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King's focusing on some pretty odd volume stats to support his argument here. Then again, Smith does really well on my 2 favorite stats (YPA and passer rating) so I'll admit my own bias there. Smith's not been the volume passer that Dalton has been, but he's been a significantly more efficient passer and he's proven to be as accurate as anyone around. |
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Smith's acceptable numbers the last two years are a direct result of being put on a leash shorter than anything Cassel was ever on. |
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I'd rather take the guy who can win. |
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The Bengals trusted Green a shitload more than the 49ers trusted any pass catcher they have. Seriously - Green spent the entire first half of the season just jumping over people and stealing away balls that should've been picked. It was a clinic. Had Dalton thrown up some of that shit in SF, he would've been crucified. I'm fairly convinced a lot of you folks didn't actually watch Dalton play much - I'm really not kidding when I say that he was little more than the AJ Green Jugs machine. |
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Yeah, very good comparison. Nice job. |
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He was on a similar leash to Cassel, but since his team wasn't having to push it downfield and because he was able to actually execute to put himself in more makeable 2nd and 3rd down solutions, he wasn't being forced to throw it downfield. And do you not agree that defense and special teams should be the Chiefs biggest strengths next season? |
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I honestly cant understand it. The chiefs qbs turned the ball over 37 times last year. That number will be cut by at least 20 next year, meaning the defense will spend less time on the field, the offense will spend more. Therefore the defense will play better, the offense will play better from the standpoint that instead of a drive ending in a turnover, it will end in a kick, one way or the other. |
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So what do you guys suggest you do?
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I'd say that makes Smith the better QB come playoff time. |
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then we can get rid of you ****ers too |
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but we wold have a better shot in future seasons than with alex ****ing smith |
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But anything to hate on the guy. Calling a QB game manager when that's what a QB supposed to do. Manage your team to victories. You don't hear other QB's being called game manager because they don't "manage" their teams to victory. You hear Alex called a game manager, because he does manage his team to victory. |
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That said, his sack% didn't go up substantially until Harbaugh took over. He was pretty reliable about getting rid of the football in 2009 and 2010. In fact, it was almost identical to Kaepernicks. But yeah, it's been unacceptably high over the last 2 seasons and that's a completely fair criticism. Over a 500 pass season, the difference between a 7% clip (reasonable) and a 9% clip is going to be 10 sacks, which is certainly not insignificant. I don't think it's quite as glaring as the folks in SF would make it sound (afterall, that's not even 1 sack/gm over an average QB), but it does make you take some pause. But I don't think it's something that is ingrained into him; he started doing it when Harbaugh arrived. If it was seemingly coached in, then I don't see why it can't be coached out. |
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I'm just speculating now, but how many 3rd downs did the 49er face respective to the rest of the league? An alternative thought would be that a guy that is a very high efficiency passer is going to do a fair amount of damage on 1st and 2nd downs, making 3rd down less common on a 'good' drive. Whereas on his bad drives, his 3rd downs are going to be fairly shitty situations; perhaps based in large part on the higher sack%. That I truly don't know. From there you're trying to extrapolate statistics to a predict the future and when you have a guy going to a completely different system (or comparing them to a guy coming from a completely different system), I don't think you're doing much good. Instead, you just have to look at skill sets. From a raw skill set perspective - I just don't see enough room to slip a business card between these two guys. They will make your football team exactly what it is - no better, no worse. Is that the ideal situation? No, I don't think it is at all, but it sure looks to me like the good ship Geno has sailed. |
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I don't watch the 49ers enough to know this: if no one is open enough for Smith, does he try to run it? That wouldn't show up as a sack or incompletion but a 1 yard run on 3rd and 6 would stop a drive just as effectively. |
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But he's a game manager in the actual sense of the term, not the euphemism tagged to shitty quarterbacks over the last 5 years. The NFL talking heads have spent 1/2 a decade propping up lousy quarterbacks on national telecasts by calling them "game managers" when that's simply not the case. Matt Cassel was never a game manager - he was a dogshit quarterback. Matt Schaub is a game manager. Sam Bradford is a game manager. And yeah, Alex Smith is a game manager. It's better than being a shitty quarterback. |
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Chiefs release Eric Winston, confuse Branden Albert
http://www.usatoday.com/story/sports...draft/1969591/ "With the 1st selection in the 2013 NFL Draft, the Kansas City Chiefs select Luke Joeckel, Tackle ...." |
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I wonder if Smith hasn't been feeling his oats a little and trying to take advantage of his athleticism (only to be pulled down before breaking the LOS) rather than just chucking it away. Like I said, it just showed up after 5 years in the league - that sure suggests a recently learned behavior. If it was learned, it can be unlearned. |
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God the leash is short. Getting instructed to take sacks..
