Originally Posted by Megatron96 (Post 15389343)

Picked MIA to win?

Originally Posted by pugsnotdrugs19 (Post 15389347)

Yep. They’re all over it.

I can see the path — Miami heat in December, Chiefs have been playing down to the wire games, Dolphins have a defense that can make stops and create turnovers.

But I think they’re going to struggle to score on Kansas City a lot more than most seem to expect. I’m standing by a 27-16 Chiefs prediction where we score toward the end to put it away.

Originally Posted by Megatron96 (Post 15389159)

MIA defense gave up 31 pts to both BUF and SEA, 28 to the Rams, 31 to ARI, and 29 pts to LAC.

None of those offenses are anywhere near the same efficiency as the Chiefs. The closest might be SEA or BUF.

And MIA hasn't played a decent QB in over a month, and haven't played a top 5 offense since SEA.

This might be a smoke and mirrors situation. Their defense has played pretty well since their bye week in week 8, but they've only played Goff and Kyler, and haven't played a good offense since.

Judging from the film, to generate consistent pressure they have to bring extra men and blitz, and we know you can't blitz Patrick. And their CBs are good, but none of them are good/fast enough to go 1v1 with Hill, and no one can go 1v1 with Kelce.

If I were Andy I'd try to attack using misdirection (Dolphins defense looked susceptible to overrunning plays), stretch the field horizontally and look for big plays on crossers. Try to blow the game open early, and lean on the run game to salt the game away.

MIA may have a good/great defense, but their offense looks kind of simple, they have maybe two or three legit weapons, and none of them are RBs. Find a way to lock down Parker and Gesicki, and make Tua throw to anyone else. Even if they can move the ball down and score, it won't be fast enough to match KC.

But honestly, i think Spags feasts on Tua and this MIA offense. If Mathieu plays, he could have a career-type day.

Originally Posted by pugsnotdrugs19 (Post 15389340)

I’ve probably saw more talking heads pick the Dolphins to win than any Chiefs opponent since Baltimore, week 3.

Originally Posted by O.city (Post 15389419)

If the chiefs are locked in they’ll beat the shit out of them

Same as every game this season.

The chiefs are that much better than everyone

Originally Posted by Megatron96 (Post 15389159)

MIA defense gave up 31 pts to both BUF and SEA, 28 to the Rams, 31 to ARI, and 29 pts to LAC.

None of those offenses are anywhere near the same efficiency as the Chiefs. The closest might be SEA or BUF.

And MIA hasn't played a decent QB in over a month, and haven't played a top 5 offense since SEA.

This might be a smoke and mirrors situation. Their defense has played pretty well since their bye week in week 8, but they've only played Goff and Kyler, and haven't played a good offense since.

Judging from the film, to generate consistent pressure they have to bring extra men and blitz, and we know you can't blitz Patrick. And their CBs are good, but none of them are good/fast enough to go 1v1 with Hill, and no one can go 1v1 with Kelce.

If I were Andy I'd try to attack using misdirection (Dolphins defense looked susceptible to overrunning plays), stretch the field horizontally and look for big plays on crossers. Try to blow the game open early, and lean on the run game to salt the game away.

MIA may have a good/great defense, but their offense looks kind of simple, they have maybe two or three legit weapons, and none of them are RBs. Find a way to lock down Parker and Gesicki, and make Tua throw to anyone else. Even if they can move the ball down and score, it won't be fast enough to match KC.

But honestly, i think Spags feasts on Tua and this MIA offense. If Mathieu plays, he could have a career-type day.

Originally Posted by RaidersOftheCellar (Post 15390079)

I think the Chiefs have the best A game, but I’m not sure their typical performance is on a different level than everyone else’s.

I think the combination of coaching staff, QB and skill players is easily the best in the league. But I saw some stats the other day that confirmed what I suspected. KC’s rate of “winning” at run-blocking is worst in the league. They’re near the worst at stopping the run. And their pass rush has been a little below average.

If you swapped coaching staffs and QB/receivers with the Jets, we might be as bad as they are. Obviously those people mask our problems well, but the bottom line is that it’s not a team that can just line up and overwhelm you physically. Winning at the rate they have has required them to be consistently smart, creative, efficient and mistake-free.

Originally Posted by RaidersOftheCellar (Post 15390079)

I think the Chiefs have the best A game, but I’m not sure their typical performance is on a different level than everyone else’s.

I think the combination of coaching staff, QB and skill players is easily the best in the league. But I saw some stats the other day that confirmed what I suspected. KC’s rate of “winning” at run-blocking is worst in the league. They’re near the worst at stopping the run. And their pass rush has been a little below average.

If you swapped coaching staffs and QB/receivers with the Jets, we might be as bad as they are. Obviously those people mask our problems well, but the bottom line is that it’s not a team that can just line up and overwhelm you physically. Winning at the rate they have has required them to be consistently smart, creative, efficient and mistake-free.