View Full Version : U.S. Issues Reuters Nat'l Poll: Romney 29%, Ron Paul 21%, Gingrich: 19%
02-07-2012, 02:47 PM
Romney's lead dips despite wins: Reuters/Ipsos poll
By Patricia Zengerle
WASHINGTON | Tue Feb 7, 2012 3:37pm EST
(Reuters) - Despite his strong showing in early state contests in the race for the Republican presidential nomination, Mitt Romney's support nationwide has dipped slightly during the past month, according to a new Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Tuesday.
Romney was backed by 29 percent of Republican voters in the telephone poll conducted February 2-6, down from 30 percent in a survey in early January.
The former Massachusetts governor's three rivals in the race to oppose Democratic President Barack Obama in November were in a virtual tie for second, the poll showed. The gaps between the three were within the poll's margin of error.
Texas Congressman Ron Paul's support grew by 5 percentage points to 21 percent, moving him into second place and ahead of former House of Representatives speaker Newt Gingrich, whose support slipped to 19 percent from 20 percent.
02-07-2012, 02:52 PM
02-07-2012, 02:59 PM
Read this breakdown of the conservative demographics and what it bodes for Gingrich and Santorum. WaPo discovers the Old Right and who is the REAL conservative in the race.
Here is Aaron Blake in WaPo (http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/post/the-true-conservative-alternative-ron-paul/2012/02/05/gIQAzW8tsQ_blog.html) this morning:
Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum are fighting for the right to be the conservative alternative to Mitt Romney.
But they both lost that battle in Nevada – to Ron Paul.
Entrance polls from Saturday’s Nevada caucuses show Romney racking up huge wins among the vast majority of demographics, which isn’t surprising given that he took about 50 percent of the vote.
But the one demographic that is supposed to be Gingrich’s and Santorum’s bread and butter – people looking for the “true conservative” in the race – didn’t go for either one of them.
Which begs the question: Just what is the argument for their candidacies right now?
The entrance polls show about one in five voters said the most important attribute they want to see in a candidate is that he is a “true conservative.”
Among those voters, Romney took just 4 percent – a showing that lends credence to the idea that there is room for a true conservative alternative.
But those voters didn’t spurn Romney for Gingrich or Santorum; instead, they went for Paul, who won the demographic with about 40 percent.
Now, it’s fair to point out that Nevada is one of the more libertarian states in the country, so it’s not surprising that Nevada Republicans’ idea of a “true conservative” might be different from other states.
But this is really a must-have demographic for Gingrich and Santorum, and the fact that neither of them tapped it is bad news for their campaigns and their cases for pressing forward.
Exit and entrance polls give voters four options for their top priority in picking a candidate – that they can beat President Obama, that they have the right experience, that they have strong moral character and that they are the true conservative in the field.
With the exception of South Carolina, where Gingrich won, it has become clear that Romney is viewed as the candidate most prepared to beat Obama; he has won this demographic with huge majorities in every state except the one, and this is easily the most popular priority with GOP voters so far.
Romney has also shown himself to be strong enough in both of the other two most-important demographics: moral character and experience.
The “true conservative” vote, then, is really the only one where he is going to cede big votes. It’s a necessary – if not sufficient – demographic for any would-be anti-Romney candidate.
But if a significant amount of these voters are going to Paul, then Gingrich and Santorum have no chance.
Fundamental Understanding of the Old Right (http://lewrockwell.com/wenzel/wenzel158.html)
True conservatism goes back to the pre-William F. Buckley days, where conservatives believed in small government and staying out of the affairs of foreign countries. It's not quite libertarianism, but very close.
02-07-2012, 06:49 PM
Just about to head out to my local Colorado Caucus, GO RON PAUL!!!
02-07-2012, 08:39 PM
These numbers will change after Santorum finishes kicking ass tonight. Wow. Romney is going to need a Rape Kit.
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