PDA

View Full Version : Sleepers: wide receivers


Mr. Laz
07-13-2005, 01:06 PM
Sleepers: Wide Receivers

Roger Rotter / FOXSports.com
Posted: 1 day ago


Grabbing sleeper receivers in the late rounds affords the opportunity to snag running backs early and often in the draft.

Stock up on at least three backs early and leave a chance to find a third receiver in the final rounds.

The best sleeper receivers were analyzed and evaluated on the basis of the offensive system, role, talent, yardage ceiling and touchdown ceiling on a scale of 10.

This is the breakdown of yardage and touchdown ceilings. If the wide receiver is projected to rush for 1,000 yards when given the opportunity with his current team, then he will be given a 10. If the back is projected to score 10 touchdowns when given the chance with his current team, then he is assigned a 10.


Sleeper Scale
1,000 yards = 10 10 TD = 10
900 yards = 9 9 TD = 9
800 yards = 8 8 TD = 8
700 yards = 7 7 TD = 7
600 yards = 6 6 TD = 6
500 yards = 5 5 TD = 5
400 yards = 4 4 TD = 4
300 yards = 3 3 TD = 3
200 yards = 2 2 TD = 2
100 yards = 1 1 TD = 1

1. T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Cincinnati
System: 6
Role: 5
Talent: 6
Yardage: 8
Touchdown: 9
Total: 34
The fourth-year Bengal receiver emerged last season after injuries derailed his '03 season when he played only two games. Starting 13 games last season, Houshmandzadeh emerged as the Bengals' No. 2 receiver with 73 catches for 798 yards and four touchdowns, replacing the injured Peter Warrick. He had two stellar back-to-back games in Weeks 13 and 14, totaling 22 catches for 316 yards and one touchdown. He offers size (6-1 and 197 pounds) opposite No. 1 receiver Chad Johnson. As Carson Palmer enters the upper echelon of quarterbacks, he'll be looking for Houshmandzadeh as one of the primary targets. Grab him as your third receiver and you'll receive stats worthy of a No. 2 wideout.


2. Freddie Mitchell, Kansas City
System: 8
Role: 5
Talent: 5
Yardage: 7
Touchdown: 7
Total: 32

Mitchell may be the Chihuahua of fantasy players, but he can step up to a York Terrier. He will serve as the possession receiver, replacing Johnnie Morton. Eddie Kennison will go deep while Mitchell runs the underneath routes. He competed for catches in Philly, but never formalized his role. Since defenses focus on stopping Priest Holmes and covering Tony Gonzalez, Mitchell can be free to roam inside. Morton gained highs of 795 yards and four touchdowns with the Chiefs. Mitchell can match those stats in a similar role.


3. Keary Colbert, Carolina
System: 5
Role: 6
Talent: 7
Yardage: 8
Touchdown: 5
Total: 31
This second-year Panthers receiver is replacing the departed Muhsin Muhammad and his last season's stats of 1,405 yards and 16 touchdowns. Although the Panthers are a run-first offense, quarterback Jake Delhomme is effective. Steve Smith returns from injury and will be the deep threat while Colbert will replace Muhammad as a possession receiver. He can gain 1,000 yards after having 754 yards and five touchdowns as a rookie last season.

4. David Terrell, New England
System: 7
Role: 5
Talent: 7
Yardage: 6
Touchdown: 6
Total: 31
The departure of David Patten removes 800 yards and seven touchdowns from New England's offense. Newly-acquired David Terrell can replace those stats. He will likely be the No. 3 receiver behind Deion Branch and David Givens. Drafted No. 8 overall in the 2001 draft, he is a talented receiver with size, speed and catching ability. Chicago has not been a home for fantasy receivers, so New England will likely utilize Terrell better in its system. At 6-3, he can be a red-zone threat for the Pats. Quarterback Tom Brady played with Terrell and threw 61 passes for 888 yards and four touchdowns to him in 1999.


