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Mr. Laz
12-08-2005, 02:12 PM
Aikman rankings for Week 13
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Troy Aikman / FOX Sports
Posted: 54 minutes ago

People have asked me what led me to thinking about creating the Aikman Ratings and I have to say it came from my own experience as a quarterback.

When I was with the Cowboys, we knew that we entered each season handicapped by our philosophy from ranking at the top of the NFL.
Now don't get me wrong, I'll take three Super Bowl rings and all that goes with it over ranking first in the NFL in offense. However, we knew that since our offense featured a strong running game that would be utilized frequently to wisely protect leads that we were not going to be able to compete in the sheer acquisition of yards (the only NFL standard for teams) with some other more free-wheeling clubs.


FOX NFL Sunday's Jimmy Johnson raves about Troy Aikman at any opportunity, saying Troy could have been a perennial 4,000-yard passer but sacrificed stats for Super Bowls. (Harry How / Getty Images)

For the record, our three Super Bowl champion teams ranked 4th twice and 5th in 1995 in terms of yards. In the latter season, it was the wild card Lions who ranked first with their run-and-shoot offense, the other two times the 49ers.

Long ago, in 1973, the NFL realized the unfairness of using yards (or touchdown passes) as the sole official measure for quarterbacks. Instead, a formula was devised that combined four key factors in quarterback play to create the NFL's Passer Rating. It may be complicated, and it has its critics, but it does allow someone who efficiently manages a balanced offensive attack to complete with someone who throws the ball more frequently for a team highly committed to the pass.

Some years the NFL's yards passing leaders still lead the QB Ratings, sometimes they don't.

I thought I'd present to you two lists of quarterbacks:


NFL Quarterbacks

1. Kurt Warner, Cardinals ---1. Peyton Manning, Colts
2. Marc Bulger, Rams ------- 2. Carson Palmer, Bengals
3. Donovan McNabb, Eagles- 3. Ben Roethlisberger, Steelers
4. Tom Brady, Patriots ------ 4. Marc Bulger, Rams
5. Carson Palmer, Bengals--- 5. Drew Brees, Cowboys
6. Kerry Collins, Raiders------ 6. Jake Plummer, Broncos
7. Brett Favre, Packers-------- 7. Tom Brady, Patriots
8. Peyton Manning, Colts------ 8. Byron Leftwich, Jaguars
9. Trent Green, Chiefs--------- 9. Matt Hasselbeck, Seahawks
10. Steve McNair, Titans------ 10. Trent Green, Chiefs

There are good quarterbacks on both lists. Manning, Bulger, Brady, Palmer and Green are the five in common.

The one with Warner, McNabb, Collins, Favre and McNair is the list of QBs who have thrown for the most yards per game (minimum of eight) this year. While all five are accomplished, all five also play for teams with losing records this year.

The one with Roethlisberger, Brees, Plummer, Leftwich and Hasselbeck is the list of the top 10 quarterbacks in the passer rating formula. All five play for teams with winning records, and I would argue that collectively they are playing better football this year than the five on the other list.

Well, I believe what is good for the quarterbacks should be good for the entire offense. Yards are an important factor in good offense, but they are not the only measure.

Someone once referred to yards as being like hits in baseball. Hits are necessary for almost every run and the team with the most hits wins the most games, but there are other factors that contribute to productive offense.


NFL Teams

1. Bengals 1. Colts
2. Chiefs 2. Chargers
3. Colts 3. Seahawks
4. Seahawks 4. Bengals
5. Broncos 5. Broncos
6. Chargers 6. Falcons
7. Rams 7. Chiefs
8. Patriots 8. Panthers
9. Giants 9. Jaguars
10. Cardinals 10. Giants

The list on the left is the 10 teams in order that have the most yards per game. The one on the right shows the top 10 teams in the current Aikman Ratings. Only three are different, but two of those three on the NFL list are clubs that will not make the playoffs. All 10 teams on the Aikman side are in the midst of the playoff hunt.

I also would say that, as well as the Bengals and Chiefs have played this year, the Colts would meet nearly everyone's definition as the best offense in football so far this season.

Football is a complicated game where success is the result of many different elements. I do not believe that the NFL's offensive and defensive units can be properly ranked by just using any one stat, even points.

No ranking system is foolproof, but I believe that in the Aikmans we have a measurement that is sound, understandable and effective in generating recognition for the best units on both sides of the ball.



