Originally Posted by htismaqe (Post 9367296)

By compressing the passing game vertically, you increase his completion percentage but you BARELY affect his overall interception percentage.

Furthermore, by compressing it SO much that he can actually complete some passes, you neuter the offense to the point they can't even get a first down.

You'd be better off to chuck it deep more often and see if you could get a PI penalty. At the very least you're stretching the field and decompressing your running game and if he throws a pick, it's basically the same as punting.

Originally Posted by mdchiefsfan (Post 9367320)

I understand what you are saying, in theory, but you are saying that the defense stacked the box because we didn't pass the ball long. That's not true. Teams stacked the box because he couldn't complete a pass that far.

Originally Posted by htismaqe (Post 9367378)

No, that's not necessarily what I'm saying. I'm talking about probabilities.

While throwing it short decreases somewhat the chances of something BAD happening, when you have a QB like Cassel, it also doesn't increase the chances of something GOOD happening.

And if teams are stacking the box, that improves the probabilities on the long pass. At the very least, you catch the DBs off-guard and they have to hold or PI...

Originally Posted by mdchiefsfan (Post 9367438)

I think the probabilities show that throwing it far means you have less of a chance to complete a pass and just as much or slightly more of a chance of getting picked.

We may have to agree to disagree here, brotha.

Originally Posted by mdchiefsfan (Post 9367279)

Those numbers are misleading if you really break it down:

1-10 yards make up 46% of his pass attempts at a 66% completion rate. He was picked off in this area on 4% of his attempts.

Originally Posted by htismaqe (Post 9367451)

A complete pass isn't necessarily a positive - that should be evident from simply watching the games. You still have to get the ball beyond the yard marker...

Originally Posted by Rausch (Post 9367459)

So he's an extremely timid passer.

And when you consider in his completion percentage he's just dog$#it...

Originally Posted by mdchiefsfan (Post 9367470)

I understand that. But if you take into account that if your chucking the ball down-field with an extremely inaccurate passer all together, when you decrease the chance for a completion by going for a longer throw, the 10 yards is harder to get when you only have two attempts, instead of 3, to gain them.

Originally Posted by htismaqe (Post 9367472)

I'm struggling to find another QB in the NFL that completed less than 70% of his passes BEHIND THE LOS.

Originally Posted by htismaqe (Post 9367472)

I'm struggling to find another QB in the NFL that completed less than 70% of his passes BEHIND THE LOS.

Originally Posted by htismaqe (Post 9367477)

You have to factor in the fact that current rules create a situation where PI is called about 1/3 of the time. That's an automatic first down and potentially a HUGE play that, with said QB, you can't get ANY OTHER WAY.

Originally Posted by SNR (Post 9367482)

Brady Quinn?

Originally Posted by mdchiefsfan (Post 9367491)

I wouldn't want to game plan on an intangible like that because it becomes a 50/50 shot of who gets called for PI

Originally Posted by htismaqe (Post 9367539)

Well, we are talking about game planning around MATT CASSEL. :D