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petegz28
07-12-2010, 10:39 PM
The hope that fired up the election of Barack Obama has flickered out, leaving a national mood of despair and disappointment. Americans are dispirited over how wrong things are and uncertain they can be made right again. Hope may have been a quick breakfast, but it has proved a poor supper. A year and a half ago Obama was walking on water. Today he is barely treading water. Then, his soaring rhetoric enraptured the nation. Today, his speeches cannot lift him past a 45 percent approval rating.


There is a widespread feeling that the government doesn't work, that it is incapable of solving America's problems. Americans are fed up with Washington, fed up with Wall Street, fed up with the necessary but ill-conceived stimulus program, fed up with the misdirected healthcare program, and with pretty much everything else. They are outraged and feel that the system is not a level playing field, but is tilted against them. The millions of unemployed feel abandoned by the president, by the Democratic Congress, and by the Republicans.

The American people wanted change, and who could blame them? But now there is no change they can believe in. Sixty-two percent believe we are headed in the wrong direction*—a record during this administration. All the polls indicate that anti-Washington, anti-incumbent sentiment is greater than it has been in many years. For the first time, Obama's disapproval rating has topped his approval rating. In a recent CBS News poll, there is a meager 15 percent approval rating for Congress. In all polls, voters who call themselves independents have swung against the administration and against incumbents.

Even some in Obama's base have turned, with 17 percent of Democrats disapproving of his job performance. Even more telling is the excitement gap. Only 44 percent of those who voted for him express high interest in this year's elections. That's a 38-point drop from 2008. By contrast, 71 percent of those who voted Republican last time express high interest in the midterm elections, above the level at this stage in 2008. And these are the people who vote.

Republicans are benefiting not because they have a credible or popular program—they don't—but because they are not Democrats. In a recent Wall Street Journal/NBC poll, nearly two thirds of those who favor Republican control of Congress say they are motivated primarily by opposition to Obama and Democratic policy. Disapproval of Congress is so widespread, a recent Gallup poll suggests, that by a margin of almost two to one, Americans would rather vote for a candidate with no experience than for an incumbent. Throw the bums out is the mood. How could this have happened so quickly?

The fundamental problem is starkly simple: jobs and the deepening fear among the public that the American dream is vanishing before their eyes. The economy's erratic improvement has helped Wall Street but has brought little support to Main Street. Some 6.8 million people have been unemployed in the last year for six months or longer. Their valuable skills are at risk, affecting their economic productivity for years to come. Add to this despairing army the large number of those only partially employed and those who have given up their search for work, and we have cumulative totals in the tens of millions.

Many people who joined the middle class, especially those who joined in the last few years, have now fallen back. It's not over yet. Millions cannot make minimum payments on their credit cards, or are in default or foreclosure on their mortgages, or are on food stamps. Well over 100,000 people file for bankruptcy every month. Some 3 million homeowners are estimated to face foreclosure this year, on top of 2.8 million last year. Millions of homes are located next to or near a foreclosed home, and it is the latter that may determine the price of all the homes on the street. There have been dramatically sharp declines in home equity, representing cumulative losses in the trillions of dollars in what has long been the largest asset on the average American family's balance sheet. Most of those who lost their homes are hard-working, middle-class Americans who had lost their jobs. Now many have to use credit cards to pay for essentials and make ends meet, and they are running out of credit. Another $5 trillion has been lost from pensions and savings.

But it is jobs that have long represented the stairway to upward mobility in America. For a long time, it was feared they were vulnerable to offshore competition (and indeed still are), but now the erosion is from economic decline at home. What happens as those domestic opportunities recede? Middle-class families fear they have become downwardly mobile and have not hit the bottom yet. The financial security that was once based on home equity and a pension has been swept away.

In a survey just released, the Pew Research Center explored the recession's impact on households and how they are changing their spending and saving behavior. Nearly half the adults polled intend to boost their savings, cut their discretionary budgets, and cut their debt loads. The report concludes that the present enforced frugality will outlast the recession and its overhang. Fully 60 percent of those ages 50 to 61 say they may delay retirement. What does that mean for the young would-be employees entering the labor force over the next few years?

The administration's stimulus program, because of the way Congress put it together, has created far fewer jobs than anyone expected given the huge price tag of almost $800 billion. It was supposed to constrain unemployment at 8 percent, but the recession took the rate way above that and in the process humbled the Obama presidency. Some 25 million jobless or underemployed people now wish to work full time, but few companies are ready to hire. No speech is going to change that.

