McCain up 10% in Ohio!!!!!

[recxjake]

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Ohio General Election
Rasmussen Ohio General Election

John McCain 46% (44%)
Barack Obama 40% (43%)

With Leaners

John McCain 52%
Barack Obama 42%

Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)

John McCain 57% / 39% (+18%)
Barack Obama 50% / 46% (+4%)

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted July 21. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 17 are in parentheses.

McCain is supported by 88% of Republicans and Obama earns the vote from 74% of Democrats. Both candidates gain three points from within their own party when leaners are included. However, McCain’s lead among unaffiliated voters jumps from a nine-point advantage without leaners to twenty-three points with leaners.

Among white Democrats in Ohio, Obama leads 71% to 21% (with leaners).

Fifty-one percent (51%) of Ohio voters believe most reporters are trying to help Obama win the election. Just 13% believe they are trying to help McCain and 21% think the journalists are attempting to present unbiased coverage.

[recxjake]

Down 2 in Michigan!

Poll Watch: Detroit News-WXYZ EPIC-MRA Michigan General Election
Detroit News-WXYZ EPIC-MRA Michigan General Election

Barack Obama 43% (40%)
John McCain 41% (44%)

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted July 13-16. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 19-22 are in parentheses.

[recxjake]

Up 5 in Alaska

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Alaska General Election
Rasmussen Alaska General Election

John McCain 45% (45%)
Barack Obama 40% (41%)

With Leaners

John McCain 49%
Barack Obama 44%

Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)

John McCain 63% / 35% (+28%)
Barack Obama 53% / 46% (+7%)

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted July 17. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 16 are in parentheses.

[jAZ]

Political fan-boy.

[recxjake]

Down 3 in New Hampshire

Poll Watch: UNH Granite State New Hampshire General Election
UNH Granite State Poll New Hampshire General Election

Barack Obama 46%
John McCain 43%

Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)

Barack Obama 58% / 31% (+27%)
John McCain 56% / 31% (+25%)

Survey of 475 likely voters was conducted July 11-20. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.

[recxjake]

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Georgia General Election
Rasmussen Georgia General Election

John McCain 48% (53%)
Barack Obama 39% (43%)

With Leaners

John McCain 53%
Barack Obama 42%

Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)

John McCain 65% / 32% (+33%)
Barack Obama 47% / 51% (-4%)

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted July 17. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 26 are in parentheses.

[Taco John]

Don't you mean Obama down 10% in Ohio?

[BigCatDaddy]

This can't be! All I hear around here is Obama in a landslide.

[SHTSPRAYER]

How's he doing in PA?

[dirk digler]

I would think that poll was an outlier. PPP did a poll in the same time frame and it has Obama up 48-40 and that fits the rest of the polls

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/battleground.html
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Ohio_721.pdf

How's he doing in PA?

It appears there has been no polling done in the last month according to RCP.

[recxjake]

I would think that poll was an outlier. PPP did a poll in the same time frame and it has Obama up 48-40 and that fits the rest of the polls

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/battleground.html
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Ohio_721.pdf



It appears there has been no polling done in the last month according to RCP.

PPP is a Democrat polling firm. Hence the (D) next to their name on Realclearpolitics....

[WilliamTheIrish]

OHIO!! [echo] OHIO .. Ohio...Ohio

[Bearcat2005]

Well that is encouraging for McCain. I really take these as a grain of salt right now, just an indicator of how much will be needed to be put in particular states. Once Sept. and Oct. come around I think they will start to indicate who will win what. (at least on RCP's averaged out polls). All I know is that it seems almost difficult to imagine McCain winning the general without Ohio. If I was Obama I wouldn't have put as much resources in MO, instead put more in OH. I still strongly feel Obama will lose MO in the general.

[bunnytrdr]

Down 2 in Michigan!

Poll Watch: Detroit News-WXYZ EPIC-MRA Michigan General Election
Detroit News-WXYZ EPIC-MRA Michigan General Election

Barack Obama 43% (40%)
John McCain 41% (44%)

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted July 13-16. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 19-22 are in parentheses.
With Romney on the Ticket, McCain should get a 5 point bump in Michigan.

Ohio+Michigan=game over for Obama.

[bunnytrdr]

You ever listen to the way Obama talks down to us folks?

We don't like it.

[irishjayhawk]

I would like to point out that any announcement of a VP candidate will make states jump immediately. Let's wait and see what happens when Obama picks a VP or simply wait 2 weeks. Whichever comes first.


Talk about knee jerk.

[beer bacon]

The latest Rasmussen Ohio poll had McCain winning the under 30 vote by 11 points and the 30-39 vote by 20 points. It also had him winning the over 60 vote by only single digits. Polls this far out are pretty meaningless, and this is even more true when the poll consists of only 500 people in a state the size of Ohio.

[DaneMcCloud]

You ever listen to the way Obama talks down to us folks?

We don't like it.

People who feel like they're being "talked down to" for any reason, regardless of political affiliation, have self-esteem issues.

But OTOH, George Bush has done an excellent job of fooling his supporters for the past 8 years.

So maybe having a beer with someone or treating them as an equal, even though it's the POTUS, is a great strategy.

It's certainly worked for Bush and lined his cronies pockets.

And the results have been absolutely amazing.

[DaneMcCloud]

Talk about knee jerk.

Jerk or Jake?

[|Zach|]

You ever listen to the way Obama talks down to us folks?

We don't like it.

Sounds like a personal problem.

[recxjake]

I would like to point out that any announcement of a VP candidate will make states jump immediately. Let's wait and see what happens when Obama picks a VP or simply wait 2 weeks. Whichever comes first.


Talk about knee jerk.

This poll was done before any talk of the VP speculation...

Obama has never done well in the rust belt...

[Radar Chief]

You ever listen to the way Obama talks down to us folks?

We don't like it.

Jesse Jackson, is that you?

[recxjake]

From Quinnipiac/washingtonpost.com/Wall Street Journal poll:

Colorado: McCain 46, Obama 44

Michigan: Obama 46, McCain 42- Blue State

Minnesota: Obama 46, McCain 44- Blue State