New Hampshire prediction thread

[Cochise]

Since we had one last time, why not?

I'm gonna guess this one is pretty wide for the Dems:

Obama 40
Clinton 25
Edwards... doesn't matter.

And on the other side,

McCain 32
Romney 30
Rudy, Huckabee, Paul all about 10
Thompson 5

[memyselfI]

Obama
Edwards
Clinton (She's falling faster than Brodie Croyle)

McCain
Twitt
Huck

[patteeu]

Obama
Clinton
Edwards


Duncan Hunter
Ron Paul
John McCain
Rudy Giuliani
Fred Thompson
Mitt Romney
Mike Huckabee

[Cochise]

Obama
Clinton
Edwards


Duncan Hunter
Ron Paul
John McCain
Rudy Giuliani
Fred Thompson
Mitt Romney
Mike Huckabee

Hopefully then someone would come here and say that was the best possible outcome for Mitt Romney, he scored in double digits and beat Huckabee who's a bigtime national candidate. To finish fifth would be a huge, huge win for Mitt Romney.

[patteeu]

Hopefully then someone would come here and say that was the best possible outcome for Mitt Romney, he scored in double digits and beat Huckabee who's a bigtime national candidate. To finish fifth would be a huge, huge win for Mitt Romney.

LMAO I'm on it!

[oldandslow]

Obama will win the dem primary - I don't think it will be by 15% points tho. More like 7-10.

Obama 39
Clinton 31
Edwards 24
others - the rest

Edwards fast becomes a footnote.

Johnnie Mac on the repub side. Romney second.

Johnny M 33
Mitt 25
Thompson 12
Rudy 11
Huck 10
others - the rest

[recxjake]

McCain
Romney- Death to his campaign... YES!
Paul
Huckabee
Rudy
Fred
Duncan

[Cochise]

You yokels are supposed to post numbers! Of course we know Obama is going to win and all that. Stick your necks out.

[dirk digler]

You yokels are supposed to post numbers! Of course we know Obama is going to win and all that. Stick your necks out.

I am not good with numbers. :)

Obama
Edwards
Clinton

McCain
Romney
Huckabee

[Mr. Kotter]

Pure guess:

Obama......40
Clinton......28
Edwards....27


McCain.......37
Romney......22
Huckabee...16
Paul...........12
Giuliani.......11
Thompson....3

[go bowe]

Pure guess:

Obama......99
Clinton......28
Edwards....27


McCain.......37
Romney......22
Huckabee...16
Paul...........12
Giuliani.......11
Thompson....3fyp...

[recxjake]

ROFL ROFL ROFL

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[Adam]

I'll go with this as well.

Since we had one last time, why not?

I'm gonna guess this one is pretty wide for the Dems:

Obama 40
Clinton 25
Edwards... doesn't matter.

And on the other side,

McCain 32
Romney 30
Rudy, Huckabee, Paul all about 10
Thompson 5

[mlyonsd]

Man Cochise you're a hard ass.

McCain - 38
Romney - 26
Paul - 156..ok, 11
Rudy - 8

Obama - 35
Clinton - 29
Edwards - 15

[Mr Luzcious]

Obama
Clinton
Edwards


Duncan Hunter
Ron Paul
John McCain
Rudy Giuliani
Fred Thompson
Mitt Romney
Mike Huckabee

Are you saying you think Duncan Hunter is going to win?

[Cochise]

Maybe a bit of a hedge, here, but I was listening to some radio tonight where people were saying that McCain didn't come off well in the last debate there, and that it might have hurt him a bit. So there's a chance that Romney could pull it out, I think.

Someone made a point that I thought was interesting, that a lot of people from Mass have moved to NH as they've gotten older, high taxation and such, so Romney could do well with them. And I guess most of NH watches Boston TV so they would be pretty familiar with him.

