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http://www.nfl.com/videos/kansas-cit...-in-first-half |
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I didn't realize that I had to be 100% perfectly clear so that you couldn't argue about technicalities instead of actually bringing some substance to the conversation. |
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But when you only mention that, and don't ever acknowledge the shortcomings of the QB, THEN it becomes and excuse. I'm sure you know the difference, considering you like to nitpick on technicalities and all. |
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IMO, there is no evidence yet to suggest he's going to develop into a great passer. He has played well at times on a pretty elite team. A lot of scramblers could pile up yardage improvising with Davis, Crabtree, and Boldin out there, and win games with a defense that can cover for him when it needs to. Situations like the 4th quarter against the Seahawks in the postseason probably tell us more, IMO. That's what we Chiefs fans say we care about (as if we deserve to call ourselves quarterbacking snobs), the ability to win the super bowl and not regular season games... right? |
I'd like to see the game by game break down of Smith's deep pass attempts.
I'd bet that 60+% of his deep balls came in the last 7 games. |
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He didn't lose the game. He also didn't WIN it. Isn't that, after all, what was said about Kaepernick? It's not about blaming everything on Alex Smith anymore than it's not about making sure he takes zero blame. It's about being fair and objective. |
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Oh yea.
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Seems strange that Bowe's toe has that much power to change the entire conversation? Note here, I'm not blaming Bowe for the loss. Just pointing out that if he points the toe, we are talking about Smith in a different way. Seems strange that the isolated action of one could alter the conversation of another. |
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The Chiefs were down by 1 point and facing a 4th and 11. Bowe stepped out at the 19 yard line. The game wasn't "won" if Bowe makes that catch. It certainly COULD have been won but it wasn't "won" until somebody scored. Second, everybody is conveniently forgetting what setup that play. Alex Smith was penalized for intentional grounding on 2 and 7 and then on 3rd and 17, dumped it off to McCluster for 6 yards. For the record, I don't blame Bowe OR Smith. The defender made an excellent play against the boundary. |
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I personally don't want Alex to be a downfield gunslinger without the right receivers. Rather, I'd rather he keep mixing his game up. Pretty much only Donnie Avery is his consistent down field receiver, which is pretty sad considering Avery's tendency to drop passes. |
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My point wasn't to look at every play of the game. No one is going to be perfect (including Bowe, or the line or the D), my point was simply that if Bowe's points the toe, the narrative completely changes. I've just never really understood that. Another example is the San Diego game that Smith played in. Late in the 4th qtr, he leads the team down the field and throws what is likely the game winning TD. Standing on the sidelines, the D allows SD to march right back with seconds only on the clock and complete a desperate last second pass to win the game. The narrative for some was, "see, Smith can't put the team on his back". We all know that if the D just makes SD work a little harder, they run out of clock, Chiefs win and the narrative is Smith came through in the clutch and won that game. How can the narrative on Smith (or any player for that matter) change due to the circumstances that are beyond his control? |
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I'm not asking Smith to be perfect. But I'm also not going to sit here and pretend that he is when he's clearly not. |
The addition of Charles in that game is the difference maker in regards to clock management. Props to Davis. He ran hard but he isn't Charles. Plus after he went down it sucked the life out of the offense. Smith was a stud in that game. It wasn't lost by the offense. They did their part.
Cue Kendrick Lewis highlight on defense. |
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But 44pts - "he can't win the big game", can't come through down the stretch, can't step up when it matters most, etc.? In my opinion however, even having scored just the 44pts, he did do all of those things. When the game came down to do or die, Smith and the offense marched down the field. On 4th down and 11, with the entire KC playoff drought history in the balance, Smith throws a dart to his receiver that - if not for a fractured foot - puts the team in FG range and a high probability of putting those all important 3 pts on the board. Quote:
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You're misunderstanding the purpose of this argument, though, and playing right into exactly what I'm talking about. Quote:
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Again, I don't blame it on him. But to sit here and act like he did everything he could to win the game and had nothing to do with the fact they lost is disingenuous. He had a fumble in the 3rd quarter too, did he not? Quote:
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As far as responding to anything even remotely critical... You said he isn't clutch. I think he is. What's the point of MBs if not to respond when someone says something you don't agree with? |
to: temper11
Pretty obvious that you are dealing with a "former" hater of Alex that either can't stop that hateful nit-picking habit that built up for months.... or is just completely full of shit to begin with about "suddenly being in his corner now." |
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You look at all the winning QB's in the playoffs and you can't find one that had a better game than Smith, but that one point deficit is cause enough to point out any imperfection in his game while claiming perfection isn't required. Frustrating as an unabashed Smith fan. |
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Rypien's games was the deep ball the year they won the SB. |
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You're about the dumbest poster here and that's saying something. Now leave the adults to their discussion and stop butting in. |
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This is called backlash. I've been MORE than fair in my analysis of Alex Smith over the past 4 months. In return, I have to put up with shit like you see posted below. So you'll have to excuse me if I'm not all sunshine and rainbows. I live in reality. |
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I wasn't a Smith fan to start the season but I probably underestimated him a little and underestimated Reid a lot. I chose Kaep in this poll however for the fact of their ages and what Milkman said. Colin with Reid. |
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I contribute more to this board in 1 day than you've contributed in your entire time here. You don't know the first thing about me. |
Turn your rep on pussy.