Little wonder there has been a gradual public disillusionment. Little wonder people have come alive to the issue of excess spending with entitlements out of control as far as the eye can see. The hope was that Obama would focus on the economy and jobs. That was the number one issue for the public—not healthcare. Yet the president spent almost a year on a healthcare bill. Eighty-five percent in one poll thought the great healthcare crisis was about cost. It was and is, but the president's bill was about extending coverage. It did nothing about the first concern and focused mostly on the second. Even worse, to win its approval he accepted the kind of scratch-my-back deal-making that suggests corruption in the political process. And as a result, Obama's promise to change "politics as usual" disappeared.

The president failed to communicate the value of what he wants to communicate. To a significant number of Americans, what came across was a new president trying to do too much in a hurry and, at the same time, radically change the equation of American life in favor of too much government. This feeling is intensified by Obama's emotional distance from the public. He conveys a coolness and detachment that limits the number of people who feel connected to him.

Americans today strongly support a pro-growth economic agenda that includes fiscal discipline, limited government, and deficit reduction. They fear the country is coming apart, while the novelty of Obama has worn off, along with the power of his position as the non-Bush. His decline in popularity has emboldened the opposition to try to block him at every turn.

Historically, presidents with approval ratings below 50 percent—Obama is at 45—lose an average of 41 House seats in midterm elections. This year, that would return the House of Representatives to Republican control. The Democrats will suffer disproportionately from a climate in which so many Americans are either dissatisfied or angry with the government, for Democrats are in the large majority in both houses and have to defend many more districts than Republicans. In any election year, voters' feelings typically settle in by June. But now they are being further hardened by the loose regulation that preceded the poisonous oil spill—and the tardy government response.

The promise of economic health that might salvage industries and jobs, and provide a safety net, has proved illusory. The support for cutting spending and cutting the deficit reflects in part the fact that the American public feels the Obama-Congress spending program has not worked. As for the healthcare reform bill, the most recent Rasmussen survey indicates that 52 percent of the electorate supports repeal of the measure—42 percent of them strongly.

It is clear that the magical moment of Obama's campaign conveyed a spell that is now broken in the context of the growing public disillusionment. Obama's rise has been spectacular, but so too has been his fall.

http://politics.usnews.com/opinion/mzuckerman/articles/2010/07/02/mort-zuckerman-obama-is-barely-treading-water.html?PageNr=2

Hog Farmer
07-12-2010, 11:04 PM
Well. I wish he didn't know how to swim !

notorious
07-12-2010, 11:07 PM
Republicans are benefiting not because they have a credible or popular program—they don't—but because they are not Democrats.

JFC

This is the most accurate sentence I have ever read in DC.


The Pubs need to realize this.

petegz28
07-12-2010, 11:08 PM
Well. I wish he didn't know how to swim !

You can say that again. The funny thing is Zuckerman is complaining about the very thing most of us have been complaining about all along.

I guess there is still hope that the misguided will eventually find the way.

petegz28
07-12-2010, 11:09 PM
JFC

This is the most accurate sentence I have ever read in DC.


The Pubs need to realize this.

So out of all of that you chose to comment on the one sentence that takes a shot a Repubs not being able to do whatever simply because they are not Democrats??? ROFL

InChiefsHell
07-12-2010, 11:12 PM
it is true though. Barry got elected cuz he "wasn't Bush" and we can see where that got us. The Republicans need to take the ball and run with it.

notorious
07-12-2010, 11:14 PM
So out of all of that you chose to comment on the one sentence that takes a shot a Repubs not being able to do whatever simply because they are not Democrats??? ROFL

No. I think the Democrats are ****ing this country up badly. The worst part is that they are using avenues that the Republicans used and abused, too.

I used to be pissed when the Dems would go around, over, or through the law. But when I found out that the Republicans did the same shit years before, my mind was made up: Most of the current and old politicians are pieces of shit.

People will be voting out the Democrats, not voting in the Republicans. Anger is very powerful. I want people in there that will reinstall the checks and balances system, and go by the letter of the law how it was originally written, not the newer bastard-like verison.

petegz28
07-12-2010, 11:14 PM
it is true though. Barry got elected cuz he "wasn't Bush" and we can see where that got us. The Republicans need to take the ball and run with it.

