12 names off the board. That means the Chiefs pick is among those defensive players remaining.

In his conversation with the media this past week, Peterson used the term ďimpact defensive player.Ē Itís tough to nail down a standard definition of what ďimpactĒ means, as one teamís impact defensive player may not fit another teamís scheme.

Thatís the case with guys like Ware, Merriman, Pollack and the Chiefs. These are guys that are probably best suited as an outside linebacker in the 3-4 defense. Ware has rare skills to get after the passer, but heís not big enough to play every down as a defensive end in the 4-3. Pollack has what the scouts call a ďgreat motorĒ but heís short for a defensive end in the 4-3. Are they impact players? Sure, but obviously they would have a greater effect on a team using a 3-4 defense.

So with those names not fitting the picture, the focus falls on Rogers, Davis, James and Spears. Of those four names, Rogers, Davis and James are ďimpactĒ players.

Rogers is considered by many teams the best ďpureĒ corner in the draft, as some teams think Rolle is more suited to safety. Heís got the ideal size at 6-0, 195 pounds with good speed in the 40-yard dash. Playing in the SEC, Rogers started 44 games for Auburn.

Davis also played in the SEC at Georgia, starting 25 of the 39 games (he left with a year of eligibility remaining.) Some of those games he played at linebacker and some NFL teams think he can play there with his 6-1, 230 pound frame. Heís a major hitter, although not much of a ball hawk.

James does not have an extensive football background, as he played only one year in high school and missed the 2003 Wisconsin season with a hip injury. When heís gotten on the field, heís made things happen. He has excellent athletic ability and at 265 pounds, he can add some weight.

Itís doubtful that Rogers, Davis and James will all be there. If they are, it should be quite a discussion in the Chiefs draft room.

Figure the Chiefs choice to be one of those three.

siberian khatru
04-22-2005, 08:28 AM
Come on, Bobby, pick one!

the Talking Can
04-22-2005, 08:31 AM
man, going out on a limb...

04-22-2005, 10:07 AM
I believe that we can dismiss the pure DEs. The time to pick up one would have been two years ago, but the best ones were gone when it came our time to choose. Pollack may be able to be used as a DE but I would see the other two as a strongside LB that we would use much like Gunther used Derrick Thomas. I would have to say that Davis would be a possibility to play the weakside LB role, but that our most likely selection, even with Surtain in the fold is a top corner. There, already went out on a limb more than Gretz. It just depends who is there at #15 as we no longer have the option of moving up.

04-22-2005, 10:12 AM
Who is Erasamus James?

kc rush
04-22-2005, 10:31 AM
Who is Erasamus James?

Gretz is an idiot. Everyone knows that it is Erasamus Jones.

04-22-2005, 11:10 AM
I wanted Carlos Rogers all along. But with the Surtain trade, I'm beginning to lean toward DeMarcus Ware, dreaming about a second coming of DT.