5. Cedrick Wilson, Pittsburgh
System: 7
Role: 5
Talent: 6
Yardage: 6
Touchdown: 6
Total: 30
The departure of Plaxico Burress means 698 yards and five touchdowns leave with him to New York. Antaawn Randle El, who had 601 yards and three touchdowns last season, will likely be the second receiver. Wilson had 641 yards and three touchdowns for San Francisco last season. Pittsburgh's system uses three receivers. Wilson, at the very least, can fulfill the role of a third receiver. Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger should improve in his second season, helping the stats of all the Steelers' receivers.


Greg Lewis emerged in the playoffs last season, culiminating in four catches for 53 yards and one touchdown in the Super Bowl. (Harry How / Getty Images)


6. Greg Lewis, Philadelphia
System: 7
Role: 5
Talent: 6
Yardage: 7
Touchdown: 5
Total: 30
Rumors of Terrell Owens being traded has made Greg Lewis' value skyrocket. If Owens is absent, Lewis will be most likely to take his spot with his size (6-0, 180 pounds) and speed. Quarterback Donovan McNabb completes quick passes to receivers so they can gain yards after the catch in Philly's West Coast offense. Lewis is more explosive than the slight Todd Pinkston, likely helping him break longer gains. Lewis had eight catches for 182 yards and one touchdown in last year's three playoff games. Those stats project to 971 yards and five touchdowns for 16 games.

7. Joe Jurevicius, Seattle
System: 7
Role: 4
Talent: 5
Yardage: 7
Touchdown: 5
Total: 28
Jurevicius is the most likely candidate to replace the role of the released Koren Robinson. The lanky seven-year vet looms large at 6-5 and catches better than Robinson. Receiver Bobby Engram may start opposite No. 1 receiver Darrell Jackson, but lacks size (5-10). Jurevicius remains a better red zone target and deep threat and will likely be used extensively in Seattle's common three-receiver sets . However, on the down side, he's missed 17 games with injuries in the past two seasons. When healthy, he flashed his potential during Tampa Bay's '02 Super Bowl run when he had eight catches for 197 yards over three playoff games. Robinson averaged 877 yards and four touchdowns in his three seasons. Jurevicius is most likely to replace those stats.

8. Brandon Lloyd, San Francisco
After catching 43 passes for 535 yards and six touchdowns in his second season, Lloyd can have his breakout season as the 49ers' No. 1 receiver. His only veteran competition is Johnnie Morton, who's slated as a possession receiver more than the featured one. San Francisco's defense is expected to be one of the league's worst, so aerial shootouts may be in store. Lloyd can reach 1,000 yards based on opportunity to start and need to throw.
System: 3
Role: 4
Talent: 5
Yardage: 8
Touchdown: 7
Total: 27


9. Kevin Curtis, St. Louis
System: 9
Role: 3
Talent: 5
Yardage: 5
Touchdown: 5
Total: 27
Curtis totaled an astounding 17 catches for 334 yards and one touchdown over the past three games, including the playoffs. Quarterback Marc Bulger is likely to improve in his fifth year and third full season as a starter. This offense features two perennial 1,000-yard receivers Torry Holt and Isaac Bruce. However, Bruce is entering his 12th season and battled injuries at the season's end, helping pave Curtis' noteworthy stats. During the past seven years, St. Louis' most productive No. 3 receiver was Az-Zahir Hakim. He registered highs of 734 yards and eight touchdowns in his four seasons in St. Louis. Draft Curtis and play him against favorable defenses. A 100-yard game may be in store.

10. Mark Clayton, Baltimore
System: 3
Role: 4
Talent: 7
Yardage: 7
Touchdown: 4
Total: 25
Rookie receivers usually post mediocre stats, but last year's class of Michael Clayton, Lee Evans, Larry Fitzgerald, Keary Colbert and Roy Williams was successful. Their yards ranged between 754 and 1,193 yards and touchdowns were between five and nine. Baltimore provides an opportunity for Oklahoma's Mark Clayton to shine. He will be paired with veteran Derrick Mason. He is polished for a first-year receiver, posting school records of 83 passes for 1,425 yards and 15 touchdowns in his junior season. Baltimore's offense will likely improve in quarterback Kyle Boller's third season.

