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Wisconsin is good, but they play the excruciating Big 10 style where they're always a basket away from either winning or losing. As said before, Georgetown is good, but not as good as last year.... Pittsburgh attempted 44 free throws in the Big East championship. Those are the toughest to figure out, IMO. They're good enough at the style they play to go to the Final Four, but they'll do it with an average margin of victory of 3 points per game (see Ohio State last year). |
I was nice to KState... I have them losing in the Elite 8 to KU... trying to relive the mojo from 88.
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KSU won't beat USC.
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It would be nice to see KU go past the second round this year.
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John Calipari is a god damned saint:
Today, the final AP Top 25 men's basketball poll of the 2007-08 season was released. The Tigers have now been ranked in the top 25 of the AP Poll for 57 consecutive weeks. 36 of those weeks, Memphis has been in the top 5. Memphis and UCLA are the only two programs that have been ranked in the poll every week of the last three seasons. -Preseason 05: #12 (0-0) -03/13/06: #4 (30-3) -Preseason 06: #14 (0-0) -03/12/07: #5 (30-3) -Preseason 07: #3 (0-0) -03/17/08: #2 (33-1) |
Let the record show that 18 of the past 19 championships have been won by teams that earned either a No. 1 (12 times), 2 (three times) or 3 (three times.) The exception was the 1997 Arizona team that toppled three top seeds.
So I've already cut my list of possible champs to a dozen. Further cuts are required. To make them I went to the NCAA's Official 2008 Men's Final Four Record Book, which shows team statistics of every champion. I decided to limit my comparisons to the past 19 seasons, the period when all but one winner has been seeded No. 3 or better. Championship teams share many strengths, most of them involving the ability to shoot well and score. Here are four qualities I selected: Scoring -- 18 of the past 19 champions averaged at least 77 points per game. Two-point field-goal shooting -- 16 of the past 19 champs shot 48 percent or better. Three-point field-goal shooting -- 16 of the past 19 champs made at least 37 percent of their three-point shots. Free-throw shooting -- 17 of the past 19 champions shot 68 percent or better from the line. Of the 12 top seeds in the 2008 tournament, two qualify in every category -- North Carolina and Kansas. Tough to question their credentials as No. 1 seeds. Louisville Courier-Journal |
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