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StcChief
12-29-2005, 11:15 PM
Take 2: Bengals vs. Chiefs By Scouts, Inc.

Tuesday, our scouts filed their advance advance scouting report on this
week's matchup between the Bengals and Chiefs. Now they're back with a
second look.

* The Chiefs' offense shifts and/or uses motion on almost every snap
forcing
the defense to react on the fly. This puts a tremendous burden on the
defense to get aligned correctly in the pre-snap phase and that's
something
the Bengals' defense has struggled with at times this season. In fact,
that
has been one of the biggest reasons behind their inability to
consistently
defend the run.
* The focus of the Chiefs' running game was pounding the ball between
the
tackles when RB Larry Johnson first took over as the starter. As the
season
has progressed and Johnson has gotten more comfortable with his role as
well
as the offensive line Kansas City has run more toss plays with him. The
outside toss gives Johnson more options. He can read the flow of the
defense
and cut upfield at any time. Johnson has a much better understanding of
the
timing of the toss and he is reading the blocks of pulling offensive
linemen
better.

* The ability of the Cincinnati run defense to hold its own when the
Chiefs
go to their one-back, two tight end personnel will play a big role in
the
outcome of this game. This personnel package is a major part of the
Chiefs
run game and for good reason. TEs Tony Gonzalez and Jason Dunn are both
excellent blockers. In fact, Gonzalez's ability to block defensive ends
one-on-one has really stood out this year.

* One of the problems the Bengals defense had going up against Buffalo
last
week was their inability to generate consistent pressure. That has to
be a
substantial concern heading into this game because QB Trent Green shows
great poise in the pocket, he is very accurate and he shows great
command of
the offense. Cincinnati is not a high-percentage blitz team so its
defensive
line must play its best game of the season.

* Kansas City's defense uses a lot of 3-3-5 personnel packages on third
down-and-long and that means keeping all three starting linebackers on
the
field. The key player for the Chiefs in this package is ROLB Kendrell
Bell.
Bell is the rush linebacker that moves around before the snap forcing
the
offensive line to adjust the protection after the snap. If Bell's
movement
creates any hesitation or confusion in the protection scheme, the
Chiefs
will get pressure on the quarterback.

* It was evident last week that the Bills felt that defending the
Bengals
running game was the number one priority for their defense. Buffalo
played a
high percentage of eight-man fronts in normal down-and-distance
situations.
However, while the approached worked well enough for the Bills, it's
still
risky because it creates single-coverage matchups on the outside. In
addition, Bengals RB Rudi Johnson can be effective working against
eight-man
fronts. Johnson does an excellent job of reading his blocks so that the
eighth man in the box, the unblocked player, is not in position to make
a
play.

* The Bengals have had outstanding success running the no-huddle
offense in
the last six games. QB Carson Palmer is reading defenses well and he
has
consistently gotten the offense into the right call. The Bengals
approach is
deciding which personnel package is best suited to attack the defense
they
are playing and to use that package for the no huddle. Against the
Chiefs,
expect to see a lot of two backs and three receivers because the
Bengals
want the Chiefs to insert their Nickel defense because it isn't as
strong as
their base defense.

Special Teams
The Bengals look to rebound from what may have been their worst special
teams performance in many years. They allowed Buffalo to return a
kickoff 99
yards for a touchdown that swung momentum and they allowed the Bills to
recover an onside kick in the second quarter. With Dante Hall and a
desperate Chiefs team on tap, the Bengals will have to step up their
play to
keep the No. 3 seed in the AFC.

Kansas City PK Lawrence Tynes, in only his second year, has connected
on 24
of his 30 field goal attempts. While he missed last week, it was a
52-yard
attempt and the conditions were not suitable for a long kick. However,
one
area of concern for the Chiefs has be their lack of ideal experience at
both
kicker positions. Tynes is only in his second year and P Dustin
Colquitt is
a rookie. Keep an eye on their ability to handle the pressure of
playing in
such an important game.