Roger Rotter is entering his ninth season of covering fantasy sports, having dispensed advice as Dr. Gridiron, Hector the Projector and himself. He's dreamed of becoming an astronaut and now is a fantasy editor for Fox Sports

nascher
07-13-2005, 01:15 PM
if he gets 800y it would be a real bargain for the vet min.

Miles
07-13-2005, 01:18 PM
I really like Greg Lewis's potential but I could see him turning into another mediocre Eagles WR.

BigChiefFan
07-13-2005, 01:19 PM
I think Mitchell is rated too high on that list, but I'd loved to be proven wrong.

the Talking Can
07-13-2005, 01:32 PM
is this the first of April?


Mitchell?

milkman
07-13-2005, 02:04 PM
I think Mitchell is rated too high on that list, but I'd loved to be proven wrong.

I would agree.

Fact is, I will still be surprised to see Mitchell make the cut, and fantasy owners are going to be pissed if they draft him when does get released.

Mile High Mania
07-13-2005, 03:46 PM
Lloyd should have been a breakout last year, I wouldn't put him in this category with that offense and a rookie QB.

Mitchell... he's a sleeper every year, problem is he never wakes up.

Greg Lewis... I dunno, not sold on him.

I think the others are solid sleepers though.

whoman69
07-13-2005, 03:50 PM
I have my doubts about making the team as well. He seems to be another Quentin Caver, a high round draft pick from another team we took a chance on but will never live up to the hype of his draft position. I think we have better on the team to serve as a #3 receiver.

Pitt Gorilla
07-13-2005, 03:57 PM
I'm warming to Mitchell playing well for the Chiefs. He provides the big receiver that our team lacks, sans Bo. Honestly, he may be a better fit than Hakim would have been. We'll see how he does versus Thorpe and Smith.

Mile High Mania
07-13-2005, 04:05 PM
Isn't FredEx like 5'11 and 190 or so?

Anyong Bluth
07-13-2005, 04:09 PM
IF he doesn't make the cut then I think our # 2, whoever it is should be on this list. But in this offense and the other weapons, 800 yards is not hard for a do in terms of talent needed, but more a ? of number of balls to go around.

Priest, Tony, Wilson, LJ, Kennison, TRich, Dante, Parker, Boerichter.... Smith?

Freddie is walking into an even cherryier deal than he had in Philly - A QB that doesn't have laser focus on one WR and a much better offense to showcase.

I'm kind of indifferent about his signing, but like Pitt. He has a lot of the same things going for him that EK had when he came here and he's been more than servicable. Am I wrong, and I may be, but FM doesn't have the stonehands Morton exhibited sometimes....?

milkman
07-13-2005, 04:49 PM
IF he doesn't make the cut then I think our # 2, whoever it is should be on this list. But in this offense and the other weapons, 800 yards is not hard for a do in terms of talent needed, but more a ? of number of balls to go around.

Priest, Tony, Wilson, LJ, Kennison, TRich, Dante, Parker, Boerichter.... Smith?

Freddie is walking into an even cherryier deal than he had in Philly - A QB that doesn't have laser focus on one WR and a much better offense to showcase.

I'm kind of indifferent about his signing, but like Pitt. He has a lot of the same things going for him that EK had when he came here and he's been more than servicable. Am I wrong, and I may be, but FM doesn't have the stonehands Morton exhibited sometimes....?

What CrapEx lacks in stone, he more than makes up for in air, as in he ain't got the brains to get a grasp of this offense.

Pitt Gorilla
07-13-2005, 04:57 PM
Isn't FredEx like 5'11 and 190 or so?Yeah, I guess you're right; I always thought he looked bigger than that. Maybe it was the mohawk.