Let's see who the worst poster on Chiefsplanet is. |
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temper11 is easily a better poster than I.. and he sufficiently put you in your place... so that's good enough for me. |
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There's dozens of people here that do though. That's why you won't enable your rep. |
One of the longest tenured and most respected posters on this board is "the worst poster here".
I've seen some stupid shit posted here, but this might take the cake. |
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Did my rep pop up now? Would it make your world happy if 10000 people dropped my green to red? that would somehow matter? pathetic. |
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Even though I also said I LOVE him as the Chiefs QB. And even though I was man enough to come back and admit that I was DEAD WRONG about Alex Smith and ate enough crow to kill a small 3rd-world nation, I'm an asshole quitter. It's ok. I might be concerned if this weren't coming from the village ****ing leper. |
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Only someone who REALLY cares about rep disables it. |
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You are an asshole quitter because you admitted to leaving for a while because you disagreed with F/O moves, and had said repeatedly that "you no longer care" what happens with the Chiefs." Your words... but you will likely backtrack from this as well to "save face" and keep your green rep up. Pathetic! |
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While it might rub your vagina the wrong way, he'll be named over 80% of the time - and that's being conservative. Forget about rep color - making a comment like the one you made tells the membership here everything they need to know about you. |
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I told everyone why I left and it wasn't because of the Chiefs or any of their personnel moves. Once again, you're completely wrong. There's no need for me to save face, everybody knows why I left. |
Might I remind everyone that, in the end, we all want the same thing. (Why is it that everytime I say that it sounds like I want it "in-the-ass"?) :) Dammit.
At the end of the day, we all want the same thing. There, fixed. |
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ROFL I sent Sandy a PM. As far as I'm concerned, I was wrong and this is over. |
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I await the typical response now of "no one cares, **** off and die in an aids tree fire soaked with antifreeze." :) |
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Right.......... and your join date proves that , yep a real die hard that suffered through the shit times and can give valid opinions instead crushing on Alex. |
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People are built differently, and handle sports disappointments differently... there's no shame in that. |
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Case in point, thanks for underscoring your existence here. |
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You can't say a marksman who hits 70% of his bullseye's at 100 yards is a better shot that a marksman who hits 55% of his bullseye's at 1000 yards. Unless both are shooting at the same range, you can't compare them. So you can't compare Alex's high-percentage heavy passing with Kaepernick's. Back on the real subject of Kaepernick's accuracy, here AGAIN for all of you who ignored it, is a chart showing that last year Kaepernick was the 2nd most accurate deep passing QB in the league last year. Unless you think that completing deep passes has NOTHING to do with passing accuracy. :) ************************************************************ "But who's throwing the most accurate deep throws? Pro Football Focus also tracks receiver drops, so instead of completion percentage—which knocks the QB for throws that should have been caught—we can use PFF's "accuracy" figure, which is a measurement of how many throws were on target (completions + drops over attempts):" http://i.kinja-img.com/gawker-media/...tjf4zbyjpg.jpg Source article for you to ignore: http://regressing.deadspin.com/chart...nfl-1469917039 |
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I know my posts require at least a 3rd grade reading level, but try to keep up. |
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NFC Championship Game Largest comeback: 17 points (trailed 17–0; won 28–24), San Francisco 49ers, 2012 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NFC_Championship_Game NFC Championship: Colin Kaepernick Overcomes 17-Point Deficit in Record Win http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1...-in-record-win Falcons vs. 49ers: Colin Kaepernick leads stunning rally to the super bowl http://www.sportingnews.com/nfl/stor...k-jim-harbaugh |
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Right? |
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Does anybody here realize that Kaepernick overcame a 17-point deficit to beat the Falcons to get to the super bowl? A record, by the way. The largest comeback in the history of the NFC Championship game. Does anybody here realize that Kaepernick and the 49ers have twice as many road playoff wins as Joe Montana and Steve Young combined? Or that Kaepernick is the only 49ers Quarterback to win back to back road playoff games? I am NOT comparing Kaepernick, who is currently a middle tier QB, to Hall of Famers. I am just giving perspective of his elite potential. |
