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-   -   Chiefs Chiefs vs. 49ers Win Probability (https://chiefsplanet.com/BB/showthread.php?t=233890)

Three7s 09-21-2010 07:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SNR (Post 7026146)
As much as I distrust Haley, Weis, and Carthon to make the best decisions, I'll wait and see about this. Does Grunhard have a report about this or is he speculating just as much as we the fans are?

The Niners are a tough, fast, defense that close holes quickly and overpower offensive lines up front. It's obvious who the best option is to overcome that. There's film from last year, this year, and we have a coach in Weis who scours over this footage (at least according to the reports). I really hope they see this objective truth.

I think Grunhard was just giving his opinion on the situation. Grunhard went on to mention that Weis might not even know which RB is in or not, which is ridiculous. If it's Carthon who's responsible for this, he needs to be fired.

If anyone missed the interview and wants to check it out, just go to 810whb's website. (would post link, but can't due to noob status)

BillSelfsTrophycase 09-21-2010 07:56 PM

Smith vs Casshole

What a barnburner this should be

Wallcrawler 09-21-2010 08:07 PM

Berry is going to have to be on his A game this week. Hes monstrous against the run, but those deep bombs have made the scoreboards look better than they should have these past 2 games.

Concentrating too hard on Gore and trying to get a jump on him could cost us a big play again this week.

I think the Chiefs win if the crowd is anything like they were in the Monday Nighter. What we cant have is to have that stadium go quiet after a slow start, which is sure to come.

RealSNR 09-21-2010 08:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Wallcrawler (Post 7026220)
Berry is going to have to be on his A game this week. Hes monstrous against the run, but those deep bombs have made the scoreboards look better than they should have these past 2 games.

Concentrating too hard on Gore and trying to get a jump on him could cost us a big play again this week.

I think the Chiefs win if the crowd is anything like they were in the Monday Nighter. What we cant have is to have that stadium go quiet after a slow start, which is sure to come.

Somebody's gotta cover Vernon Davis. We don't have a good coverage linebacker. We'll have to double/triple team him like we did Gates in the second half of the San Diego game. That's gonna open up some holes in our defense. If Berry eliminates mistakes, we might be able to get by.

It's not like Jimmy Raye is a great offensive mind or anything, but he's more than capable of finding a great game plan for a big fatass athletic TE. We've seen him do it before with Gonzalez in 1999/2000.

DaFace 09-21-2010 09:15 PM

Wow...a nice pretty bell curve this week. It makes the stats geek in me giddy.

Direckshun 09-21-2010 09:19 PM

A slightly optimistic Planet.

Been a while.

ShortRoundChief 09-21-2010 09:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SNR (Post 7026223)
Somebody's gotta cover Vernon Davis. We don't have a good coverage linebacker. We'll have to double/triple team him like we did Gates in the second half of the San Diego game. That's gonna open up some holes in our defense. If Berry eliminates mistakes, we might be able to get by.

It's not like Jimmy Raye is a great offensive mind or anything, but he's more than capable of finding a great game plan for a big fatass athletic TE. We've seen him do it before with Gonzalez in 1999/2000.


I disagree DJ is better than average in pass defense.

Rain Man 09-22-2010 08:46 AM

If the crowd can be really loud, then Jimmy Raye will start making up fake plays and we'll win.

I really liked the 49ers last year, and think that Singletary is building them in a Marty Schottenheimer manner. Defense, running, and the potential to make the playoffs and then lose in the first round perennially. I haven't seen them yet to see why they're so inconsistent, but at first glance it seems like they and the Chiefs share some of the same strengths and weaknesses so far this year: good running, bad passing, and a talented defense (though the 49ers are giving up more points so far). I think we can win it with home field advantage, the Jimmy Raye effect of bad playcalling even when he can say them correctly, and better special teams.

DonTellMeShowMe 09-22-2010 08:48 AM

A real battle of the QBs this will be

-about 50-50 split right now should be fair....

-hoping for a good game

boogblaster 09-22-2010 08:48 AM

if arrowhead is rocking again it should be a win

DonTellMeShowMe 09-22-2010 08:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Fritz88 (Post 7025982)


Hey....;)

http://www.midwestsportsfans.com/wp-...sel-chiefs.jpg

bevischief 09-22-2010 08:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JD10367 (Post 7026156)
Last night's game went the best possible way for KC. SF played very well, which gives Haley plenty of ammo to scare the players with. SF lost, which will make them disappointed and questioning themselves. SF made stupid mistakes, which gives Chiefs fans reason to hope and believe there'll be more of the same. Throw in that it's at Arrowhead, Cassel is bound to play a little better, and Alex Smith is bound to play a little worse. You have two teams with stout D, good running games, and QBs who are questionable, but with those variables I think Chiefs win factor is 80%.

I agree but I think the win factor is closer to 60%.

King_Chief_Fan 09-22-2010 08:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rain Man (Post 7027099)
If the crowd can be really loud, then Jimmy Raye will start making up fake plays and we'll win.

I really liked the 49ers last year, and think that Singletary is building them in a Marty Schottenheimer manner. Defense, running, and the potential to make the playoffs and then lose in the first round perennially. I haven't seen them yet to see why they're so inconsistent, but at first glance it seems like they and the Chiefs share some of the same strengths and weaknesses so far this year: good running, bad passing, and a talented defense (though the 49ers are giving up more points so far). I think we can win it with home field advantage, the Jimmy Raye effect of bad playcalling even when he can say them correctly, and better special teams.

yes...but I am a little concerned about that fast defense of the 9ers. Cassel needs 5 full seconds where 9ers were given Brees about 2.

38yrsfan 09-22-2010 09:02 AM

80%, same as last week and the same reason - the Chiefs are tired of losing.

I wouldn't be surprised to see Cassel pulled if he doesn't perform.

Sofa King 09-22-2010 09:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pestilence (Post 7025987)
30%

If it was in SF.....I'd give it 20%. This is going to be our defense's first real test against a real running game. Gore is going to tear us a new one and Willis is going to kill Cassel.

http://www.nichesbythenumbers.com/im...rs_crossed.jpg


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