ChiefsPlanet

ChiefsPlanet (https://chiefsplanet.com/BB/index.php)
-   Nzoner's Game Room (https://chiefsplanet.com/BB/forumdisplay.php?f=1)
-   -   Money How broke are you? (https://chiefsplanet.com/BB/showthread.php?t=242880)

BigRedChief 06-17-2021 09:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by eDave (Post 15711059)
This boom is a supply and demand issue that is likely to linger until new home starts get going again, when lumber costs come back down.

Yep, pure supply/demand issue here.

No one is getting mortgage loans that the banks know you cant afford as it was in 2008.

I refinanced recently with the same company that has the current loan to take advantage of the lower rates. If I'm an idiot and not pay my mortgage. I'd lose $100'sK. They get that profit. It's a win/win for them. They still ran me through the ringer of paperwork.

DaFace 06-17-2021 09:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lewdog (Post 15710889)
We bought our house 7 years ago and it’s doubled in value. We could currently rent this house for 2.5x our monthly mortgage payment.

None of that adds up to me and it shouldn’t be this high.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Monticore (Post 15710908)
It’s going to crash .

Quote:

Originally Posted by BigRedChief (Post 15711035)
this housing boom is different from 2008.

Yeah, there are major problems in our current housing market, but it's not the same as 2008 at all. The problem right now is a supply/demand issue as others have said rather than an issue of everyone taking out loans that they shouldn't.

The bigger issue we're starting to see in Colorado at least is that the people who work in certain areas aren't able to live there. That's becoming particularly problematic in mountain communities where there are tons of second home owners. You end up with a town where there are tons of empty houses but the workers are having to drive in from an hour away. And all those empty houses aren't spending money, so many businesses find it difficult to pay wages high enough to attract people from an hour away.

Tough to say how it'll all play out, but it doesn't seem sustainable.

scho63 06-17-2021 10:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaneMcCloud (Post 15710779)
The net loss last year was 181,000 people, which isn't even a half of a percentage point when there are 43 million in California.

But hey, I'm all for it. If millions were to leave SoCal, maybe I'd spend less time on the freeways stuck in parking lot-style traffic.

California is losing high value taxpayers and importing low value tax takers.

The 181,000 people number is only half the equation. The revenues have been declining because good wage earners have been moving an low wage earners keep moving in along with so many illegals.

Your government is bloated as ****

KCUnited 06-17-2021 10:46 AM

While certainly different than '08 there seems something inherently risky about buying at peak boom. People are settling for homes or areas they might not have normally considered and going over asking prices just to get an offer accepted. Not sure how that shakes out, and maybe it doesn't negatively, but it seems the success stories coming out of '08 were based on getting in low.

htismaqe 06-17-2021 10:49 AM

All I know is that I can't move because the market moves too ****ing fast.

Found a house the other day and it was sold in 10 hours.

eDave 06-17-2021 10:52 AM

And rents are skyrocketing out here as a result.

Bugeater 06-17-2021 11:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by eDave (Post 15711504)
And rents are skyrocketing out here as a result.

The only winners in all of this are landlords and county assessors.

eDave 06-17-2021 11:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bugeater (Post 15711543)
The only winners in all of this are landlords and county assessors.

Sellers are making out OK.

Bugeater 06-17-2021 11:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by eDave (Post 15711548)
Sellers are making out OK.

They're just going to give it all back assuming they're buying another home to live in.

htismaqe 06-17-2021 11:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by eDave (Post 15711548)
Sellers are making out OK.

Yep.

DaneMcCloud 06-17-2021 11:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by scho63 (Post 15711457)
California is losing high value taxpayers and importing low value tax takers.

The 181,000 people number is only half the equation. The revenues have been declining because good wage earners have been moving an low wage earners keep moving in along with so many illegals.

Your government is bloated as ****

Yeah, the 4.9 million that moved to CA last year were all broke ass ****tards that can't afford the high cost of housing and rent.

LMAO

Could you just give it a ****ing break and keep your politically motivated, horseshit posts in the DC?

DaFace 06-17-2021 11:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaneMcCloud (Post 15711584)
Yeah, the 4.9 million that moved to CA last year were all broke ass ****tards that can't afford the high cost of housing and rent.

LMAO

Could you just give it a ****ing break and keep your politically motivated, horseshit posts in the DC?

Yeah, he's opposite of reality about who is moving out and in. Lower-income, lower educated people are moving out (because they can't afford it). Higher-income, higher educated people are moving in (because they can). Data here:

https://www.ppic.org/blog/whos-leavi...hos-moving-in/

That's not to say that it's a good thing to force lower-income people out, of course.

eDave 06-17-2021 11:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaneMcCloud (Post 15711584)
Yeah, the 4.9 million that moved to CA last year were all broke ass ****tards that can't afford the high cost of housing and rent.

LMAO

Could you just give it a ****ing break and keep your politically motivated, horseshit posts in the DC?

You've gotten soft.

Buehler445 06-17-2021 12:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bugeater (Post 15711553)
They're just going to give it all back assuming they're buying another home to live in.

This. Pretty much just estates of dead ****s.

Bearcat 06-17-2021 12:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaFace (Post 15711603)
Yeah, he's opposite of reality about who is moving out and in. Lower-income, lower educated people are moving out (because they can't afford it). Higher-income, higher educated people are moving in (because they can). Data here:

https://www.ppic.org/blog/whos-leavi...hos-moving-in/

That's not to say that it's a good thing to force lower-income people out, of course.

Re: the "exodus" half of that, looks like they define "middle income" as about $51k - $138k, so that probably accounts for some of the confusion in terms of "rich people are moving out of California", especially for those of us living in a state where we see Californians buying up relatively expensive houses and helping jack up housing costs..

Of course $100k goes a lot further once you move out of CA, but it's also not McDonald's salary for CA, either.

They probably should have broken down that range a bit to get a better idea in terms of income out, IMO.


All times are GMT -6. The time now is 09:07 PM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.