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View Full Version : Elections Obama Bounce Watch...


recxjake
08-28-2008, 07:53 AM
1

BigCatDaddy
08-28-2008, 08:09 AM
To be fair, I bet this was taken before Bill's speech last night.

Ultra Peanut
08-28-2008, 08:11 AM
recxjake retarded thread watch

oldandslow
08-28-2008, 11:27 AM
Gallup reports large bounce for Obama

Up 6% last night....

http://www.gallup.com/poll/109897/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Moves-Ahead-48-42.aspx

Ultra Peanut
08-28-2008, 03:11 PM
HE'S DOOOOOOOMED

BigCatDaddy
08-28-2008, 03:18 PM
For you bounce experts out there. I'm assuming "the bouce" is the number of % points a candidate would go up in the polls and not the number of points he seperates himself from his opponent right. For example 45-45 to 50-40 would be a 5 point bounce and not 10, yes?

Ultra Peanut
08-28-2008, 03:21 PM
For you bounce experts out there. I'm assuming "the bouce" is the number of % points a candidate would go up in the polls and not the number of points he seperates himself from his opponent right. For example 45-45 to 50-40 would be a 5 point bounce and not 10, yes?p. much

But then, the actual daily results of tracking polls are so ****ing flaky that trying to quantify or qualify their contents is as close as pointless a task as one could imagine.

BigCatDaddy
08-28-2008, 03:28 PM
p. much

But then, the actual daily results of tracking polls are so ****ing flaky that trying to quantify or qualify their contents is as close as pointless a task as one could imagine.

Is that a yes or no?

Direckshun
08-28-2008, 03:40 PM
Is that a yes or no?
No, it boils down to the lead.

If he's even with McCain before the convention (let's say 45 to 45), then afterwards he's up 10 points (let's say 50 to 40), than that is a ten point bounce.

oldandslow
08-28-2008, 03:42 PM
No, it boils down to the lead.

If he's even with McCain before the convention (let's say 45 to 45), then afterwards he's up 10 points (let's say 50 to 40), than that is a ten point bounce.

Yup.

oldandslow
08-29-2008, 11:45 AM
Well, the bounce is starting...

Avg bounce since 1950 or so is about 6% - right where Obama is.

We'll see if McCain/Palin can do something about that next week...


National Tracking Polls: Gallup: Obama +8 | Rasmussen: Obama +4

www.realclearpolitics.com

IMO, I believe Obama/Biden will hold on to a 3-5% lead Sept 20.

That will also be their margin of victory on Election day.