Power Rankings Roundup - Week 6
I tried this out a week ago, and people seemed to like it. So, here's a quick summary of how the AFCW looks in terms of perceived team rankings this week.
http://i.imgur.com/hfZQKbk.png Over time, I might try and put together some charts that plot power rankings over time or something like that. Once all the data is in there, it's pretty easy to work with. Just let me know if this is interesting or if no one cares. :) Also, I have data for everyone, so let me know if anyone's interested in other divisions or anything like that. |
This is great, thanks.
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it would be interesting to see the teams we've played and how they move over time...
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I'll get through it eventually, but if anyone's fast at typing in Excel and wants to help, shoot me a PM. |
This is cool. I don't put a lot of stock in the typical "power rankings" articles but it's interesting to see them considered as a field of data points.
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Bleacher report shouldn't be on here. I don't care what some kid living in his mom's basement thinks about the NFL. Then again, ESPN is no better.
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Lots of work. Thanks!
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Great job daface!
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Face can do the data thing...nice work.
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1. NFL.com 2. The networks who air games 3. Other popular sites that come up in the first couple pages for when Googling "NFL power rankings" The stats sites were tougher. I really just went with sites I've heard of and kicked out a bunch of others that seemed like their rankings were way off. |
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I think we tend to sniff them out over time...the ban threads are rich in basement dwellers. Hootie, Bl4ckmon, BlackBob, KnowMo...all fat dudes sitting at a PC in their underwear eating cheetos...in their moms' basement.
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Sweet stats man, very useful. Thank you.
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Well hell...there's a guy on SBNation who does a nice job of this type of analysis already. I may or may not put more effort into it given that.
http://www.sbnation.com/nfl/2013/10/...eek-5-afc-west |
Hey DaFace, you're the Nate Silver of Chiefs Planet. Nice!
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Posted via Mobile Device |
I like it
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I like these threads. You're alright, DaFace. I still think it's kind of unfair that Rain Man fired you for spending so much time on the internet.
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If you need my direct email it's Danemccloud@yahoo. |
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Wait. Now that I think back, it was me with the body odor. He was just intolerant of it. I knew it had something to do with body odor.
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yet, a game with two teams with a combined 3 wins gets the nod for #1 cbs game this sunday.
not that we like you anyway, jim nantz |
OK, I've still got a few to go in terms of data entry, but I've got enough to play with. Here are a couple cool charts.
Not that this is surprising, but so much for the NFC being the dominant conference this year: http://i.imgur.com/lc3vzGg.jpg And so much for the AFCW being the division to beat up on this year: http://i.imgur.com/TyBL2l5.jpg |
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Pretty cool stuff.
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I always thought that Sagarin rewarded teams with tough schedules even if those teams lose to the top teams. Now I really can't understand their ratings at all. Atlanta is ranked 17th with a 1-4 record. Their schedule is ranked 12th and their one win was over the 30th ranked team. The Jets are ranked 25th with the 13th ranked schedule but are 3-2. The Jets beat the Falcons head to head on the road, though their other two wins are against bottom feeders. The Texans are also ranked behind Atlanta despite having a better record of 2-3 and the 2nd hardest schedule in the league.
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Dotted lines = next three opponents Big dots = when we played them http://i.imgur.com/nl2gPxd.png It's actually kind of cool to look at. Not surprisingly, every team takes a dip after they lose to us. According to general opinion, the Titans game was our toughest of the season - right up there with the Cowboys. The Raiders game still isn't EXPECTED to be a challenge, but you know how those things go. Feel free to ask for other stuff. I'm happy to play with it in other ways as long as it's not TOO time consuming. |
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Last one before I give up on this for a while. Here's a chart that illustrates who the biggest "surprises" have been so far this year:
http://i.imgur.com/YYRcJpm.png |
I don't know if this is the best place to post this, but at least you can add this into your aggregate, if you so choose.
I've made a ranking system that compares stats against opponent's averages in other games. For instance, in week 1 KC scored 28, compared to the 33.75 JAX has been allowing in other games, and allowed 2, compared to the 12.25 JAX has been scoring in other games, so they receive a -5.75 in scoring offense and a +10.25 in scoring defense for that game. The system tracks 8 stats like this: Scoring O Scoring D YPC gained YPC allowed YPA gained YPA allowed Total yards per total plays gained Total yards per total plays allowed It then determines the correlation between wins so far in 2013, and these 8 stats, creates a coefficient for each stat based on said correlation, and makes an offensive and defensive score for each team using all 8 of the stats.. Adding these together gives the following ranking through 5 weeks: 1 DEN 2 SEA 3 GB 4 NO 5 IND 6 SF 7 KC 8 PHI 9 CIN 10 DAL 11 TEN 12 NYJ 13 CHI 14 NE 15 MIA 16 CAR 17 CLE 18 HOU 19 BAL 20 SD 21 DET 22 MIN 23 ATL 24 WAS 25 BUF 26 OAK 27 ARI 28 TB 29 PIT 30 NYG 31 STL 32 JAX Or, if you plot each team with O and D separately (x is O and y is D) you get: http://I43.tinypic.com/30iau4j.png |
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http://wp.advancednflstats.com/teams...ualization.php |
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