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View Full Version : Elections 9/16 Electoral Count: McCain = 266, Obama = 228, Toss-Up = 44


RINGLEADER
09-16-2008, 10:24 AM
UPDATE: One new poll in since yesterday showing Obama up +2 in Virginia. It's a Dem polling firm but RCP recognizes it so we do too. That's Virginia's 13 EVs to Obama from the "Tied" column.

Will keep a running total of current Electoral counts based on the most recent polls here. These are the totals based on the most recent poll in each state.

In the Battleground states McCain is up Nevada, New Mexico, Indiana, Missouri, Colorado, Florida, North Carolina, Ohio, Montana, and Georgia while Obama is up in Michigan (there is a poll that shows McCain up +1 but another poll with a larger sample of LVs taken in the same time has Obama up +5), New Hampshire, Iowa, Oregon, Washington, Wisconsin New Jersey, and Virginia.

It is tied in Minnesota, and Pennsylvania.

I'll update totals in the AM but feel free to post state poll results here.

Warrior5
09-16-2008, 11:20 AM
That's pretty hard to believe... what's the source?

bkkcoh
09-16-2008, 11:57 AM
Obama 247 McCain 257 Ties 34

http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Pres/Pngs/Sep16.png

Link (http://www.electoral-vote.com/)

Ultra Peanut
09-16-2008, 12:04 PM
McCain can't even break 270 at his peak?

That's kind of sad, actually.

tiptap
09-16-2008, 12:39 PM
That site had McCain at 272 as of two days ago but only for 24 hours.

jAZ
09-16-2008, 12:43 PM
Will keep a running total of current Electoral counts based on the most recent polls here.
If this was intended to be a dynamically updated thread, why post what are disputed and quickly to be outdated totals in the thread title?

RINGLEADER acting like recxjake is kinda sad to see.

bkkcoh
09-16-2008, 02:42 PM
LMAO

The fact that the Messiah isn't winning is sad... the Democrats had this election handed to them, and they are blowing it....


But they had the 2000 election (Gore lost his home state of TN, if he would have won that, Florida wouldn't have been a blip on the radar), 2004 (Kerry and his wife were Mr and Mrs personality)

The dems should be used to that, there isn't a reason why the reps should have won either election.

RINGLEADER
09-16-2008, 03:27 PM
If this was intended to be a dynamically updated thread, why post what are disputed and quickly to be outdated totals in the thread title?

RINGLEADER acting like recxjake is kinda sad to see.

This morning those were the results. If they change by tomorrow they'll be updated.

Source was realclearpolitics.com. I'm not using their averages, I'm using the most recent poll in each state that is used in their averages.

RINGLEADER
09-16-2008, 03:35 PM
Most recent polls:

Michigan:
InAdv/PollPosition 09/10 - 09/10 503 LV 44 45 McCain +1
Rasmussen 09/10 - 09/10 700 LV 51 46 Obama +5

Virginia:
FOX News/Rasmussen 09/14 - 09/14 500 LV 48 48 Tie

Nevada:
Rasmussen 09/11 - 09/11 700 LV 49 46 McCain +3

New Hampshire:
CNN/Time 09/07 - 09/09 899 RV 51 45 Obama +6

New Mexico:
Rasmussen 09/08 - 09/08 700 LV 47 49 McCain +2

Indiana:
Howey-Gauge 08/29 - 08/30 600 RV 45 43 McCain +2

Missouri:
Rasmussen 09/11 - 09/11 700 LV 51 46 McCain +5

Colorado:
FOX News/Rasmussen 09/14 - 09/14 500 LV 46 48 McCain +2

Florida:
FOX News/Rasmussen 09/14 - 09/14 500 LV 49 44 McCain +5

North Carolina:
Research 2000 09/08 - 09/10 600 LV 55 38 McCain +17

Ohio:
PPP (D) 09/13 - 09/14 1077 LV 48 44 McCain +4 (this is a Dem poll BTW)

Iowa:
Des Moines Register 09/08 - 09/10 616 LV 52 40 Obama +12

Montana:
Rasmussen 09/08 - 09/08 700 LV 53 42 McCain +11

Oregon:
Hoffman Research (R) 09/08 - 09/09 600 LV 46 39 Obama +7

Pennsylvania:
FOX News/Rasmussen 09/14 - 09/14 500 LV 47 47 Tie

Wisconsin:
Strategic Vision (R) 09/05 - 09/07 800 LV 46 43 Obama +3

Minnesota:
Star Tribune 09/10 - 09/12 1106 LV 45 45 Tie

New Jersey:
Monmouth/Gannett 09/11 - 09/14 589 LV 49 41 Obama +8

Washington:
Rasmussen 09/10 - 09/10 500 LV 49 47 Obama +2

The link to the realclearpolitics.com Battleground State Polls is: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/battleground.html

I doubt this will convince jAZ of anything, but the polls are what they are.

