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JimNasium
07-02-2005, 11:42 AM
Has this been posted?

http://msn.foxsports.com/fantasy/story/3696342

Mr. Laz
07-02-2005, 11:45 AM
don't think so...



Sleepers: Running backs
Roger Rotter / FOXSports.com
Posted: 7 days ago

Every backup running back is essentially a sleeper and should be drafted as insurance to the starter in case of injuries or poor play. However, some running backs may be overlooked and have a better chance of starting than others. The best sleeper running backs were analyzed and evaluated on the basis of system, role, talent, yardage ceiling and touchdown ceiling on a scale of 10.
This is the breakdown of yardage and touchdown ceilings. If the running back is projected to rush for 1,000 yards when given the opportunity with his current team, then he will be given a 10. If the back is projected to score 10 touchdowns when given the chance with his current team, then he is assigned a 10.


Sleeper Scale
1,000 yards = 10 10 TD = 10
900 yards = 9 9 TD = 9
800 yards = 8 8 TD = 8
700 yards = 7 7 TD = 7
600 yards = 6 6 TD = 6
500 yards = 5 5 TD = 5
400 yards = 4 4 TD = 4
300 yards = 3 3 TD = 3
200 yards = 2 2 TD = 2
100 yards = 1 1 TD = 1

1. Larry Johnson, Kansas City
System: 10
Role: 9
Talent: 9
Yardage: 10
Touchdown: 10
Total: 48
Kansas City's rushing attack barely missed a beat when superstar Priest Holmes missed the last eight games. The Chiefs still finished as the league's fifth-best rushing offense, thanks to backup Larry Johnson's prowess at the season's finish. Given the featured back role, he averaged 146.2 total yards and scored 10 touchdowns during the last five games. That projects to 1,594 rushing yards, 746 receiving yards and 32 touchdowns over 16 games. If Holmes misses any games with injuries, Johnson will be ready to be one of fantasy's top backs in his place. Don't wait too long to draft this vindicated back.

2. Maurice Clarett, Denver
System: 10
Role: 9
Talent: 7
Yardage: 10
Touchdown: 10
Total: 46
Second-year pro Tatum Bell is currently listed as Denver's starting running back. But if he becomes injured or plays poorly, then look for Clarett to vie for the starting spot. He impressed in minicamp with his running skills and vision. Bell may be more impressive physically with his size and speed, but Clarett is a more skilled runner. Bell also had several injuries in his rookie season, missing two games because of a broken finger and strained hamstring. He also had sore ribs and separated shoulder that limited his playing time. Denver's system has made average rookie running backs like Mike Anderson (1,487 yards and 15 TDs) and Olandis Gary (1,159 and seven TDs) into fantasy stars. Clarett could be the next great Denver rookie runner. Even though Clarett is competing against Bell, Quentin Griffin and Mike Anderson for a starting spot, he offers the best package of running skills and physical size. Clarett is worth taking a late-round flyer in case Bell becomes injured or disappoints.

3. Najeh Davenport, Green Bay
System: 8
Role: 7
Talent: 8
Yardage: 10
Touchdown: 10
Total: 43
Ahman Green missed one game and parts of others with a rib injury last season. He also battled other injuries last season and had his fewest carries and yards since 1999. The Packers replaced him with Davenport and/or Tony Fisher in every game. Davenport impressed the most of the three, averaging 5.1 yards per carry compared to Green's 4.5. With Green's off-the-field misconduct, he may be distracted and unfocused this season. The Packers' system features the running back prominently in the rushing and passing game and will provide some touchdown chances, too. When Green missed the Monday night game against St. Louis in Week 12, Davenport gained 178 yards and one touchdown on only 19 carries, averaging 9.4 yards per game. If Green is injured again or plays poorly, expect the powerful Davenport (6-1, 250 pounds) to flourish as the starter.


Green Bay backup running back Najeh Davenport filled in for Ahman Green, who was out for one game and parts of others last season with a rib injury. (Matthew Stockman / Getty Images)


4. Mewelde Moore, Minnesota
System: 7
Role: 7
Talent: 7
Yardage: 9
Touchdown: 7
Total: 37
Michael Bennett may be the starter, but he has missed 13 games in the past two seasons with ankle and knee injuries. Bennett has played a full 16-game only once in his four-year career. Expect Moore to become the No. 1 back. Moore flourished as the featured back during Onterrio Smith's four-game suspension (Weeks 5-8). He averaged 113 rushing yards and 66 receiving yards in three of those games. However, Moore lost his starting spot when he missed four games with an ankle injury. At 6-0 3/4 and 207 pounds, Ciatrick Fason is more imposing than Moore (5-11 and 209) and fared well at Florida in one of top conferences (SEC). He ran for 1,267 yards and 12 TDs. However, Fason played only one full season at Florida and is inexperienced. He needs to learn the pass-blocking schemes to pick up blitzes, and he may not learn those until midseason. Moore offers the best combo of talent, health, experience and productivity than Bennett, Fason or Moe Williams (who is a third-down back).

