Quote:
Originally Posted by NJChiefsFan
(Post 8436228)
Depends. Lets say they keep the picks and get good players from them for the next 5 years. They are unable to ever get a really good QB. In that situation they are just as screwed as if they gave it up and failed. You don't win SBs anymore if you don't have a great QB.
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Okay. That makes sense, Mr. NJChiefsFan, but strap this on and perform a squat thrust.
By now, due in large measure to rule changes over the last decade or so, everyone is utterly convinced that a "franchise" quarterback is a necessity in the league and, therefore, highly valued (see Redskins/Rams trade).
But, when you break it down, that is merely a basic supply/demand problem. There are simply too few super-talented, sure-fire, great young quarterbacks coming out of college to match the number of teams in the league who need someone who meets that criteria. And, that problem is exacerbated when the issue of injury arises (see Colts/Manning).
And just as supply/demand issues are resolved in other fields of endeavor, this problem leaves NFL teams with only a few possible solutions.
First, they can exacerbate all over themselves and try to win with a dumbass under center (See Chiefs/Cassel). Or, they can leverage their immediate future success by acquiring a super expensive guy (in the form of picks) who, although considered by many to be a good risk, has yet to take a single NFL snap. (see Redskins/RGIII)
Or, they can learn how to develop a young quarterback who possesses the physical and mental attributes sufficient to play the game at a high level, but has not yet been coached up or provided with sufficient opportunities to gain experience or a competitive advantage on the field.
Eventually, I think that's what teams are going to have to do. Guys like Luck and RGIII are simply rare. You can't simply flip over a rock and find one of those guys. Plus, the potential injury problem is constantly looming. The question is; can you develop a guy like a Montana or a Brady (lower round guys) into franchise-level quarterbacks who can win Super Bowls. And, of course, the answer to that is "Yeah, baby!! My schlong is harder than a Georgia peach pit!!!".
So, it can be done. Are those cases more rare than a Luck or an RGIII or a Manning coming out of college? Probably not. I submit that, if teams don't yet know how to develop quarterbacks at the NFL level, they'd better damn well learn how to do it. Or, given the NFL's desire to make this an offense-driven, passing league, there will never be anything close to parity and, instead, there will be two or three teams who dominate during the 10-year, career peaks of the fortunate few and there will be everybody else floundering around like a bunch of ignorant losers who are just happy to have their asses kicked in round 1 of the playoffs (see us).
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