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I think what we're concluding is that housing prices are spiking everywhere for a combination of reasons.
Low interest rates certainly play a part in that. Delayed demand plays a part as millennials didn't move into the market on a predictable basis and are now starting to catch up. Millennials are a big new population of buyers. Some people may have more cash due to stimulus stuff, though that's probably not significant. And I think there's still a lingering shortage of housing dating all the way back from the 2009-2010 recession. Investment funds are screwing over the American Dream by buying houses over what real people can pay. AirBnB corporations are buying houses so they can be fake hotels without paying taxes. Combine them all and you get this. |
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None of that adds up to me and it shouldn’t be this high. |
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If I didn't like the house so much/hate moving so much I'd sell it asap and pray for a big correction, but with the Fed printing money like a teenager with a new credit card I'm not sure that's going to happen anytime soon anyway. It would only take 30 more ounces of gold at current gold prices to buy my house at its current value than it would've taken to buy it for $415k in 2014 using Oct 2014 gold prices - so it's more the dollar losing value than it is my house gaining value. |
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I downloaded a data set here that's apparently Zillow's year over year home sales prices for 2020 versus 2019.
https://sparkrental.com/hottest-real-estate-markets/ Check it out and see how your county is doing. There's some inconsistency because you may have houses in different prices ranges selling from year to year, but it gives us a good feel. The thing that strikes me is that the appreciation isn't as high as I would expect at all. Denver posted a 6.71 percent increase according to this data, which is a great number, but anecdotally I was thinking it would be double that based on what I see in the market. The median county is about 4.45 percent. |
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This boom is a supply and demand issue that is likely to linger until new home starts get going again, when lumber costs come back down. Phoenix inventory sucks right now for anything less than $500K. Probably better in Lewdog's area since nobody wants to live out there. |
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