Matchups
* Cincinnati WR Chad Johnson vs. Kansas City DC Eric Warfeld
* Kansas City TE Tony Gonzalez vs. Cincinnati DS Ifeanyi Ohalete
* Cincinnati LOT Levi Jones vs. Kansas City RDE Jared Allen
* Kansas City RB Larry Johnson vs. Cincinnati MLB Odell Thurman
* Cincinnati WR T.J. Houshmandzadeh vs. Kansas City DC Patrick Surtain

Scouts' Edge
The efficiency of Kansas City's offense will get it the win and
possibly an
opportunity to sneak into the playoffs. Cincinnati's ability to
generate
interceptions has masked the fact that it's giving up a lot of passing
yards
per game and that means it doesn't match up well with Green. Green will
take
what the defense gives him and move the offense efficiently so the
Bengals'
pass defense won't get many opportunities to make a big play.

More importantly, Larry Johnson and the offensive line will allow
Kansas
City to control the clock with the run. That means the Chiefs will be
able
to limit Palmer's opportunities to put points on the board working
against
their porous pass defense. Although there is some concern that Kansas
City
will have problems slowing Rudi Johnson between the 20s, look for them
to
tighten up in the red zone. As a result, the Chiefs should force the
Bengals
to settle for some field goal attempts rather than touchdowns and that
will
be the difference in this game.

Prediction: Chiefs 31, Bengals 27

Halfcan
12-29-2005, 11:21 PM
It won't be that close, I heard Palmer will sit out the second half at least.

Chiefs 45 Bangles 10

greg63
12-30-2005, 01:31 AM
Wow, nice analysis. Too bad there is absolutely no motivation for Denver not to rest their starters against San D Eggo, and all the motivation in the world for Pittsburgh to blow out the Lions.

http://www.nfl.com/standings

Chiefnj
12-30-2005, 09:22 AM
"* Kansas City's defense uses a lot of 3-3-5 personnel packages on third
down-and-long and that means keeping all three starting linebackers on
the
field. The key player for the Chiefs in this package is ROLB Kendrell
Bell.
Bell is the rush linebacker that moves around before the snap forcing
the
offensive line to adjust the protection after the snap. If Bell's
movement
creates any hesitation or confusion in the protection scheme, the
Chiefs
will get pressure on the quarterback. "


There you have it. Bell is creating havoc and hesitation and we are just too dumb to notice it the last 15 weeks.

JBucc
12-30-2005, 09:29 AM
Matchups
* Cincinnati WR Chad Johnson vs. Kansas City DC Eric Warfeld
If that happens I have a feeling we'll be seeing more than one TD dance

siberian khatru
12-30-2005, 09:45 AM
The key player for the Chiefs in this package is ROLB Kendrell Bell

Well, that sure as hell explains a lot.

UKMike
12-30-2005, 11:33 AM
the
Chiefs
will get pressure on the quarterback.


Back to the straight jacket for you...

Hydrae
12-30-2005, 01:39 PM
Quote:
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Originally Posted by nm_dbf

Matchups
* Cincinnati WR Chad Johnson vs. Kansas City DC Eric Warfeld

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

If that happens I have a feeling we'll be seeing more than one TD dance


I just want to know why they think Warfield will be on Johnson while Surtain is on Housh. I would think these are backwards except of course it all just depends on which side they line up on as to who is covering whom.

chiefsfaninNC
12-30-2005, 02:06 PM
Damn I would love to get excited about this game.

Wile_E_Coyote
12-30-2005, 02:39 PM
the Chiefs have not won a game at Arrowhead in January since around '93. Not that they have played that many at home in January since '93

BigRedChief
12-30-2005, 02:42 PM
the Chiefs have not won a game at Arrowhead in January since around '93. Not that they have played that many at home in January since '93

But at least their streak of winning December games is in good shape.

Wile_E_Coyote
12-30-2005, 02:47 PM
But at least their streak of winning December games is in good shape.


I read that stat about January somewhere & did a little checking. They have played so few games at home in January it was really weak.