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Alex CAN throw deep passes and has done so. I am sure you've seen them. He is just unwilling to throw deep passes. He craves the sure thing. He hates failure and every incompletion is a failure. So he craves his check downs and short passes. Fortunately he is a master of the short passing game. Fortunately, Andy Reid likes that. Fortunately Jamaal Charles can break big runs when Alex passes to him behind the line of scrimmage. It is Alex's cautiousness that is my knock on him, not his deep pass. He would rather take the sure sack than risk a bad play. He would rather hit the open receiver behind the line of scrimmage, than the half-open wide receiver 30 yards downfield. He manages the game and brilliantly. He is very smart. But you don't usually see the killer instinct you see dwelling in the champions. The ones who would rather hacksaw their cars in half than lose. I will take Kaepernick's killer instinct any day over Alex's caution. |
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Rich Gannon is the only QB I can think of who leaped above his previous plateau after about 100 career starts. He had just about as many starts as Alex does now when he went on a tear with the Raiders and balled out. Became a beast. Rich Gannon is the exeption that proves the rule. It is almost unheard of for an NFL Quarterback to leap in performance after 100 starts. http://www.pro-football-reference.co...nRi00/gamelog/ Brees did improve and he had about 60 starts and showed elite flashes when he was still in San Diego. They just lost patience with him and were seduced by Phillip Rivers. http://www.pro-football-reference.co...eDr00/gamelog/ |
To be fair, Rich Gannon was the perfect fit for Gruden's offense. Without that offense, Rich Gannon was a career journeyman and not much more. Sometimes lightning strikes like that.
I'm not the world's biggest Alex Smith fan, but Andy Reid gushes about him like he's the QB he's wanted since he started coaching. |
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Kaepernick has 30 career starts and is still developing. Like Drew Brees who did not hit his stride until 60 starts, Kaepernick is still developing. As a general rule, you do not know what you really have with a developing Quarterback before 50 starts. Around 50 starts, you know exactly what you have. Steve Young took more than 50 NFL starts to hit his stride. If Andy Reid had come to the Chiefs in 2011 and drafted Colin Kaepernick, he would be insane to cut him or bench him today. Flat out insane. He would never do it. He would be thrilled with Kaepernick's progress after only a year and a half starting. You know it and I know it. |
And Drew Brees notched a 104.8 QBR in his 4th season in San Diego. Depending on which numbers you look at, statistically it was his 3rd or 4th-best season of his entire career. He's not even really in the discussion.
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I don't know why Andy loves Alex, but you have to admit, Alex made Jamaal Charles all world last year. Charles is your offense's playmaker, so the more effective that tandem is, the more chance you have to win. The question is, now that a year of tape is out there on the Alex to Charles connection, will defenses adjust, or will Charles still be able to score 4 receiving TDs in a game where 2 of them come off long runs from passes behind the line of scrimmage. If Andy can get Alex to stretch the field to the Wide Receivers AT ALL, then this tandem has a good chance to repeat. I can't find it now, but I read where Alex passing rate to Wide Receivers was 32nd in the league last year. The bottom. Dead last. He had a low passing rate to WRs with San Francisco also. The tight ends and RBs tend to get above average passing rates from Alex Smith. Team doesn't matter. |
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The Smith/Reid situation is strikingly similar. What that tells me is that Alex probably has a slightly better chance to strike gold than any old schmoe out there. He's literally in the perfect situation. Quote:
Whether or not it actually happened, I don't know. I do know that the Alex Smith we saw after the bye week threw the ball downfield A LOT more. I mean, the difference was almost immediately visible. Quote:
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I noted that already. What flashes of elite passing did Alex show in his 1st 100 starts. So with Drew Brees you had a relatively late bloomer, but he showed flashes of it much younger. With Alex, you have a consistently steady, unspectacular, workman, journey, reliable, game manager both in San Francisco and with KC. All indications are that Alex has hit his plateau and you are not going to see significantly higher performance from him. This goes back to my claim that Alex's ceiling is Kaepernick's floor. Kapernick, like Brees, has shown flashes of elite potential even as he needs a lot of improvement to move up form his current middle-tier status. A lot of people hate QBR, but Kaepernick is the only QB that I have ever heard has posted back to back games with 99 QBR (out of 100 total). Quote:
Colin Kaepernick is a mid-tier young Quarterback of 32 starts, showing flashes of elite potential, being groomed by one of the NFL's QB gurus. Que Drew Brees. |
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EDIT: You originally mentioned BOTH Gannon and Brees in comparison to Alex Smith. I was only letting you know that there was no comparison between Brees and Smith really. It's obvious now what you meant. You're going back and forth between Smith and Kap too fast. Slow down. :D |
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Good luck Alex. |
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Internet communication is so much harder than sitting in a room and seeing how a guy says something. Thanks for clarifying. |
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