[Ultra Peanut]

Obama 42%
Clinton 29%
Edwards 18%
Richardson 9%
Kucinich 1%

McCain 36%
Romney 28%
Huckabee 17%
Paul 11%
Giuliani 5%
Thompson 3%

[patteeu]

Are you saying you think Duncan Hunter is going to win?

It was a tongue-in-cheek post. :)

I don't believe I have any particular insight into how this election will turn out. (I still think that Romney & Rudy both have a shot at the ultimate nomination and that Hillary can still pull it out on the dem side, but in this particular election I'm not too plugged in). I'd just be regurgitating what I've heard others say as modified by my own wishful thinking. But I'll give it a shot anyway. Everybody says McCain's going to win it, but I'm a Romney guy now so I'll rationalize that Obama and Ron Paul are going to suck up the independent oxygen and let Romney win it with Republicans.

Romney 29
McCain 27
Paul 12
Thompson 11
Huckabee 9
Giuliani 9
Hunter 3

[SoCalBronco]

McCain 33 Romney 30 Huckabee 15

Obama 40 Clinton 31 Edwards 22

[Ugly Duck]

44% Obama
27% Hillary
12% Edwards

McCain by 7%

[KILLER_CLOWN]

I'm not biased or anything but

RepubliCon-less

1. Paul 100%

Demoncrat-less

1. Gravel 100%

:)

[Infidel Goat]

Donkeys:

Obama
Clinton
Edwards
Richardson
Kucinich

Elephants:

McCain
Mitt
Huck
Giuliani
Paul (though I could see him swing up to #3)
Law and Order
Hunter

[StcChief]

McCain 35
Romney 29
Paul 10
Rudy 9
others 1-5.

Barak Hussein Obama 40
Edwards 24
sHillary 19
others ?

[Cochise]

I could see a situation where Hillary really gets slaughtered, like Obama comes up >40 and she's down around 20. Not because he gained her people, but because her supporters were discouraged and stayed home

[Chief Henry]

I can see that reading this thread that 3 out of 2 people can't figure !

[Calcountry]

Prediction: Paul blows Ron. Blow Paul blow.

[Cochise]

Well, boy. We all missed this one by a mile.


Clinton 39
Obama 36
Edwards 17
Richardson 5

McCain 37
Romney 31
Huckabee 11
Rudy 9
Paul 8
Thompson 1

62% reporting


Dick Morris said earlier that Hillary won single women by a large margin in New Hampshire, and that McCain won independents rather than Obama in the numbers expected. It's also interesting that a record turnout for Democrats didn't favor Obama. Hillary was able to turn out the base to rescue her.

It looks like there were a lot of people who were undecided in New Hampshire, or the Iowa result might even have generated some sympathy for Hillary among core Dems?

Winners/losers:

Hillary: Huge win. Biggest win in the history of New Hampshire?
Obama: Loser, obviously... not good... a big win would have nearly finished Clinton off. Didn't pull in the open primary like I might have expected. If Iowa didnt build momentum, what's it going to take?
Edwards: Time to drop out, Sally.

McCain: Win. Officially one of the big three in this race. I'm not convinced he has a path to the nomination just yet, because I think his schtick mostly plays with independents and not with the base.
Romney: Loss. Pundits are calling this a huge setback for Romney, but I don't see it that way. We've had two primaries, and he's the only one who's placed in both.
Huckabee, Rudy: About what we expected
Paul: Loss... fifth in a five horse race again. To finish below Rudy is embarrassing.
Thompson: Loss... South Carolina is close to must win, if any hope is to remain.

[Cochise]

McCain.......37
Romney......22
Huckabee...16
Paul...........12
Giuliani.......11
Thompson....3

I think Kotter was closest, except he gave the bottom three too much credit. And he had two of them reversed.

[Mr. Kotter]

I think Kotter was closest, except he gave the bottom three too much credit. And he had two of them reversed.

