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-   -   Chiefs Chiefs vs. 49ers Win Probability (https://chiefsplanet.com/BB/showthread.php?t=233890)

CaliforniaChief 09-21-2010 06:11 PM

I'm sorta where RNR is. Finding ways to win builds momentum. Late in a close game, the team that's been winning is more confident that they'll find the way to win again. Opposite with teams that have been losing.

Niners in a short week, deflated from a heart-breaking loss...Chiefs coming into a bye afterwards gives us the edge.

Superior coaching and a mistake-prone 49ers team gives us the slight edge.

60%.

Bane 09-21-2010 06:12 PM

I went with 70% again,but I expect this to be a very tough game for us.

Hog's Gone Fishin 09-21-2010 06:25 PM

40% Cassel sucks even at home.

Bane 09-21-2010 06:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hog Farmer (Post 7026046)
40% Cassel sucks even at home.

Look out man! He may go psycho and throw for 200 yards and 2 TD's and wooooo Arrowhead into a massive frenzy!!!:thumb:

Matt mother****ing Cassel baby!! YEAH!!!!!

:banghead:

RealSNR 09-21-2010 06:30 PM

I'm not deeply concerned about our defense against the San Fran offense.

I am, however, deeply concerned about our offense against the San Fran defense.

It's gonna be Jamaal Charles time. Thomas Jones doesn't match up well. Patrick Willis will hold him to .000000001 YPC. Our coaches need to acknowledge this or we will suck all day.

We're also gonna need a good game out of Cassel against that defense, and I don't know where it's going to come from. Maybe a good game exists far up his ass somewhere, but it's his job to pull it out. He's got the work ethic, but I don't think he has the attitude.

KC Jones 09-21-2010 06:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SNR (Post 7026054)
I'm not deeply concerned about our defense against the San Fran offense.

I am, however, deeply concerned about our offense against the San Fran defense.

It's gonna be Jamaal Charles time. Thomas Jones doesn't match up well. Patrick Willis will hold him to .000000001 YPC. Our coaches need to acknowledge this or we will suck all day.

We're also gonna need a good game out of Cassel against that defense, and I don't know where it's going to come from. Maybe a good game exists far up his ass somewhere, but it's his job to pull it out. He's got the work ethic, but I don't think he has the attitude.

I agree with you completely. If we're lucky, our ST play will help us win what promises to be a punt fest and maybe get us in FG range a couple of times.

Pasta Little Brioni 09-21-2010 06:59 PM

Don Criqui isn't calling this game. That makes everyone involved a winner.

DaneMcCloud 09-21-2010 07:03 PM

I went with 70%.

SF will be coming off a tough, emotional loss on a short week. I'd imagine the Arrowhead will at least 80% of what is was during the MNF game and that should be enough to disorient Jimmy Raye and the 49ers offense.

I think Special Teams will probably ending up winning this game for the Chiefs.

16-13 Chiefs.

Bane 09-21-2010 07:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaneMcCloud (Post 7026105)
I went with 70%.

SF will be coming off a tough, emotional loss on a short week. I'd imagine the Arrowhead will at least 80% of what is was during the MNF game and that should be enough to disorient Jimmy Raye and the 49ers offense.

I think Special Teams will probably ending up winning this game for the Chiefs.

16-13 Chiefs.

I feel another score on D coming as well.:thumb:
Our run D will get tested for sure.Gore is a fuggn monster!

tonyetony 09-21-2010 07:12 PM

I love public polls. I knew someone would be down there spooning Knowmo's ass!!!

Pasta Little Brioni 09-21-2010 07:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bane (Post 7026112)
I feel another score on D coming as well.:thumb:
Our run D will get tested for sure.Gore is a fuggn monster!

They've got some talented players, but I guarentee at Niner Planet they've got the same "confidence" in the QB position that those here have.

Three7s 09-21-2010 07:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SNR (Post 7026054)
I'm not deeply concerned about our defense against the San Fran offense.

I am, however, deeply concerned about our offense against the San Fran defense.

It's gonna be Jamaal Charles time. Thomas Jones doesn't match up well. Patrick Willis will hold him to .000000001 YPC. Our coaches need to acknowledge this or we will suck all day.

We're also gonna need a good game out of Cassel against that defense, and I don't know where it's going to come from. Maybe a good game exists far up his ass somewhere, but it's his job to pull it out. He's got the work ethic, but I don't think he has the attitude.

You'll be disappointed, listening to an interview with Grunhard today on .810, he said that there is, certainly, something going on with the lack of playing time for Charles, and I doubt it'll end, barring a Thomas Jones injury.

That being the case, I'll go with 30%. Our idiotic coaching staff decides to keep our best player in 25% of the time, and Cassel sucks. They should beat us 17-13 or something.

RealSNR 09-21-2010 07:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Three7s (Post 7026131)
You'll be disappointed, listening to an interview with Grunhard today on .810, he said that there is, certainly, something going on with the lack of playing time for Charles, and I doubt it'll end, barring a Thomas Jones injury.

That being the case, I'll go with 30%. Our idiotic coaching staff decides to keep our best player in 25% of the time, and Cassel sucks. They should beat us 17-13 or something.

As much as I distrust Haley, Weis, and Carthon to make the best decisions, I'll wait and see about this. Does Grunhard have a report about this or is he speculating just as much as we the fans are?

The Niners are a tough, fast, defense that close holes quickly and overpower offensive lines up front. It's obvious who the best option is to overcome that. There's film from last year, this year, and we have a coach in Weis who scours over this footage (at least according to the reports). I really hope they see this objective truth.

JD10367 09-21-2010 07:34 PM

Last night's game went the best possible way for KC. SF played very well, which gives Haley plenty of ammo to scare the players with. SF lost, which will make them disappointed and questioning themselves. SF made stupid mistakes, which gives Chiefs fans reason to hope and believe there'll be more of the same. Throw in that it's at Arrowhead, Cassel is bound to play a little better, and Alex Smith is bound to play a little worse. You have two teams with stout D, good running games, and QBs who are questionable, but with those variables I think Chiefs win factor is 80%.

Bane 09-21-2010 07:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JD10367 (Post 7026156)
Last night's game went the best possible way for KC. SF played very well, which gives Haley plenty of ammo to scare the players with. SF lost, which will make them disappointed and questioning themselves. SF made stupid mistakes, which gives Chiefs fans reason to hope and believe there'll be more of the same. Throw in that it's at Arrowhead, Cassel is bound to play a little better, and Alex Smith is bound to play a little worse. You have two teams with stout D, good running games, and QBs who are questionable, but with those variables I think Chiefs win factor is 80%.

Almost sounds like one of those good old fashioned 6-3 half time scores in the making.God I hope its nice!I'm betting Pioli/Haley has held Cassel back so he could unleash him upon the NFL world on a fair weathered day at Arrowhead and showcase his supreme skill set!YEAH!
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