The sweep at Cleveland last week destroyed the season. Taking 2/3 from Detroit moved us from 8 back to 7 back. There are only 2 months left. The odds of us catchign them would be low even if we were even strength, which we're not

Someone posted this in the comments section of the latest Star article online:

For the Royals to win the division, they need to play .680 ball from here out, and the Tigers cannot play better than .570 ball. Do this, and KC will win the division by a single game.

Yeah, mathematically "unlikely" to say the very least.

It's cool, teams go 46-21 all the time, right? [/sarcasm]

That's kind of an arbitrary stat. The Tigers aren't playing .570 ball now.

Oh and winning the division will be easier than winning the wildcard by two full games. hehe.

The Tigers are at .546, so .650 might do it.

The biggest points are 1. advanced metrics show that Detroit's win-loss record should be much different right now and 2. the Royals will have to go on an absolutely torrid run to become viable contenders.

Even if the tigers go 32-33 on the rest of the season, they will end at 85-77.

the Royals need to go 40-27 just to tie that. That's .597 ball. They didn't even play that well in June.

.597, which would make the Royals one of the best teams in baseball in the second half.

It is not hard math. We should be sellers. Dayton does not have a week to figure that out.

The Tigers are on pace for 88 wins, which is exactly what they had last year. That'd put us at 43-24 to tie.

I agree it's an uphill climb but I think there's zero chance we sell. 1) DM won't want to admit failure, 2) we play the Tigers 11 more times, and 3) the month of September is almost entirely against the Tigers, Indians and Mariners. And finishing against the White Sox.

Outside of all the Tigers and Indians games... after this week we only have two more series against teams with winning records, plus a makeup game against Tampa.

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedi...px-NedYost.jpg + http://cdn0.sbnation.com/uploads/cho...dard_352.0.jpg + http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-8AtG5qOdr5...+moore+sad.jpg

Ned I say moore?

One positive thing I will say: you can tell Brett has been working with Hos and Moose. If he can have a similar impact on Salvy/Esky/Butler/Gordon, the lineup will be extremely potent.

The other interesting thing is those two series against winning teams are at home, as is the Rays makeup game. So is the Orioles series this week.

The only road games the Royals have left against teams with winning records are against the Tigers and Indians.

Any of these other teams with equally unrealistic expectations are looking at their schedules, circling games against the Royals as opportunities to make up ground.

How I have grown to hate Ned's face and Dayton's stupid effing flattop.