Originally Posted by Alex Smith HATER (Post 9853185)

I wonder if that's how that actually works, though.

Please try it against me. :D

Originally Posted by cdcox (Post 9853401)

These numbers aren't perfect, but they can give us a quick look. I generated them doing a quick spreadsheet analysis of NFL play-by-play data.

Out of 6465 drives in 2012, the number of penalties per drive (against both teams, both accepted and declined) breaks down like this:

0 penalties: 4199
1 penalty: 1595
2 penalties: 490
3 penalties: 139
4 penalties: 32
5 penalties: 6
6 penalties: 4

So Zeke's case should be possible, but rare.

We can also do a rough estimate of what the distribution of penalties per drive should look like if the NFL made all their penalty calls randomly. Let's take the average number of NFL plays per drive 6.57 and translate that into an assumption that all NFL drives have exactly 6 plays. We'll also assume that the chance of a penalty on any given play is about 0.075. If all penalties occurred randomly we would expect the following frequency of penalties per 6 play drive:

0 penalties: 0.638
1 penalty: 0.304
2 penalties: 0.061
3 penalties: 0.006

Compared to actual 2012 NFL frequencies

0 penalties: 0.649
1 penalty: 0.246
2 penalties: 0.076
3 penalties: 0.021

So NFL refs tend to bunch penalties on a given drive more than one would expect if penalties were completely at random. This might be related to sloppiness of a particular team or make-up penalties. Of course the relatively small difference between NFL rates and my ideal rates could be tied to the assumptions I made in the analysis.

Probably only Rain Man and I will find this all fascinating.

Originally Posted by AustinChief (Post 9856818)

ok so what is the penalty for playing a player COMPLETELY out of position compared to a street free agent. For example, if I played an LT at TE would he be a badass blocker but catch for crap or would he just suck completely?

Originally Posted by Alex Smith HATER (Post 9856820)

I had a backup LT at 3rd TE last season and it didn't negatively affect my team.

Originally Posted by carlos3652 (Post 9856940)

good game cdcox... i was not able to do anything on offense. congrats.

Originally Posted by tambaberry (Post 9856938)

This thing really pisses me off sometimes, both my games were ****ing stupid.

Originally Posted by cdcox (Post 9856952)

Looks like you tried to go run heavy to avoid my pass rush. I was happy to see my defense step up and hold your rushing attach (including Jamaal Charles) to under 2 yards per carry. Good game, I was on the edge of my seat until the end.