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cdcox
11-03-2005, 11:35 PM
www.nfl-forecast.com

rep to the first person who tells me the average round the Chiefs will be drafting in.

Simplex3
11-03-2005, 11:43 PM
Uh, every round?

cdcox
11-03-2005, 11:45 PM
Uh, every round?

Look in the first column after the team name.

Count Zarth
11-03-2005, 11:45 PM
19.2854!

elvomito
11-03-2005, 11:47 PM
19.3208?

NJ Chief Fan
11-03-2005, 11:47 PM
1st...we draft some corner coming out of north east central alaska state

DAMMIT CARL :cuss:

Taco John
11-03-2005, 11:47 PM
I couldn't get it to work right. It had the Broncos beating the Giants, and when I clicked forcast the rest of the season, it kind of hung there and did nothing...

Count Zarth
11-03-2005, 11:48 PM
I couldn't get it to work right. It had the Broncos beating the Giants, and when I clicked forcast the rest of the season, it kind of hung there and did nothing...

You have to give it a minute.

Taco John
11-03-2005, 11:50 PM
I did... Several times

cdcox
11-03-2005, 11:51 PM
I couldn't get it to work right. It had the Broncos beating the Giants, and when I clicked forcast the rest of the season, it kind of hung there and did nothing...

Don't know what you mean by "It had the Broncos beating the Giants".

Did it give you results?

If not, what kind of box are you running?

cdcox
11-03-2005, 11:53 PM
I ended up giving rep to Simplex3, gochiefs, and elvomito.

TJ is in line as soon as we get it running right on his system.

Thanks, guys.

cdcox
11-03-2005, 11:54 PM
I did... Several times

Did you download the power ratings first? You have to do that to activate the Forecast ability.

NJ Chief Fan
11-04-2005, 12:00 AM
where do i download the power rankings

Taco John
11-04-2005, 12:01 AM
ah, nevermind... I figured it out.

Boy, If this work, I expect you guys to have a nice second half surge, even with a loss this weekend.

cdcox
11-04-2005, 12:03 AM
where do i download the power rankings

Menu -> PowerRatings -> Download Power Ratings

cdcox
11-04-2005, 12:08 AM
By the way, you will get slightly different numbers each time you run the software. The outcome of each game, and each season, and each simulation are randomly determined. Each season is simulated 5000 times, but still there can be a little variability from run to run.

NJ Chief Fan
11-04-2005, 12:15 AM
im havin some major technical difficulties with this...i download the program and then open the file and all it does is say in a little box

pro-football forecaster

nfl-forecaster.com

elvomito
11-04-2005, 12:23 AM
when it forecasts the rest of the season, it doesn't fill in the toggles for the remaining games... like its computing the postseason stuff based on current stats

NJ Chief Fan
11-04-2005, 12:29 AM
got it running...had to upgrade my java

cdcox
11-04-2005, 07:11 AM
when it forecasts the rest of the season, it doesn't fill in the toggles for the remaining games... like its computing the postseason stuff based on current stats

The software simulates the season 5000 times. Each time, the outcome of the games is determined randomly. It's not completely random - good teams will usually beat bad teams. But since every season has a different winner of the games, it wouldn't make sense to toggle the unplayed games. Very soon, I'll list the probabilities of teach team winning based once the power ratings are entered.

Count Zarth
11-04-2005, 07:17 AM
even with a loss this weekend.

Who the f*ck says we're losing this weekend?

DaFace
11-04-2005, 09:03 AM
19.3646, but I'm a little late. Fun software, though. Thanks!

DaFace
11-04-2005, 09:27 AM
One question, can this be run locally (by saving the file), or should I just link from the web page each time?

cdcox
11-04-2005, 09:30 AM
One question, can this be run locally (by saving the file), or should I just link from the web page each time?


If you save the file you can run it from your machine, but it has to access the internet to get the data (schedule, game results, and power ratings).

Count Zarth
11-04-2005, 09:33 AM
If you save the file you can run it from your machine, but it has to access the internet to get the data (schedule, game results, and power ratings).

SPYWARE!!!111one

joesomebody
11-04-2005, 09:52 AM
20.138

I put in guesses for this Sunday/Monday

cdcox
11-04-2005, 09:53 AM
SPYWARE!!!111one

I'm sure that you are aware of the security features of Java Web Start that prevents a JWS app from doing stuff like that.

Some users might like to save forecasts between sessions. That would require a certificate process, in which the user would have to trust me not to do anything malicious. I probably won't offer that feature unless there is a huge demand for it.

cdcox
11-04-2005, 04:46 PM
I pinged Football Outsiders with a link and got an email in return that they were checking it out. It will be interesting to see if I hear from them again.