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I would have to imagine if you are dumping outfielders for ****ing Homer Bailey and no legitimate prospects then is has to be for Harper. Took on money and the best prospect coming back doesnt have a single plus grade on any tool. Thats a yikes if Harper signs somewhere else. EDIT: Actually the money is just about equal assuming Puig is going to get $9M he projects to get in arb. |
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But Wood and Puig were arb eligible, no? I mean...non-tender them if you want them gone that bad. I have to be missing something here? What's the upshot that I'm not seeing in trading Kemp for Bailey and getting some organizational chaff thrown in to boot? It's just very odd to me that they couldn't have found a taker for Wood and Puig that didn't also require them to do that Kemp/Bailey swap. They didn't HAVE to keep Puig and Wood. Did they mis-read the market on those 2 guys that badly? |
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But again - that brings me around to my original point - why not just non-tender the both of them if all you can do with them is include them in a deal allowing you to offload Kemp for Bailey? |
I don't understand this trade from the Dodgers perspective at all. I get the need to clear some payroll for tax reasons, but they could have easily spun those guys off for prospects without needing to take back the worst starter in baseball owed $50 million.
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~$20M for Puig + Wood and $20M, assuming we are talking AAV tax hit, for Kemp. $17.5M for Bailey. So ~$22.5M cap savings for the Dodgers. Not sure where he is picking up the extra $2.5. Guess his projections on the arbs for Puig and Wood is higher than MLBTR. |
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Andrew Friedman confirmed the Dodgers will release Homer Bailey.</p>— Jorge Castillo (@jorgecastillo) <a href="https://twitter.com/jorgecastillo/status/1076259922654957568?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">December 21, 2018</a></blockquote>
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Seems to me a two year deal for $25 million is a “fair or good” deal in today’s market for Miller + incentives. If he earns them, great for him and us. He gets a vested 3rd year? Good for him and us because he’s been doing good enough to get the appearances over the last two years. |
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Bet you whatever you'd like he won't hit the 2.5 wins/season he needs for this deal to even make it to fair. And no, i'm not adopting that stupid goddamn $8 million win share nonsense. A win is worth $5 million (I can argue 4) and contracts like Fowler, Heyward and Davis driving that average up to $8 million doesn't change that. Look at his k rate and his swinging strike rate. Look at the velocity drop. You know why he took 2 years and an option? Because NOBODY was offering 3. Again - what does that tell you? MLB sees the smoke coming from the radiator on this guy. Hes cooked, man. Tito ran him as hard as Matheny ran Seigrist and at 34 yrs old hes just gassed. |
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Miller won't see 110 appearances in STL due to a combination of injuries and ineffectiveness. Though he'll still be able to punch Heyward's worthless ass out... |
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As far as Miller money goes what was the going rate - what Mo paid? How much did he overpay? |
Every free agent signing of any significance is going to be an overpay if you value a win at $4-5 million.
Harper is going to get at least $30 million a year. He’d have to average 6 - 7.5 wins a year to be value neutral at that rate, which is probably lower Than it would be. |
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Pham winning over the fans........says the Rays have no fan base. How are they supposed to compete?
It sucks going from playing in front of a great fan base to a team with really no fan base at all," he said. "St. Louis, they're one of the few teams to where day in and day out they have 40,000 fans at every game. "That's something that I miss, because even here in the Dominican they have a strong fan base for the team I'm playing for. Their fans are very supportive, they're loud. And the Rays? They just don't have that." https://www.cltampa.com/news-views/l...as-no-fan-base |
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They really have no fan base. I live 5 minutes from the stadium. They have $10 seats with $5 parking and I've went once, to see the Cardinals. The area around the stadium is blowing up. Big 20-30 story condo/retail complexes going up all around but..... it has absolutely nothing to do with the stadium or the Rays. Most people want the Rays gone or the stadium moved. Put a convention center or something in its place to ramp up the area even more. They just has a billion $ downtown Tampa deal fall through. No one wants to put up $500 million for a stadium for a team that its voters are meh about. The Rays are eventually leaving. Nothing can turn it around for them. |
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I've now lived in the Chicago area much longer than I did in Missouri. Sure as **** hasn't turned me into a Cub fan. |
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