View Full Version : FT: ESPN - Chiefs @ Colts

11-16-2007, 11:10 PM
Manning must rely on Addai more after a six-pick performance

By Scouts Inc

Friday, November 16, 2007

Why To Watch
The Indianapolis Colts need to find a way to rebound in order to stay among the elite teams in the AFC, while the Chiefs need to stay within striking distance of the AFC West race. QB Peyton Manning needs to do a better job of protecting the ball this week and rely on RB Joseph Addai. While the Chiefs need to find out if they can put together an offense without RB Larry Johnson.

However, both teams can pressure the backend with two of the best tight ends in the NFL in Tony Gonzalez and Dallas Clark. This game also presents two outstanding young defenses with a lot of speed and playmaking skills. However, the Colts can ill-afford to continue to struggle on special teams coverage units, which is major reason why they lost in Week 10 to the Chargers.

When the Chiefs have the ball
Rushing: Due to the lack of production from QB Damon Huard, the Chiefs have faced a lot of multiple eight and nine man fronts. RB Priest Holmes replaced Johnson last week and finished with 65 yards on 20 attempts. Holmes is a natural one-cut runner, but is no longer the difference maker that he was earlier in his career. Plus, the Chiefs' offensive line continues to struggle to create space in the running game. The Chiefs are averaging just 78.1 yards per game, which has placed a tremendous amount of pressure on Huard throughout the season.

However, offensive coordinator Mike Solari must continue to rely on the running game to control the time-of-possession, while trying to place the Chiefs in more manageable second and third-down situations. Look for the Chiefs to rely a lot on their 12 and 22 personnel groupings on early downs.

Colts defensive coordinator Ron Meeks will continue to rely on his multiple seven man fronts, while bringing SS Bob Sanders up near the box on heavy run-down tendencies. The Colts play a very fast and aggressive scheme that will attack the Chiefs' blocking patterns, while forcing new starting QB Brodie Croyle to attack them through the air.

Passing: Head coach Herm Edwards must make a decision this week on which quarterback the Chiefs will play on Sunday. Huard has struggled all season with consistency after throwing only eight touchdowns and 11 interceptions, along with being sacked 25 times.

Croyle will start this week against a good Colts secondary that is currently allowing just 164.6 yards a game through the air.

Croyle has a better upside and possesses the arm strength to attack all levels in the passing game. He also has better intangibles and is expected to be the future starter in Kansas City . However, the Chiefs would have to endure his growing pains along with his decision-making that could result in a lot of game-changing mistakes.

The Chiefs have two perimeter threats in Gonzalez and rookie WR Dwayne Bowe. With that said, the Chiefs must find a way to attack vertically down the field off play-action to create more spacing inside the tackle box for their dismal running attack.

The Colts are very sound and disciplined on the backend when getting to land marks in their Tampa 2 schemes, which makes it very difficult for quarterbacks to find open windows consistently. Look for the Colts to be physical on the backend while relying on their four-man rush to try and disrupt the timing and rhythm of the Chiefs' passing attack.

When the Colts have the ball
Rushing: The Colts need to establish the running game early with Addai. The Colts' offensive line does a great job of handling the constant audibles and adjustments at the line-of-scrimmage by Manning. They are a finesse unit that is smart with a great understanding of angles and body position. The right side of their offensive line is lead by RT Ryan Diem and RG Jake Scott. Diem is a powerful player who is productive in both the run and passing game, while Scott is a versatile player that knows how to use his size to create inside running space for Addai. He can also effective both out in space and on the second level.

The Chiefs must be more disciplined this week in their gap control and their responsibilities on the backside, especially when taking away the cutback alleys for Addai. The Chiefs have a fast and undersized defensive line, especially out on the edges with DEs Jared Allen and Tamba Hali. Allen and Hali are high-motor players who frequently make tackles based on their outstanding effort. However, they must do a better job this week setting the edge on the outside against the Colts' zone-stretch plays.

Passing: Manning needs to get into a rhythm quickly in the passing game to build confidence against a Chiefs pass defense that is currently allowing 213.3 yards a game. Manning was awful last week throwing six interceptions, while allowing the pressure to effect him in the pocket. However, the Colts need to get healthy and get back to using their no-huddle approach that usually affects the way teams defend them on defense.
Manning has the ability to place a lot of pressure on the Chiefs' backend with his quick release and arm strength that attacks all levels in the passing game. However, without WR Marvin Harrison and TE Dallas Clark last week the Colts' passing attack struggled to get on track and had some inconsistencies with the offensive line. Harrison, who has been bothered with a knee injury over the last few weeks is still a highly-productive playmaker within this offense.
On top of that, he creates mismatches out in the formation for other players on the Colts to take advantage of on the backend.