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The Chiefs got the worst QB play in the league and were only slightly below average in 3rd down%, so that at least suggests that maybe your QB play isn't a great indicator of success on 3rd downs. |
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But like I said, the Geno's not walking through that door. I hate it, but it is what it is. So let's discuss what we will have for a bit. What we will have really isn't half as bad as some folks are making him out to be. |
so Andy Reid is going to let this guy come in here and just magically start slinging it 30-40 times a game in Andys offense, a guy that is coming from a team that told him to basically take the sack because his crappy noodle arm and gun shy ability to fit it in a window ends up in turnovers.
oh, joy, that's not a recipe for disaster or anything |
Alex Smith is capable of putting up 25 TD's.
The guy is going to be better in KC. We're going to air it out way more than he ever did in San Francisco. |
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While Harbaugh is certainly a very good head coach, he and Greg Roman aren't exactly offensive "wizards" with decades long track record of developing and/or making average QB's appear to be well above average. All of this "gloom and doom" and Smith=Cassel is complete and utter garbage. |
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Yes, Smith is taking sacks because he's trying to make plays with his legs instead of throwing interceptions. Why do we think that's a bad thing again? |
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If you look at the 3rd down stats as well those aren't only the QB's stats. 49ers often, very often, ran on third downs as well. Did it with Kaep as well. 49ers short yardage situations were horrible all year.
So it's pretty unfair to base a QB on 3rd down percentage when he hands the ball off. |
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Against the Saints in the playoffs, Smith threw the ball 42 times and scored 3 TD's while putting 300 yards on the board. |
And boom goes the alexmite.
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That's like bragging about holding the Chiefs offense down last year. |
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That tends to make a big difference. |
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Alex Smith vs Saints his WR's
Crabtree #1 Brett Swain(didn't even get picked up this year) #2 Joe Hastings/Tedd Ginn(one doesn't play, other is not a good WR in the least) #3 |
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That's like saying all Trent Green had was Eddie Kennison and Johnny Morton. |
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essentially "stop trying to make play, you arent a playmaker, you are what you are" |
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And the best D in the league gave up how many 4-QRT TD's. AS had 2 4-QRT scoring drives that put his team in the lead, going the length of field. Sorry, I will take AS any time when the game is on the line, I watched him his entire career. I think he is a late bloomer and He is going to be really good in KC. That said, the Chiefs should draft Geno let him sit a couple of years and learn. Don't just throw him into the fire, I firmly believe that is why AS had such a ruff start, JFC what where you doing at 20. What wrong with that. |
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The thought has crossed my mind that Reid is every bit as capable of coaxing strong play out of QBs as Reid is, but my God, the backlash I'd get for that... If Reid is even a reasonable facsimile of Harbaugh, and that seems like a conservative guess, there's no reason to expect this massive regression. Alex Smith can be a nice QB for us. |
14 completions that game went to Vernon Davis and Frank Gore
so at least ten of those were "1st read covered I cant make that pass so Im going to check it down to my security blanket or take a sack" |
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meanwhile in checkdown land aka Im afraid to throw it in a tight window/covered WR, Michael Crabtree catches 4-25, out of 11 targets for a LONGEST OF 9 ****ing yards. im so excited for the King of Dink and Checkdown take a Sack dunk to be the Chiefs QB. |
Alex Smith
3rd and 8-10- 12/15 3rd and 11+- 8/10 3rd and 6+ was 72% |
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Newsflash: this trade still sucks.
Posted via Mobile Device |
yea cool he can throw a hook pattern to Vernon Davis or a flat to Frank Gore and hope their playmaking ability gets him more yards than what he actually threw it for. congrats
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