5. Ricky Williams, Miami
System: 5
Role: 5
Talent: 8
Yardage: 10
Touchdown: 7
Total: 35
No. 1 pick Ronnie Brown will start in Miami. If Williams successfully joins the Dolphins and serves his four-game suspension, he will be a candidate to start if Brown becomes injured or becomes the subject of trade offers. Owners can make Williams a last-round sleeper. After all, how many running backs drafted in the final rounds posted a season of 1,853 yards and 16 touchdowns?

6. Correll Buckhalter, Philadelphia
System: 7
Role: 5
Talent: 6
Yardage: 7
Touchdown: 8
Total: 33
Buckhalter has missed two of the last three seasons with torn knee ligaments. He was expected to carry some of the rushing load last year, but is being counted on to accomplish that this year. Expect him to be the goal-line back as part of his rushing duties. The third-year pro scored eight rushing touchdowns in '03 as Westbrook scored only three rushing TDs. Buckhalter is a straight-ahead, in-between tackles runner suited for short yardages while Brian Westbrook is a scatback, darting runner outside the tackles rusher with excellent receiving skills.

7. Marcel Shipp, Arizona
System: 5
Role: 6
Talent: 6
Yardage: 8
Touchdown: 5
Total: 30
Shipp is competing with rookie favorite J.J. Arrington and veteran Troy Hambrick for the starting position. Before his season-ending ankle injury in August last season, Shipp was one of Arizona's few bright spots. As an example of his productivity, he ran for 165 and 141 yards in back-to-back games in '03. He also had 38 catches for 413 yards in '02. Shipp can be an everydown back, evident by his hard-nosed running and receiving skills. Unlike Arrington, he has a track record in the pros. Plus, Arrington might be better suited as a receiving back with his smaller stature (5-11, 210 pounds). Shipp may be overlooked on draft day, but he can finish as Arizona's starting running back.

8. Derrick Blaylock, New York Jets
System: 7
Role: 6
Talent: 6
Yardage: 8
Touchdown: 8
Total: 32
Curtis Martin had a career-high 371 carries last season, giving him a total of 3,298 carries for his career. He's entering his 11th season at age 32. All are cause for worry that he may miss some games this season with an injury. In his favor, he has not missed a game in six straight seasons and led the NFL in rushing last year. In case Martin cannot play, backup Derrick Blaylock can be nearly as productive as Martin. Blaylock ran for 186 yards and one touchdown in his first start for Kansas City last year.

9. Labrandon Toefield, Jacksonville
System: 5
Role: 5
Talent: 5
Yardage: 8
Touchdown: 5
Total: 28
Fred Taylor is out with a knee injury and may miss training camp and the preseason. Toefield is the Jaguars top backup. He was unimpressive last season, averaging only 3.3 yards per carry. But that may have been because of Jacksonville's offensive struggles. Viewing the positive, Toefield averaged 4.0 yards in his rookie season and caught 28 passes last year, showing all-around skills necessary for a full-time back. Recently, Jacksonville's starting running back has been productive in yardage, but not in scoring. Taylor ran for 1,224 yards and had three touchdowns last season. While averaging 1,370 rushing yards, Taylor has only averaged six touchdowns in the past three seasons. If Taylor misses any of the regular season, Toefield will be productive as a No. 3 back. Owners may use Toefield as their second back against weak defenses.

10. Brandon Jacobs, New York Giants
System: 5
Role: 3
Talent: 6
Yardage: 2
Touchdown: 9
Total: 25
This rookie is 6-4 and 260 pounds and was a former No. 3 running back in Auburn's loaded backfield before transferring to Southern Illinois. He averaged 6.6 yards per carry and scored 19 touchdowns last year. He's the ideal power runner and short-yardage back that coach Tom Coughlin covets for goal-line carries. Coughlin used Stacey Mack as the goal-line back at Jacksonville. Mack scored nine touchdowns in '02 even though Fred Taylor was the featured back. In fact, Ron Dayne and Dorsey Levens have attempted to replace Barber as the goal-line back, but they were ineffective. This time, Jacobs may successfully take Tiki Barber's goal-line carries away. That will make Jacobs a valuable No. 3 back in deep leagues and a force in touchdown leagues.

Hydrae
07-02-2005, 11:54 AM
An interesting read. I notice that Travis Henry is not on the list, guess they are assuming he will be somewhere other than Buffalo and starting this year. :shrug:

Oh, and putting a rookie with no experience at #2 is nucking futs.

JimNasium
07-02-2005, 11:59 AM
An interesting read. I notice that Travis Henry is not on the list, guess they are assuming he will be somewhere other than Buffalo and starting this year. :shrug:

Oh, and putting a rookie with no experience at #2 is nucking futs.
For some reason the media thinks the Rat cannot fail at RB.