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AussieChiefsFan 08-05-2013 06:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Archie F. Swin (Post 9859394)
So, I guess we'd prefer to have Cleveland win their series against Detroit?

Well, do we want to play for the division or a wildcard spot?

Archie F. Swin 08-05-2013 07:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by AussieChiefsFan (Post 9859408)
Well, do we want to play for the division or a wildcard spot?

unless something unforeseen happens, our only chance is for a wildcard

mr. tegu 08-05-2013 07:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mr. tegu (Post 9842837)
Through Sunday for the AL Central teams.

Detroit:
- Strasburg vs Sanchez
- Gonzalez vs Verlander
This is a pretty equal series so Detroit going 1-1 is reasonable.

Detroit went 2-0.

- Three vs Chicago: Pretty lopsided so realistically our best hope is 2-1.
That would put Detroit at 62-47 after next Sunday.

Detroit went 3-0. They are now 64-45 so I was two games off.

Cleveland:
- Danks vs McAllister
- Peavy vs Kazmir
- Quintana vs Kluber
- Sale vs Masterson
Pitching wise, the matchups aren't that unequal. Hopefully, the White Sox get a little bit of luck and take two games and Cleveland goes 2-2.

Well the White Sox didn't get any luck. They lost three games to walk offs. Two of which they had the lead late so Cleveland ends up at 4-0 here.

- Three at the Marlins. We can really only hope that Cleveland loses one to go 2-1.
That would put Cleveland at 60-51

I got this one right. Cleveland is now 62-49. So again, I was two games off.

Kansas City:
- Santana vs Pelfrey
- Guthrie vs Correia
- Shields vs Diamond
The pitching matchups favor us big time. This is a series we must win two, but I think we can go 3-0.

- Three vs the Mets. The pitching matchups will be mostly equal. Their offense has been struggling even more than ours so hopefully we can get 2 to go 2-1. That puts us at 56-52 after Sunday.

Detroit - 62-47
Cleveland - 60-51, 3 GB
Kansas City - 56-52, 5.5 GB

If we can do this we pick up 1.5 games in the AL Central and assuredly move up in the wildcard standings.

I got the Royals exactly right. But we didn't pick up any ground in the division over this stretch.

.

ChiTown 08-05-2013 07:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Deberg_1990 (Post 9859193)
Royals are 47-32 if you exclude May


8-20 in May

A .500 May and we have a 1.5 game lead for the 2nd wildcard spot. Meh, it is what it is. We need to keep chopping wood and treating every game like its do or die. Because, quite frankly, it is. Given how the teams in front of them are playing, this team can't afford to lose a series right now. And really, they need to play .630 ball the rest of the way to have a chance. 90 wins, IMO, is what it will most likely take to secure the last wildcard spot. 34-20 in the last 54 games.

So, go thru the schedule and see if you can logically get 34 wins out of the remaining games. It's doable, but we are going to have to have a HERCULEAN effort to get it done. I'm in, but it certainly looks like May will be the month that ****ed us, and ****ed us really hard.

tredadda 08-05-2013 07:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Archie F. Swin (Post 9859394)
So, I guess we'd prefer to have Cleveland win their series against Detroit?

I would rather see Detroit win that series and I think they will considering the routinely pound Cleveland. Our competition is Cleveland right now and that is the team we have been struggling with this year. Having the Tigers help us out some would be nice. If we continue to take care of business and continue to play well vs. Detroit we should be alright.

Prison Bitch 08-05-2013 07:53 AM

Cleveland had an 8 game skid earlier this year too. Every team goes through it. I think the Giants did it last year too and they won the WS. Our 8-20 month was awful yes but we were going to have a down time this year. We're just not good enough to avoid those spells.

Frankly our defense is so spectacular it has kept us in many games we'd normally have lost in years past. Stops losing streaks before they begin. We have plenty of games left withe Cleve anyway.

tredadda 08-05-2013 08:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Prison Bitch (Post 9859462)
Cleveland had an 8 game skid earlier this year too. Every team goes through it. I think the Giants did it last year too and they won the WS. Our 8-20 month was awful yes but we were going to have a down time this year. We're just not good enough to avoid those spells.

Frankly our defense is so spectacular it has kept us in many games we'd normally have lost in years past. Stops losing streaks before they begin. We have plenty of games left withe Cleve anyway.

We need them to have another one as well. Difference between us and SF is that when they got hot, the rest of their division did not. For us, we are playing our best baseball of the year, but so is Cleveland and Detroit. That is how we could win 11 of 12 and not gain in the standings at all. We just need to stay hot and hope those two cool off. We also need to figure out how to beat Cleveland since we seem to have Detroit's number. The goal is to have at least a 2-3 game lead heading into the final series because Detroit ends the season against the Marlins and fully expect them to sweep Miami.

ChiTown 08-05-2013 08:15 AM

Here's a look at the "34" wins I think we need in the final 54 games of the season to get the last WC spot.

August
Home vs. Twins - Sweep 3 Game Series
Home vs. Red Sox - Split 4 game Series - 2 Wins
Home vs Marlins - 3 Game Sweep
@ DET - 5 Game Series - 2 wins
Home vs White Sox - Win 2 of 3 Games
Home vs Nationals - Win 2 of 3 Games
Make up Game with Rays at the K - Loss
@ Twins - Win 2 of 3 Games
@ Toronto - split 2 Games - 1 win
Remaining August Win Total - 17 Wins (20 Wins in August - .645 win clip)

September
@ Toronto - Win finale of the series
Home vs Mariners - Win 3 of 4 Games
Home vs Tigers - Win 2 of 3 Games
@ CLE - Win 1 of 3 Games
@ DET - Win 1 of 3 Games
Home vs CLE - Win 2 of 3 Games
Home Vs Rangers - Win 2 of 3 Games
@ Mariners - Win 2 of 3 Games
@ White Sox - Win 3 of 4 Games
September Win Total - 17 wins

34-20 in the final 54 gets us 90 wins. Like I said, that is doable, but we are going to have to really stay sharp with our pitching and D to have a shot.

Prison Bitch 08-05-2013 08:34 AM

20% of the Rangers remaining games are vs. Houston. I knew that dog crap team would unduly influence the WC at the end. Then again maybe the White Sux do that for us

KChiefs1 08-05-2013 08:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tredadda (Post 9859458)
I would rather see Detroit win that series and I think they will considering the routinely pound Cleveland. Our competition is Cleveland right now and that is the team we have been struggling with this year. Having the Tigers help us out some would be nice. If we continue to take care of business and continue to play well vs. Detroit we should be alright.

I hope Detroit sweeps them.

mr. tegu 08-05-2013 08:53 AM

As long as we win each of the next four days, we are guaranteed to make up ground. That is a nice change!

mr. tegu 08-05-2013 09:01 AM

Best case scenario for the next four days.

Detroit and Cleveland split. Detroit is now 66-47. Cleveland is 64-51.

We win each of the next four and are sitting at 60-52. That puts us only 5.5 back of Detroit and 2.5 back of Cleveland. I think this is what we should be hoping for because we gain 2 games on both teams in front of us in four days. That would be huge.

ptlyon 08-05-2013 10:00 AM

It will be interesting to watch.

The fact that KC, Detroit, & Cleveland all are 9-1 in the last 10 games is unreal.

Fansy the Famous Bard 08-05-2013 10:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ptlyon (Post 9859659)
It will be interesting to watch.

The fact that KC, Detroit, & Cleveland all are 9-1 in the last 10 games is unreal.

And painful

Deberg_1990 08-05-2013 10:40 AM

When do they expand the rosters for minor league callups? Who will get promoted?
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