Expect defensive coordinator Gunther Cunningham to line up with multiple defenders on the line-of-scrimmage to pressure Manning, while being physical on the outside with his corners. The Chiefs have the ability to create pressure with their four-man rush, especially Allen, who is leading the league in sacks with 9.5.

Special Teams

The Chiefs have an advantage in the kicking game as the Colts continue to struggle in all phases on special teams. Last week, the Colts' coverage teams allowed two touchdowns by Chargers return specialist Darren Sproles, a kickoff return and a punt return, both in the first quarter. However, Chiefs return specialist Eddie Drummond continues to struggle making defenders miss in open space. Place kicker Adam Vinatieri struggled last week after missing two field goals, including a 29-yard chip shot that might have won the game.

Chiefs PK Dave Rayner is 13-17 on field goal attempts with a long of 49 yards. Colts punter Hunter Smith is currently ranked 19th in the NFL with an average of 43.0, while placing 11 punts inside the 20-yard line.
Chiefs punter Dustin Colquitt is one of the best punters in the league with his awesome hang-time, and his ability to place punts inside the 20-yard line.

Accuscore gives Chiefs only a 9% chance of winning this… Average score is Colts 29.5, Chiefs 12.8… ouch.

Accuscore comments:

The Colts are looking to get back to their winning ways while the Chiefs are trying to stay in the race in the weak AFC West. The Croyle era has begun in Kansas City , but regardless of the spark he could provide the Chiefs have a bad offense and will have their hands full against the fast, aggressive Colts. When Indianapolis gets its running game going the passing game becomes unstoppable. And while the Colts must improve on special teams this week they are clearly the better team and will get a win at home this week.

The Colts injury report reads like a Pro Bowl roster. Even with a number of key player out or questionable, the Colts are winning over 90% of simulations. Brodi Croyle has a strong arm, but he is averaging twice as many interceptions per sim than touchdown passes. Peyton Manning is not going to have another multiple interception game. He is forecasted for 270 yards and 2 TDs with Joseph Addai cranking out 120+ yards on the ground.

11-17-2007, 12:28 AM
Nothing about Ty Law having Manning's number?

11-17-2007, 12:38 AM
This game is either going to be shoockingly close or a miserable blow out.

I'm smelling a close game.

11-17-2007, 12:57 AM
Close with Chiefs winning by 3 ....

11-17-2007, 01:04 AM
Close with Chiefs winning by 3 ....

That's the spirit!!!!
Go Chiefs!!!!!

11-17-2007, 04:56 AM
KC 10
IND 31

11-17-2007, 08:23 AM
Indy 27
Chiefs 20

11-17-2007, 08:35 AM
Isnt there a policy on Chiefsplanet against posting "Insider" pay info?

11-17-2007, 07:43 PM
chiefs 31
Indy 23

11-17-2007, 07:53 PM
Nothing about Ty Law having Manning's number?


used to, right now the only number Law has is for the rascal scooter tech support line...

11-17-2007, 08:00 PM
http://img232.imageshack.us/img232/6190/65430790or4.png (http://imageshack.us)

11-17-2007, 08:05 PM
Much as I'd love to see the Chiefs win against this team that I loathe, I am a realist first and a dreamer second. If this contest was at Arrowhead, I could dream.......unfortunatly, Manning will figure Gunthers blitzing schemes early in the game and like it or not this offense will not be able to catch up. God.....I hope I'm wrong tho

11-17-2007, 08:08 PM
http://img232.imageshack.us/img232/6190/65430790or4.png (http://imageshack.us)

Talking heads is all those fellows are. They know nothing more than the above average fan.

11-17-2007, 08:17 PM
Indy 35

Kc 3

11-17-2007, 08:20 PM
Brodie and Bowe show
let's get this thing started

Simply Red
11-17-2007, 08:22 PM
Nothing about Ty Law having Manning's number?
Yeah, really.

KC Tattoo
11-17-2007, 08:37 PM
Manning must rely on Addai more after a six-pick performance

By Scouts Inc

Friday, November 16, 2007

Croyle will start this week against a good Colts secondary that is currently allowing just 164.6 yards a game through the air.


Remember this number, 164.6 avg for teams to pass against the Colts.

I think Croyle is going to have a good day, against a damn good defense. Go Brodie!!!

Rain Man
11-17-2007, 09:42 PM
I predict that this will be a game where the linebackers really make their mark. They're going to completely fluster and frustrate that guy who's on all the commercials.

11-18-2007, 08:21 AM
a low scoring D game favors Chiefs.

Somehow I see us losing by a TD.
Indy 24
Chiefs 17.