40th birthday beers and using a phone without my glasses (or spellcheck)

That airfare and hotel money could have been used to sign a pitcher this offseason. Or someone who has played baseball in the last 10 years. :shake:

This^^^ is a very good summation. The long term +/- (deviation) on WAR is in fact 4 wins either way. (PyThag/run differential is pretty close too)

Good points. Would agree that 90 percent is the right mark for most teams. Outliers fall more into the 80 percent mark.

The Royals have been one of those since 2013. Believe they're around 30 wins better than Pythag/base runs/etc in that range. Would be interesting to look at war and see what that looks like.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

1 run in two games is pretty good

I don't know who that fat guy is that does ESPN baseball, but he is really good. Really funny but not overboard.

Happy birthday bundle of sticks.

http://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/2016...7eea3eb991.jpg


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Another 9 game winning streak should do the trick.

I'm perfectly fine w/ winning 9 out of every 10 games that are played from here on out. Should work out in our favor. :clap:

Tonight is not a must win in Miami, but lets go ahead and win it just in case...........

Oh, and Colon is batting 2nd again while Cheslor rides the pine. It's not like we are up against the ropes for a playoff spot or anything...................WTF!:cuss:

Seriously? WTF, Ned?

It's all that power in Colon's bat that entices Ned - 0 MLB Career HR's.

I love Edgar, but sometimes...................JFC

I think Ned was trolling us.

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Posted lineup in stadium wrong. Corrected version:<br>Dyson CF<br>Cuthbert 3B<br>Cain RF<br>Hosmer 1B<br>Perez C<br>Gordon LF<br>Escobar SS<br>Mondesi 2B<br>Volquez P</p>&mdash; Joel Goldberg (@goldbergkc) <a href="https://twitter.com/goldbergkc/status/768906275388260352">August 25, 2016</a></blockquote>
<script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

:clap: - Thanks, Dart!

Just use Mondesi as defensive replacement and put & leave Colon at 2nd and be done with it

Dyson should've started last night vs Fernandez instead of tonight.

It is but why argue with you guys...




Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

If Mondesi isn't going to play he needs to go down and they might as well resign Infante. You don't bring up your top prospect to ride the bench.

Let's just say if we lose tonight, we better win 2 in Boston.

What's our magic number?

69.

He needs to play. He makes plays to help us win with his glove and on the bases.

Cleveland has a tough series continuing against Texas and hopefully the Angels can run into some HRs to take the series with Detroit. We have a tough series as well but luckily we have our three best pitchers right now going. A series win this weekend would be huge.

http://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/2016...746ff230e7.jpg


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Four back looks like a mountain.

Well know we have to keep winning. And we play most of those teams. So if we keep winning, then we beat them, ergo - yay!

4 back is not a mountain, but it's definitely little room for error. On the +/- side is they play enough of the teams they're chasing they can certainly control their fortunes or their demise.

As it sits now, they're a long shot, so no worries about expectations (I mean currently, not at the start of the season), so enjoy the thrill of the fact that every game, every series truly matters.

Last year, August and September dragged on- even the players were seemingly bored and dying for October to get here.

Aside from that, does anyone foresee the Cubs not at minimum making the WS? That roster and how they're performing; I get a sneaking suspicion the goat, Bartman, and any other bad juju have been thoroughly cleansed. But, stranger things have happened. It's been a long time since a team has that feel of eventuality like they do right now. I'm probably forgetting, but I think back to those late 90s early 00s Yankees teams.

I still think the Division title is more in reach than the wildcard spot. We are 6.5 back from Cleveland and play them six times.

If KC can go 22-13 the rest of the way (88-74), I think the odds are good they end up in at least the second wild card.

Re: the Cubs, the only weakness I see is that it is a very K-probe offense. I could see a team with some great pitching getting hot against them and knocking them off in a short series, but they are - and should be - the NL favorite. By a good margin.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

We need some serious help for sure. It would certainly be better if we were chasing 2 teams instead of 4 or 5. I'd say, right now, we have about a 1 and 10 chance of nabbing that last WC spot. If we can keep wining series' and put together another 7+ game win streak - preferably with our next home stand against NY and DET, then who knows? I'm just glad the Team didn't roll over and die in August after that AIDS-like performance in July. It's fun just to be in contention this time of year. :)

I didn't even notice the 4 games back. At this point I just assume we will be getting at minimum the second wildcard. What stands out to me is that we are now just five back of the first wildcard.

I think the division is more attainable.




Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Which means we are expecting an even larger collapse from the Indians than we are from the Teams above us in the WC.

I agree that it's much easier to chase 1 team vs 4 or 5, but I think it's reasonable to expect the Yankees, Tigers, HOU, SEA and possibly the Orioles to fall back. Those teams are much more flawed than the Indians, IMO.

Right now, we have an equal chance at winning the Central as we do a WC spot - 3%, according to MLB stats

royals baseball: love it!!!

By the way, I'm really hoping that smash Sac Fly that Ken Mo hit last night has woken his bat from the dead. We could really use one of those flaming hot streaks he had in June, early July.

If we can get the division lead down to 4 or 5 by Labor Day I'd feel a lot better about our chances. A 7 game division swing in a month isn't crazy. The 2014 Royals were involved in that situation about 3 or 4 times.

The Indians are a good team though. That's a big hill to go up. We'd need them to really get into a rut for a week or two. In the wild card, we're within 2 games of the teams between us and Baltimore, so if we can hop them I think it's very doable.

How much of a collapse does KC need to secure the second WC? Let's see:

For KC to secure the WC at 88 wins (22-13 the rest of the way) that would mean:

Baltimore goes 17-18 or worse
Detroit goes 19-16 or worse
Seattle goes 20-15 or worse
Houston goes 21-14 or worse

Cleveland would have to go 15-21 the rest of the way for KC to take the division crown at 88 wins.

