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Did those games help us out in 2011 when we were 11.5 games out in late August and went on to take the title?
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Appreciate the responses.
1) Alex Gordon's defensive value at 3B was basically the same as David Freese (neutral to slightly below average). His worst seasons defensively - 2009 and 2010 - also happened during seasons Gordon was injured and in small sample sizes. He could definitely play everyday there. He also can play 1B and would be an upgrade over Craig or Adams. Like you guys said... They would get him in that lineup. We'll see how Holliday closes the year, but right now Gordon is a better offensive player (and defensive and baserunning abilities are really not close). How much time is left on that Holliday contact? I remember he's making $20 million/year or so... 2) I was looking at 2011, 2012 and this season when comparing Shields and Wainwright initially (because I was lazy and that was the default in the StatsPass setting I was using). Since wainwright didn't pitch in 2011, I was comparing 2010, 2012 and 2013 for Waino to 2011-now for Shields (stupid Tommy John). I don't have a problem saying Wainwright is better historically or that he is a few slots higher on the totem pole in the grand scheme of things. Assuming he fully recovers from TJ (and it looks like he has), Wainwright is one of the top 15 pitchers in baseball, easily and without any debate. I think you could comfortably say Shields is one of the 20-25 pitchers in baseball, easily and without any debate. Especially considering that he is a career AL and AL East pitcher. It was the claim that Shields wasn't even in the same zip code (and, subsequently, pointing out that the two pitchers are closer/more similar than some might realize of late) that touched off the hysteria and anger. 3) I full expect Butler's career to start to slide downhill once he reaches his mid-30s. No argument there. I know that Bill James' whiz-bang career projection tool spits out about a 24 percent chance that Butler reaches 3k hits. I think that's high and would say it's more like a 10 or 15 percent chance. People over there were giving it a "winning Powerball" chance, though, which is silly. |
Holliday makes about 17 MM. He's just been "blah" to start this season. Never had an extended hot streak, but he's never looked completely helpless either. He's also been a little unlucky to start the year. His K rate has dropped precipitously and his BABIP is .267, but his GB rate is up while his LD rate is a touch down, but at the same rate it was when he was a 6 WAR player in 2010.
Gordon's near .400 BABIP is a might ridiculous. |
If he could play an equal defensive third base, I'd put Gordon there, put him in the 2 hole and forget about it.
I don't think I'd take him over Craig and/or Adams at first simply because I'm not sure he would have the thud to hit 4th as they do/can. But to put him and Carpenter in front of Holliday, Craig, Beltran, Yadi, would be pretty impressive. |
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Or forget about Gordon at 1st or 3rd. Play Matt Holliday at 1B and leave Gordon in left. Keeps Holliday's bat in the lineup and moves him off of a position where he is below- to fringe-average. Holliday might also be able to avoid the nagging injuries that always seem to steal a couple of weeks from each of his seasons. |
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At this point, I'd expect the .396 BABIP to correct down but probably end up a smidge higher than in 2011 and 2012 since we're already through nearly 1/3 of the season. |
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It hasn't mattered this year, but for his career there is a noticeable split there. Good, RH, RBI bats are really in short supply, especially in the Cardinals system. I'd be extremely reluctant to take a RH bat out of the lineup in favor of another LHer. I'm also FAR from willing to just concede that Alex Gordon is a better hitter than Allen Craig. Craig's going to hit for more power year in, year out, IMO. Additionally, while Gordon's more likely to draw a walk, he's also more likely to strike out. Seeing as how Craig is used as an RBI/Cleanup hitter, his ability to make contact more frequently is largely what makes him such an outstanding RBI guy. I know RBI is team dependent, but if all things are equal, Craig is a better RBI hitter due to his approach. In the end, they're comparable hitters, but Gordon is a better athlete/baserunner. I think it's hard to go wrong with either one, but given the difficulty in finding a premier RH RBI bat, I'd prefer keep the righty and sacrifice the athleticism, especially if we're talking about a scenario where either player is at 1b. Matt Adams? Pft - Gordon in a walk. Adams may be great someday, but the book on him is out right now (hard in, hard in, soft away; take a seat). He needs to adjust to pitchers adjusting to him before I start including him in any of these conversations. |
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Final food for thought: Alex Gordon is fifth in MLB in WAR since the start of 2011 (the year of his swing/approach change and consequential re-emergence). Just saying... His career renaissance has been, literally, remarkable. At least one thing has gone right recently for KC. |
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http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-9LpZuF4DJf...8672864870.jpg |
I wasn't here last baseball season, is frazod a Holliday hater or something?