JimNasium
07-13-2005, 08:35 PM
I hope Parker ends up being our sleeper and Fredex ends up being our third or fourth most productive receiver.

Bowser
07-13-2005, 08:38 PM
I really wish Keary Colbert played for the Chiefs.

milkman
07-13-2005, 08:47 PM
I hope Parker ends up being our sleeper and Fredex ends up being our third or fourth most productive receiver.

If I were playing fantasy football, Samie is a guy I'd take a late round flyer on, because I think he's going to have a breakout season.

I'd avoid CrapEx like the plague.

Wile_E_Coyote
07-13-2005, 09:05 PM
keep f'n doubting Freddie Mitchell

http://rds.yahoo.com/S=96062883/K=Freddie+Mitchell/v=2/SID=w/l=IVI/SIG=13f8n349k/EXP=1121396379/*-http%3A//www.lincolnfinancialfield.com/uploads/photos/perm/main/BPHCEOMEDLKN/potg2_040111.jpg

milkman
07-13-2005, 09:07 PM
keep f' doubting Freddie Mitchell

http://rds.yahoo.com/S=96062883/K=Freddie+Mitchell/v=2/SID=w/l=IVI/SIG=13f8n349k/EXP=1121396379/*-http%3A//www.lincolnfinancialfield.com/uploads/photos/perm/main/BPHCEOMEDLKN/potg2_040111.jpg

Trust me, I will.

Wile_E_Coyote
07-13-2005, 09:08 PM
Trust me, I will.

or "Fredex"
or "First-Down Freddie"
or "The People's Champ"
:cuss:

RedThat
07-13-2005, 09:10 PM
Trust me, I will.

I will too. And if I witness his crappy old self in KC, I will call FedEx to ship his a** out.

eazyb81
07-13-2005, 09:13 PM
I think Brandon Lloyd, Charles Rogers, and Donte Stallworth should be considered sleepers over a lot of these guys.

Wasn't Houshmanzadah a breakout player last year? Why would he have a better season after losing his starting spot to Peter Warrick?

Anyong Bluth
07-13-2005, 09:16 PM
Donte Stallworth is more hype and "promise" than Fred. That guys just doesn't do a thing

Chiefnj
07-13-2005, 09:26 PM
Donte Stallworth is more hype and "promise" than Fred. That guys just doesn't do a thing

Ummm, wrong.

Donte's first 3 years in the NFL:
125 receptions, 1846 yards and 16 TDs.

Mitchells first 3 years in the league:
68 receptions, 886 yards and 3 TDs.

Mitchell's entire career of 4 years is still significantly lower than Donte's three years:

90 receptions for 1263 yards and 5 TDs.

He does about double of Fred.

Miles
07-13-2005, 09:43 PM
Donte Stallworth is more hype and "promise" than Fred. That guys just doesn't do a thing

Yea, he always has some kind of nagging injury and has terrible hands at times. Though he did have a few big games last year.

Though he has more potential and has produced better than FredEX.

Nzoner
07-13-2005, 09:47 PM
I would agree.

Fact is, I will still be surprised to see Mitchell make the cut, and fantasy owners are going to be pissed if they draft him when does get released.

The very reason we always wait until final cuts to have our draft.

keg in kc
07-13-2005, 09:53 PM
A change of scenery might be good for mitchell. He and McNair didn't get along and he's going from a Philly offense without much firepower outside of McNair and Owens to being a part of a unit with four or five viable weapons. If he makes the squad and shows enough to earn a role, I don't think numbers equivalent to what Morton did are out of the realm of possibility. But I also think the same is true of Sammie Parker.

And I'm not sure it has to be an either/or situation. To be honest, I don't think it would necessarily be bad for Tony Gonzalez's catch total to drop back to 70-80. Pair that kind of output with Kennison, Parker and now Mitchell all in the 40-60 reception range and I think we're that much more difficult to stop, along with a few catches for Dante Hall and Kris Wilson.

