And the counterargument to that is that we've played the pathetically weak NFC East.

The Colts are a good team - you don't beat the Broncos, Niners and Seahawks by accident. But I agree that they are the best shot at winning a playoff game, especially if our defense decides to show up.

Here's the thing with Flacco that works to our advantage though.

1. Dude is a statue in the pocket. You don't have to worry about him escaping or eluding the pass rush.

2. He will take shots deep. But he'll also take shots when he shouldn't.

Our real concern in that game is Torrey Smith and that defense.

Hilton's not the problem this week, as his yardage home and road splits are atrocious, save for one game.

HOME - 20 (Oak), 124 (MIA), 140, 2 TD's (SEA), 27 (DEN), 130 (STL), 46 (TEN), 78 (HOU) for an 80.7 yd/game average

AWAY - 13 (@SF), 45 (@JAC), 43 (@SD), 121, 3 TD's (@HOU), 44 (@TEN), 38 (@ARI), 7 (@CIN) for a 44 yard average, 32 if you take out the Houston game

But taking away Hilton hasn't really affected Luck's home/road splits, although he's not putting up great numbers with or without Hilton having a big game:

HOME - 178 (OAK), 321 (MIA), 229 (SEA), 228 (DEN), 353 (STL), 200 (TEN), 180 (HOU) for and average of 241 yards per game
AWAY - 159 (@SF), 257 (@JAC), 202 (@SD), 271 (@HOU), 232 (@TEN), 163 (@ARI), 326 (@CIN) for an average of 230 yards per game

Indy's new offensive co-ordinator has really tried to make them a run-first offense and it hasn't worked.