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His injury problems is what irked me, I would always know it would be a matter of time before he made a DL stint.
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I just checked, 2011 was the only season he missed some time but damn it seems like hes always hurt.
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what a freaking play but escobar
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So in the GDT, Hamas brought up 2007 after I mentioned Kip Wells.
It's ****ing astounding how different the rotation is from then. I still don't understand how Walt thought Wells could be a capable #2 when he had done nothing in his career previously to prove that. And there was nothing in the minors. |
It's absolutely un-****ing-real that we have four starting pitchers on the DL (Carp, Garcia, Westbrook, Gast) and haven't skipped a beat. I can't even remember the last time we've had a starter blow up, each and every starter gives us a chance to win the game.
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We've only lost by 3+ runs twice in May.
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What's the word on Westbrook?
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And we FINALLY picked up a game on the goddamn Reds. Now up 2.5 games on both them and the Pirates.
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Pittsburgh would be leading any other division in baseball and they're in third. Crazy.
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Although if I only get one asteroid, I'd still prefer it hit at a Broncos/Raiders game in Oakland. |
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I don't even want to think about some of the bloated contracts we'd carry if Jocketty was still here. |
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What do you think has been the change in his performance in Cincy? The talent there before he was hired or his ability to develop a minor league system? |
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Jocketty did what he usually does. He made mostly good trades and scoured the bargain bin. Trading Hamilton for Volquez was a massive blunder, but he eventually turned Volquez and Alonso (his first draft pick) into Latos. Cincy was an excellent job to step into, but who has he really added to that team through the draft? Cingrani? He hasn't changed anything about his approach. |
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9X bigger than the QE2 due tomorrow http://cosmiclog.nbcnews.com/_news/2...on-online?lite |
Wacha! Wacha! Wacha! Lets do this.
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Whats the over/under? |
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That said, don't expect him to be Shelby Miller. He hasn't missed a ton of bats in AAA, and there's no reason to expect him to do so here. That's why DJ wanted him to stay in Memphis. Until he learns to make a breaking ball an out pitch he may scuffle a bit with big league hitters, as he's not a sinkerballer or a flame thrower. He needs a third pitch, and right now he doesn't have one. Hopefully the Royals' BABIP luck dries up today. I'd be content with 6 IP 6H, 1BB, 4K and 2-3 ER. |
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We don't need him to be a #3 or higher this year. Just learn and get that damn breaking ball to the major league level. Ask that guy in the locker next to you for some tips. |
I think he goes 6, with 5 hits and 2 maybe 3 ER's. This is the perfect line up for him to start his first game against to ease him in the majors. Have to agree with hamas though I wouldn't expect him to be on Millers level.
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11 pitch first for Wacha, even though its the Royals I like what i see so far.
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Good to hear Waino was working with Wacha in spring training with his curve ball. If he can put a good curve ball in with that awesome change.....
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My god this kid is dealing.
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Man, congrats on this kid throwing a no-no in his first ML game. Impressive.
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Kid is filthy.
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And, of course, it all goes downhill starting with Boggs. Get rid of him.
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Mother**** you Boggs.
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Storming like hell here now, too. DTV is down hard.
Sounds like a good time to play Fallout. |
He should have stayed with Maness or went to Blazek. Boggs was an arrogant, foolish decision. They deserve to lose this game.
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Rosenthal comes in, we win. |
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Yeah lets just get ready for the Giants.
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Franklin was great for a year, Motte was nails last year, Mujica has been incredible this year. Even Salas did a respectable job in the role before he gave way to Motte. |
Closers don't last long because all relievers are failed starters. Shittier pitchers don't last as long as good ones. Occam's Razor.
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Wish I could find this Boys in the Hall series for sale.
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All the closer woes just seem to stick in my mind eternally when compared to other shit. Speaking of that (random closer memory): Remember when Dennis Eckersley blew a game for us and he received some boos from the fans and he paced around angrily, muttering what appeared to be something along the lines of, "**** you mother****ers. Kiss my ****ing ass"??? God, my dad wanted to beat the shit out of Eckersley for the longest time after that. |
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