RJ
09-16-2008, 03:48 PM
LMAO

The fact that the Messiah isn't winning is sad... the Democrats had this election handed to them, and they are blowing it....


No one is winning right now. No one is losing right now.

RINGLEADER
09-16-2008, 04:08 PM
No one is winning right now. No one is losing right now.

This I would agree with 100%. It seems that for every Pennsylvania that is play there is a Virginia. For every Michigan there is an Ohio. The debates will tell a lot.

McCain just went nuts on Obama on the economy in Ohio. Strongest I've ever seen him. You can tell there is an ad brewing about how Obama has taken the most from Fannie/Freddie and Lehman because he just pummelled Obama with it.

RINGLEADER
09-17-2008, 09:19 AM
Virginia moves to Obama on 9/17. No other new state polls.

Virginia PPP (D) McCain 46, Obama 48 Obama +2

RINGLEADER
09-17-2008, 09:21 AM
Not sure how to change the headline. In the future I'll just start a new thread since the headline doesn't translate over to the thread listings and, this morning, is inaccurate to Obama's detriment.

ChiTown
09-17-2008, 09:43 AM
Really surprised that Minnesota is not an Obama lean at this point. That, and surprisingly, Indiana is in serious play. This is truly an interesting election year.

RINGLEADER
09-17-2008, 10:34 AM
Really surprised that Minnesota is not an Obama lean at this point. That, and surprisingly, Indiana is in serious play. This is truly an interesting election year.

It is. I'd say around 100,000 votes either way could sway 60-70 EVs.

jAZ
11-26-2008, 09:38 AM
UPDATE: One new poll in since yesterday showing Obama up +2 in Virginia. It's a Dem polling firm but RCP recognizes it so we do too. That's Virginia's 13 EVs to Obama from the "Tied" column.

Will keep a running total of current Electoral counts based on the most recent polls here. These are the totals based on the most recent poll in each state.

In the Battleground states McCain is up Nevada, New Mexico, Indiana, Missouri, Colorado, Florida, North Carolina, Ohio, Montana, and Georgia while Obama is up in Michigan (there is a poll that shows McCain up +1 but another poll with a larger sample of LVs taken in the same time has Obama up +5), New Hampshire, Iowa, Oregon, Washington, Wisconsin New Jersey, and Virginia.

It is tied in Minnesota, and Pennsylvania.

I'll update totals in the AM but feel free to post state poll results here.

I thought this was pretty funny. RINGLEADER's never bothered with this project before he found a pro-McMain subject line... And only stuck with it until he realized he wasn't going to get another chance to post another pro-McCain thread like this one.

Ultra Peanut
11-26-2008, 09:39 AM
lol

jAZ
11-26-2008, 09:45 AM
It lasted a total of 4 days I think.

Bowser
11-27-2008, 01:43 PM
LMAO

The fact that the Messiah isn't winning is sad... the Democrats had this election handed to them, and they are blowing it....

This >< close.

Ultra Peanut
11-27-2008, 01:44 PM
DANCE!

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Bowser
11-27-2008, 01:47 PM
LMAO

Thig Lyfe
11-27-2008, 01:51 PM
http://i37.tinypic.com/dhalvm.jpg

Ebolapox
11-27-2008, 07:29 PM
heh. whoops.

BigRedChief
11-28-2008, 06:17 AM
LMAO

The fact that the Messiah isn't winning is sad... the Democrats had this election handed to them, and they are blowing it....
Classic. ROFL

RINGLEADER
11-29-2008, 08:49 AM
Are you guys serious?

How quickly we forget: http://www.chiefsplanet.com/BB/showthread.php?t=195969

The morning of the election I predicted that the final results would be:

Obama: 52.89%
McCain: 46.17%
Others: .94%

The actual final results as of today with 127,142,278 votes?

Obama: 67,066,915 - 52.75% (lower by .14%)
McCain: 58,421,377 - 45.96% (lower by .21%)
Others: 1,653,986 - 1.30% (higher by .36%)

Calcountry
11-29-2008, 09:33 AM
Classic. ROFLDude, the election is over, let it go, you will live longer.