Hard to read, though. I could see Mitchell not even on the squad when they break camp. But I could also see him starting.

CosmicPal
07-13-2005, 11:19 PM
A change of scenery might be good for mitchell. He and McNair didn't get along and he's going from a Philly offense without much firepower outside of McNair and Owens to being a part of a unit with four or five viable weapons. If he makes the squad and shows enough to earn a role, I don't think numbers equivalent to what Morton did are out of the realm of possibility. But I also think the same is true of Sammie Parker.

And I'm not sure it has to be an either/or situation. To be honest, I don't think it would necessarily be bad for Tony Gonzalez's catch total to drop back to 70-80. Pair that kind of output with Kennison, Parker and now Mitchell all in the 40-60 reception range and I think we're that much more difficult to stop, along with a few catches for Dante Hall and Kris Wilson.

Hard to read, though. I could see Mitchell not even on the squad when they break camp. But I could also see him starting.

I think you meant McNabb

Anyong Bluth
07-14-2005, 12:53 AM
Ummm, wrong.

Donte's first 3 years in the NFL:
125 receptions, 1846 yards and 16 TDs.

Mitchells first 3 years in the league:
68 receptions, 886 yards and 3 TDs.

Mitchell's entire career of 4 years is still significantly lower than Donte's three years:

90 receptions for 1263 yards and 5 TDs.

He does about double of Fred.

You're not following what I said. I simply was saying that Stallworth has been talked up year after year, and he never steps out of the shadow of Horn. Most of the hype about Fred comes from him, and no one I know thinks Donte has less "potential" than FM. Stop dumping on posts without letting the comment within context soak in, b/c all I said was this guy has been pimped every year and never does squat proportionally to what FM is percieved and does.

Anyone that plays FF should surely agree since you have to pay attention to their numbers v perceived worth

EAD

Rausch
07-14-2005, 01:05 AM
I don't agree with any of the names on that list.

J Diddy
07-14-2005, 02:07 AM
I don't agree with any of the names on that list.


But who cares?

This is the beauty of America.


:)

oaklandhater
07-14-2005, 06:03 AM
I really wish Keary Colbert played for the Chiefs.


Same here im still pissed that the chiefs would have there Wide receiver,
Woes gone if they would have taken him over Kris wilson.

htismaqe
07-14-2005, 06:26 AM
Tony G thinks Mitchell is going to break out this year.

I'll go with that.

eazyb81
07-14-2005, 06:58 AM
You're not following what I said. I simply was saying that Stallworth has been talked up year after year, and he never steps out of the shadow of Horn. Most of the hype about Fred comes from him, and no one I know thinks Donte has less "potential" than FM. Stop dumping on posts without letting the comment within context soak in, b/c all I said was this guy has been pimped every year and never does squat proportionally to what FM is percieved and does.

Anyone that plays FF should surely agree since you have to pay attention to their numbers v perceived worth

EAD

I got Stallworth in the 13th round of my draft this year, I think that is great value for him. Obviously you don't want to reach for Stallworth (which many FF owners have done in past years), but he is worth the gamble if you can get him late. Eventually, Horn is going to break down, and Donte will be there to take over as the #1.

RedThat
07-14-2005, 07:59 AM
Tony G thinks Mitchell is going to break out this year.

I'll go with that.

Tony G also said our defense was going to be a top 10 defense last year, I'd rather prefer he keeps his mouth shut.

keg in kc
07-14-2005, 08:20 AM
I think you meant McNabbI think you're correct.

milkman
07-14-2005, 07:04 PM
Tony G thinks Mitchell is going to break out this year.

I'll go with that.

I was going to ask what exactly did Tony see of CrapEx to make him think that?

What was it, 1 or 2 workouts?

But this works also.

Tony G also said our defense was going to be a top 10 defense last year, I'd rather prefer he keeps his mouth shut.

I'm not sure that Tony isn't a homer!