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If you ask any GM if they'd take 8 hits and 2 busts, including hits on both 1st rounders, and a top-5-ish NFL RB in the 7th round, they'd take it every time. |
People tend to expect too much from the draft.
It's largely a crap shoot. |
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That's just not true. And the reality is, at this point, he maybe shouldn't have been drafted at all. Or maybe late on day 3. but he was a consensus second rounder. |
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EVERY time you are forced to pay top market price for a player, it weakens your football team overall. Sometimes you have to do it. Because the draft is an inexact science, to be sure. But the more you 'hit' on guys in the draft, the more cost controlled talent you have, the less you have to spend in free agency to fill holes. And if you're paying your QB, you NEED that. |
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Looking back at his profile, it fits more with a 4th rounder than a 2nd. I'm not sure what really happened. |
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The Chiefs paid market price for Pat last year. He played to it and they were the best team in the league. You're too worried about paying guys. That's not the issue. The problem is paying them and them not playing to it. You've gotta have cost controlled play somewhere. It doesn't have to come from the draft, but usually that's the easiest place to get it from. People also need to realize that once you pay one guy (the QB) what we are...you're largely just not going to be able to win SB's unless he plays to that. Now we're getting into the realm where for him to do it it would require guys around him playing at a certain baseline level, which brings up a whole other conversation, but there's not really an alternative. You have to go cheap somewhere. Now, I'd do it somewhere other than weapons, as the value usually matches the pay out there, and not so much at say, off ball Lber or safety. |
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Obviously NOBODY would take him in the second now. |
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We see what ONE good WR and a bunch of crap gets you: Even with Tyreek, we had diminishing returns two years in a row. We were getting worse. Right now, we have Rice and a bunch of guys who all got significantly worse in their second years in this offense, which is bizarre, but it is what it is. If you go pay a top of the market free agent WR, you let Jones, Sneed, Danna, and probably Gay walk, and hope you can sign Tranquill and have enough to plug in some veteran DT's that will not equal Jones but hopefully give you positive play. You can't backload deals, because you've got another group of guys coming up next year. It's rotating whack-a-mole. So yeah, the best thing is to be able to draft and fill and not have to pay top free agent deals. It's incredibly important. Every time you sign a big free agent deal, you create a hole somewhere else. That includes re-signing our own guys, which you absolutely do when they're important players, but you sure better have drafted to fill most of the holes that you create when you have to let others go. |
I'm not against paying guys at ALL.
I'm against paying guys top salary when other teams have decided NOT TO. There's a reason for that. I'd much rather pay the guys we KNOW, and KNOW they fit the system and the culture than guys another team deemed expendable. I don't think MOST big money free agent deals really end up being value signings. |
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Paying elite players is never the issue, it's paying elite price for good players ala FA's usually. It doesn't create a hole, it strengthens a spot theoretically, but it's an unknown. The whole thing is set up to make teams that are good eventually get worse. It's just the league and how its set up. The thing we've gotta continue to do is find cheap value. It's not about one thing, but the whole of it, finding value in guys like Tranquill or a 4th round pick like Sneed. They've drafted better than just about any team and yet we're still having holes, the issue is anyone thinking you won't have holes. What we need is for the guys we pay and draft to be able to cover the holes. It's a reason I'm hesitant to pay a Bolton or a Gay too much, because that position just makes it tough for them to really bring alot of value. Again, IMO. |
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He just never translated. The game was too big for him IMO |
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Were they getting worse because of Tyreek the player? No of course not, he's a great player. They were getting worse because of the cap investments in players like Tyreek, Clark, Mattheiu and now Reid, Thuney, OBJ all required that the team go cheaper elsewhere, which leads to lack of depth and having guys like Sorensen and Niemann, and Wylie taking meaningful snaps and a WR room of JAGS behind Hill. We were spread too thin. So you have to spend multiple high picks on LB'ers, and DE, and the secondary and meanwhile you've got a WR room in need of fresh talent, and no OT's and... Some of those guys were worth the money, some weren't-and THAT is how free agency works. This idea that past production with another team guarantees the same level or greater of future production is fantasy. Sometimes it works out, sometimes it doesn't-and sometimes it does for a while, and then by the end, you're overpaying. So just like the draft, it's a risk/reward roll of the dice. In '22, we took a HUGE chance on 5 rookie DB's. By the end of the season (and this year) it's a strength of the team. That's how it CAN go. In '23, we took a HUGE chance on three young WR's, and only one has panned out. That's also how it CAN go. In both cases, they were risks we had to take. In hindsight, you can pick around and choose slightly different paths, but those are just as big of a risk. We could be losing games 42-35. A lot of people would prefer that. |
195 yds and 2 TDs in the 1st half. From Mason Rudolph.
Has he surpassed Skyy’s season totals in one half? Gotta be close. |
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