Yeah, I thought Paul would outperform Giuliani, but apparently Giuliani....wisely....made a last minute push, to remain relevant... :hmmm:

(which, FTR, is more than Fred did....UNLESS S.C. holds a miracle for him....)

[Cochise]

He has to win South Carolina... even then it's hard to see. But if he finished third or fourth there or something, he's toast.

Sucks, becuase he's the kind of guy the party needs to counter the McCain/Huckabee populism in my view.

[Mr. Kotter]

He has to win South Carolina... even then it's hard to see. But if he finished third or fourth there or something, he's toast.

Sucks, becuase he's the kind of guy the party needs to counter the McCain/Huckabee populism in my view.

I agree. Apparently Fred decided, mistakenly IMHO, that he could sleepwalk to relevance. :shake:

I mean, his record, credentials, and leadership speak desperately to the void we've had for 16 years now....of an "adult" in the White House.

However, charisma and style....trump substance in this day and age, apparently. :banghead:

[Infidel Goat]

I think Kotter was closest, except he gave the bottom three too much credit. And he had two of them reversed.


With the exception of the Hillary/Obama flip, I had the correct order of finish for both parties (including the 3-4-5 Huck, Rudy, Paul finish).

I declare myself 2-0. :)

[patteeu]

With the exception of the Hillary/Obama flip, I had the correct order of finish for both parties (including the 3-4-5 Huck, Rudy, Paul finish).

I declare myself 2-0. :)

You're on fire!

Who's going to win the Republican contest in Michigan next week, Romney, McCain, or someone else? I need to know whether I should start picking out a new horse to ride. :)

[Cochise]

You're on fire!

Who's going to win the Republican contest in Michigan next week, Romney, McCain, or someone else? I need to know whether I should start picking out a new horse to ride. :)

Mine is headed for the glue factory, it seems.

I have heard that Romney's father or grandfather was a politician in Michigan or something, but that since then several Romneys have run for office there but haven't won.

Seems like kind of a McCain state without looking at polling but who knows. It'll be hard to even know who the favorite is until Feb 5 (i think that's the right tuesday)

[Calcountry]

I'm not biased or anything but

RepubliCon-less

1. Paul 100%

Demoncrat-less

1. Gravel 100%

:)How did Blow Paul do? What's that? He blows? Nahhhh, I never would have guessed. Maybe in Michigan. Hey, that sounds like a campaign slogan.

[Calcountry]

Well, boy. We all missed this one by a mile.



Dick Morris said earlier that Hillary won single women by a large margin in New Hampshire, and that McCain won independents rather than Obama in the numbers expected. It's also interesting that a record turnout for Democrats didn't favor Obama. Hillary was able to turn out the base to rescue her.

It looks like there were a lot of people who were undecided in New Hampshire, or the Iowa result might even have generated some sympathy for Hillary among core Dems?

Winners/losers:

Hillary: Huge win. Biggest win in the history of New Hampshire?
Obama: Loser, obviously... not good... a big win would have nearly finished Clinton off. Didn't pull in the open primary like I might have expected. If Iowa didnt build momentum, what's it going to take?
Edwards: Time to drop out, Sally.

McCain: Win. Officially one of the big three in this race. I'm not convinced he has a path to the nomination just yet, because I think his schtick mostly plays with independents and not with the base.
Romney: Loss. Pundits are calling this a huge setback for Romney, but I don't see it that way. We've had two primaries, and he's the only one who's placed in both.
Huckabee, Rudy: About what we expected
Paul: Loss... fifth in a five horse race again. To finish below Rudy is embarrassing.
Thompson: Loss... South Carolina is close to must win, if any hope is to remain.I disagree with you about McCain. I am officially undecided. It's basically coming down to who can I hold my nose and still vote for. McCain has proven to me one thing, that he can be one pissed off mutha fugga, and that might just be enough for me to put him in charge of the button.

Let Al Cicada attack us with that foo in charge and see what happens.