Well, any Democrat could have gotten elected on that basis at the time. He got elected, as the OP states, because the MSM put him on a pedestal and believed his BS.

petegz28
07-12-2010, 11:15 PM
No. I think the Democrats are ****ing this country up badly. The worst part is that they are using avenues that the Republicans used and abused, too.

I used to be pissed when the Dems would go around, over, or through the law. But when I found out that the Republicans did the same shit years before, my mind was made up: Most of the current and old policiticians are pieces of shit.
People will be voting out the Democrats, not voting in the Republicans. Anger is very powerful. I want people in there that will reinstall the checks and balances system, and go by the letter of the law how it was originally written, not the newer bastard-like verison.

This we can agree on.

teedubya
07-12-2010, 11:15 PM
Obama is an easy fall-guy.

petegz28
07-12-2010, 11:16 PM
Obama is an easy fall-guy.

Obama is an under-qualified person that has run nothing other than his mouth. He has not run a city, a county, a state or even a business.

I'd say that qualifies him to run the most powerful country in the world.

BucEyedPea
07-12-2010, 11:19 PM
JFC

This is the most accurate sentence I have ever read in DC.


The Pubs need to realize this.

Ayup! But they won't. It's also the same reasons that Obama and the Ds won as well.

blaise
07-12-2010, 11:19 PM
JFC

This is the most accurate sentence I have ever read in DC.


The Pubs need to realize this.

They won't, just like the Democrats won't when the wheel turns again. It's a lot easier to say how bad the current guy sucks and how you'll do a better job. Then once the new guy gets in everyone realizes he's just as full of shite as the last one, and the circle of life goes on.

notorious
07-12-2010, 11:19 PM
Obama is an under-qualified person that has run nothing other than his mouth. He has not run a city, a county, a state or even a business.

I'd say that qualifies him to run the most powerful country in the world.

He is one hell of a speaker, though.

petegz28
07-12-2010, 11:21 PM
He is one hell of a speaker, though.

I think Bill Clinton runs laps around the guy when it comes to being a speaker. Clinton knew how to talk to you. Obama talks AT you. Clinton always made things sound like a collective effort. Obama can't wait to talk about himself.

Bill Clinton=good politican and great speaker
Obama=rha rha guy with MLK overtones

notorious
07-12-2010, 11:22 PM
They won't, just like the Democrats won't when the wheel turns again. It's a lot easier to say how bad the current guy sucks and how you'll do a better job. Then once the new guy gets in everyone realizes he's just as full of shite as the last one, and the circle of life goes on.

This.

The people know they are more disconnected from the government than ever. The system has been rewritten too many times for it to ever return to it's former glory.


Time to go down the slow winding road downward like so many other once great countries.

petegz28
07-12-2010, 11:23 PM
This.

The people know they are more disconnected from the government than ever. The system has been rewritten too many times for it to ever return to it's former glory.


Time to go down the slow winding road downward like so many other once great countries.

Anytime someone talks about running the country the way it's supposed to be we hear the bullshit of how we are going to return to the days of slavery.

notorious
07-12-2010, 11:26 PM
Anytime someone talks about running the country the way it's supposed to be we hear the bullshit of how we are going to return to the days of slavery.

Which is completely retarded.


I am sick and tired of the race card being pulled. Have they ever heard about the story of "The Boy that Cried Wolf"?

stevieray
07-12-2010, 11:26 PM
Anytime someone talks about running the country the way it's supposed to be we hear the bullshit of how we are going to return to the days of slavery.

disagree...the DOI was the first Emancipation Proclamation.

ClevelandBronco
07-12-2010, 11:44 PM
JFC

This is the most accurate sentence I have ever read in DC.


The Pubs need to realize this.

So out of all of that you chose to comment on the one sentence that takes a shot a Repubs not being able to do whatever simply because they are not Democrats??? ROFL

IMO, notorius is correct. The electorate gave the democrat party a brief honeymoon and a shot. For the most part they've missed the target. Hell, Obama seems unaware that there is a target.

Now the voters seem to be ready to see if the GOP has gotten the real message (mostly because they have no alternative but to hope like hell that someone's been listening). I think most of the Republicans haven't.

BucEyedPea
07-12-2010, 11:48 PM
Republicans are good at talking about what shouldn't be done by Ds but when they get in they don't really do anything about it. So the bad stuff stays in. Then they just conserve it all.