Week 13 Aikman Efficiency Ratings/Offense
Aikman NFL Team Rating
RK RK

1. 3. Indianapolis Colts 94.0
2. 6. San Diego Chargers 92.3
3. 4. Seattle Seahawks 90.3
4. 1. Cincinnati Bengals 87.6
5. 5. Denver Broncos 85.7
6. 11. Atlanta Falcons 84.2
7. 2. Kansas City Chiefs 83.0
8. 23. Carolina Panthers 80.9
9. 21. Jacksonville Jags 80.5
10. 9. New York Giants 80.0
11. 20. Pittsburgh Steelers 80.0
12. 8. New England Patriots 80.0
13. 12. Washington Redskins 78.8
14. 14. Oakland Raiders 77.6
15. 17. Dallas Cowboys 77.4
16. 7. St. Louis Rams 77.0
17. 24. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 72.8
18. 13. Philadelphia Eagles 72.1
19. 16. Tennessee Titans 71.6
20. 19. Green Bay Packers 71.3
21. 30. Houston Texans 70.2
22. 18. New Orleans Saints 68.8
23. 27. Detroit Lions 68.7
24. 10. Arizona Cardinals 68.2
25. 25. Minnesota Vikings 67.7
26. 15. Miami Dolphins 67.1
27. 22. Cleveland Browns 66.0
28. 29. Buffalo Bills 65.9
29. 28. Chicago Bears 64.2
30. 26. Baltimore Ravens 63.0
31. 31. New York Jets 62.4
32. 32. San Fransco 49ers 58.7
League average 75.6



Week 13 Aikman Efficiency Ratings/Defense
Aikman NFL Team Rating
RK RK

1. 1. Chicago Bears 96.9
2. 4. Carolina Panthers 85.8
3. 6. Dallas Cowboys 83.2
4. 2. Tampa Bay Bucceneers 82.8
5. 19. New York Giants 82.6
6. 3. Indianapolis Colts 80.1
7. 5. Jacksonville Jaguars 79.6
8. 10. Pittsburgh Steelers 78.2
9. 20t. Seattle Seahawks 78.2
10. 27. Kansas City Chiefs 77.2
11. 15. Detroit Lions 77.0
12. 14. Atlanta Falcons 75.6
13. 8. Green Bay Packers 75.6
14. 7. Baltimore Ravens 74.9
15. 12. San Diego Chargers 74.8
16. 16. Cleveland Browns 74.6
17. 23t. Denver Broncos 74.5
18. 28. Cincinnati Bengals 74.1
19. 22. Miami Dolphins 73.9
20. 25. Minnesota Vikings 73.6
21. 9. Washington Redskins 73.5
22. 18. Philadelphia Eagles 71.7
23. 20t. Arizona Cardinals 71.6
24. 17. New York Jets 70.9
25. 11. New Orleans Saints 70.3
26. 13. Tennessee Titans 69.4
27. 23t. Oakland Raiders 69.3
28. 26. Buffalo Bills 67.8
29. 32. San Francisco 49ers 66.6
30. 29. New England Patriots 63.6
31. 31. St. Louis Rams 61.1
32. 30. Houston Texans 57.8
League average 74.4

Ebolapox
12-08-2005, 02:47 PM
good stuff--I like how highly our D is ranked by aikman

-EB-

JimNasium
12-08-2005, 02:53 PM
good stuff--I like how highly our D is ranked by aikman

-EB-
Am I missing something? I thought he had our D ranked at 10th on his scale.

Ebolapox
12-08-2005, 02:58 PM
Am I missing something? I thought he had our D ranked at 10th on his scale.

yeah--tenth

considering nobody had us higher than 32 the last few years, tenth is a huge improvement

-EB-

aturnis
12-08-2005, 03:01 PM
Interesting. I like it, seems more realistic to me, and fair. Also like and agree more with where the Chiefs end up on his lists. I do not think we are the #3 offensive unit in the nfl on the verge of becoming #2 if I remember right. Also, I do not think our defense is #27, the pass stats make us look bad, but overall they are a hard-nosed unit who makes a team work.

If we didn't make so many mistakes, the Denver game wouldn't have been close. We obviously dominated that game. Our offense rolled at will most of the time, while theirs struggled with the exception of the occasional big play. I think we outplayed Denver on both sides of the ball. Aikman's system is more apt to show that.

tk13
12-08-2005, 03:02 PM
He certainly makes some pretty compelling arguments for his system.

chagrin
12-08-2005, 03:03 PM
That's pretty cool, but what is the air speed velocity of an unladen Swallow?

FringeNC
12-08-2005, 03:05 PM
There is no way Atlanta has a better offense than we do.

alpha_omega
12-08-2005, 03:09 PM
Interesting read...thanks Laz.

HemiEd
12-08-2005, 03:12 PM
Brees with the Cowboys? Someone needs to tell Gunther so he will quit preparing the team to play Bledsoe.

JBucc
12-08-2005, 03:15 PM
Pretty good ratings imo.

Hydrae
12-08-2005, 03:20 PM
That's pretty cool, but what is the air speed velocity of an unladen Swallow?

African or European?

Hydrae
12-08-2005, 03:21 PM
Am I missing something? I thought he had our D ranked at 10th on his scale.


Best in the AFCW by those standings!

ct
12-08-2005, 03:26 PM
blue, no yellow...