I think the second WC is still more within reach than the division, regardless of the number of teams involved.

Long story short: the winning streak put KC in reasonable range moving forward. The Royals will need to play .629 ball the rest of the way or better, but it's possible.

How to get to 22-13
W Bos (2-1)
W NYY (2-1)
W Det (2-1)
W MN (2-1)
W CHIWS (2-1)
W OAK (3-1)
Split CHIWS (2-2)
L CLE (1-2)
W Det (2-1)
W MN (2-1)
W CLE (2-1)

So basically... Split with Cleveland the rest of the way and keep winning series.

Looking a little deeper, if the Royals can continue to blast the White Sox and Twins at the rate they have all season, KC would go 10-3 in those games, leaving it needing to go 12-10 in the other games.

Sweeping the Twins and Sox in early September would change the picture considerably.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

They are without a doubt the best team, but I have a legit concern that the middle of their bullpen could undo them in a playoff series. I think that's their weakness. If you can knock their starter out after 5 innings, you could cripple them. I could very easily see a team like the Cardinals doing this. They mash the ball and play the Cubs well.

Plus it'll be interesting to see how the Cubs respond to the pressure. They might have more pressure on them than any team in recent history.

Good break-down. That's kinda my point. The teams we are chasing in the WC have all had some pretty mediocre runs this year. I believe it's more feasible for those teams to trend back to their norm than for CLE to play at a .417 clip the rest of the way home. Their schedule includes a shit ton of MIN and WSox games as well (13 gms left).

holy crap, just went by RoyalsPlanet... I don't even know what to say...

Also, I'm a big Yankee's fan this weekend (puke!). They have a 3 game series in the Bronx with the Orioles. We get to thank the Yankees for their sweep of the O's by sweeping them in KC next week:D

Hopefully you did the humane thing and shot it in it's head.

That place is a Hootie Cum Fiesta

I used it as a refuge the last time CP's resident therapist was crapping all over the thread. Other than that venting post, haven't posted in months.

Community here is just too strong to break away from.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

No way. Two spots available for WC, only one gor division. Only 5 back for 1st WC. While they control their own destiny vs Cleveland its still not more attainable statistically I wouldn't think

What happened?

Search your feelings. . .

You know it to be true.

.

Remember we play most of those teams. So if we win we're probably beating them and helping our cause.

I feel like tonight is the biggest game of the year for the Royals. If we can win this game we probably win the series and 4-2 road trip is amazing.

Yeah, considering those 3 teams play each other a lot in september, and we seem to have Detroit number. Man, every series is important now, thanks GMDM for not trading the team!

I saw this:

http://sliptalk.s3-us-west-2.amazona...901/alone5.jpg

??

Except all the people were Hootie.

it's like a bizzarro miserable user world where hootie can only hear himself talk.

It looks like a science experiment on a virtually-isolated person or something. I think we have just passed the part where the subject descends into madness.

ROFL

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Scheduled off day for Salvy Perez. Ned Yost says planned in advance bc late arrival to Boston. Fine after taking ball off mask last night</p>&mdash; Joel Goldberg (@goldbergkc) <a href="https://twitter.com/goldbergkc/status/769280888479842304">August 26, 2016</a></blockquote>
<script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

Smells fishy to me. I think Ned's lying.

That is what I imagine Hell to be like

It's possible, for sure, but given the race we are in, this doesn't add up

This?

https://s-media-cache-ak0.pinimg.com...bcb1bc7a17.jpg

Or this?

I agree.

Strange time to give Salvy an off day.




Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

It's Ned. You were expecting something that made sense?

Good point:D

Screw Google Now! I checked the score and it showed Boston winning 5-1. Then checked MLB to see what happened and they had reversed the scores!

http://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/2016...c0e322100c.jpg






Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

^^^

Good to see all those other teams in such mediocre stretches here near the end :D

Yanks got good return but wonder a bit if they regret selling.

Good to see Saul Good still alive. He was having some major meltdowns in DC.

jeffress arrested in Dallas dwi, pisses himself.

thank god we punted him

Dave Stewart was the last Black American pitcher worth a shit.

Uh. David Price? CC Sabathia? Chris Archer?

I have looked at everybody's schedule. Royals will make the playoffs, guaranteed. Today is HUGE. **** Price!!!!

Doubt it. They picked up an amazing collection of an elite talent.

They Yankees laid the foundation for a future dynasty this year. In a few years, they are going to supplement the great young talent with a couple of great free agents (Jose Fernandez? Manny Machado? Bryce Harper). And will be all set.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Eric Hosmer

I realize Royals fans think this is written in stone, but the Yankees have several core young guys who made need to play 1B - Greg Bird, Aaron Judge, Gary Sanchez. All are core pieces. Judge and Sanchez both have questions about their ability to stick at current positions (RF and C) and Bird had a strong debut/is cheap and controlled.

There are other big markets that may be better fits for Hosmer in FA.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

heh, Bryce Harper. Now theres a guy who seems like a perfect Yankee.

Here's some fun info:

The Royals have the following remaining games(record vs opp) :
2@BOS(3-1)
3vsNYY(1-3)
4vsOAK(1-2)
6@/vsDET(9-4)
6@/vsCLE(5-8)
6@/vsMIN(11-2)
6@/vsCWS(9-3)

Obviously we have had some success against these teams.

Twins busting it open against Toronto, 5-0, Santana pitching well so that should be enough.

We might not make the playoffs but with all these teams in it, goddamn this is fun right now.