Fantasy Baseball Trade Analysis
 

I know we did something like this for football so I figured we may as well have a thread for it here as well. Does this seem as completely one-sided to you as it does to me?

Send James Shields, KC SP from SP to HARP
Send Brian Dozier, MIN 2B from UTIL to HARP

Receive Daniel Murphy, NYM 2B from HARP to Bench
Receive Jose Valverde, NYM RP from HARP to Bench

It's not horrible because Murphy is a much better option than Dozier but I still wouldn't do it. Shields is underrated and Valverde is just a couple of bad outings from not being the closer.

Team A receives Adam Jones, Max Scherzer, Corey Kluber

Team B receives Shields, Lester, Hamels, Napoli

CG and Shutouts are categories in the league.

Which team wins the trade?

Oh i should've mentioned that Dozier is the last option off my bench. My starting 2B is Kipnis.

What would be the backup taking Jones place and who would be taking Napoli's place?

Napoli is a FA that would fill in at first, Trumbo would move to OF to replace Jones.

How about this

Team A receives Adam Jones, Scherzer, Lawrie
Team B gets Cliff Lee, Tanaka, Sonny Gray and will pick up Napoli

You are in a league that has Napoli on the waiver wire???

Depends a lot on if you need pitching depth/keeper but i'd probably take Team B's side.

Highly competitive 12 team keeper league, kind of surprising but I guess 1st baseman are deep

Yeah I'm team B and I definitely could use pitching. Everybody in the league thinks I'm getting hosed

I'm not a huge fan of Lawrie. Jones and Scherzer are tough to take though.

The way I look at it is I'm trading one great pitcher for another great one and two very good ones. Napoli isn't as good as Jones obviously but other than average and some steals they're not too far off from one another. It's not that much of a drop off I don't think and my pitching gets significantly better

Depends on scoring. If your league has OBP as a category, Jones' value is diminished. Overall, given Scherzer's K-rate, the team he plays for, and his divisional opponents, I don't know how you can trade him, especially if it's a H2H league where he could single-handedly win a week for you.

So I have one save so far in a H2H categories league (R RBI HR SB OPB SLG; W K QS S ERA WHIP)

My closer is Balfour.

My pitching staff outside of him is Kershaw, King Felix, Greinke, Tim Hudson, Buerhle, Bruce ****ing Chen, Drew Smyly, Yovani Gallardo and Scott Kazmir.

Fielding wise:
C Salvador Perez
1B Allen Craig
2B Brian Dozier,
3B Ryan Zimmerman
SS Jonathan Villar
2B/SS Erick Aybar
1B/3B Matt Adams
OF Yoenis Cespedes
OF Alex Gordon
OF Nelson Cruz
OF Carl Crawford
OF Will Venable
UTIL Mike Napoli
UTIL Josh Reddick
BE Dustin Ackley
BE Jedd Gyorko

Who can I deal to get 1-2 more closers and who should I go after?

About your only choice is moving a starter.

Send Alexei Ramirez, CWS SS from SS to TRUE
Send Michael Wacha, StL SP from P to TRUE
Receive Jed Lowrie, Oak SS from TRUE to Bench
Receive Domonic Brown, Phi LF from TRUE to Bench
Receive Addison Reed, Ari RP from TRUE to Bench
Receive Joakim Soria, Tex RP from TRUE to Bench

That's a very tough one to answer without more information about other teams in the league. We would need to know their holes, problems, etc.

Which of the following pitchers do you think I could get for Papelbon/Dozier? I'm not saying I want all of these (or even think it's feasible to get all of them for that) just want to see what kind of value you'd think there is.

Nova
Cosart
Hudson
Strasburg
Cole
Haren
Kuroda
Garza

Strasburg, Nova, and Cole are the three best by far if you could get any of those I'd say good deal

If I could get Strasburg for that I'd probably go buy a lottery ticket as my time has come. :)

I'm underpowered. I tied last week 6-6-0 by sweeping every pitching category and losing every batting category -I was down 16 runs, six homers, 11 RBI, four stolen bases, ~.0400 in OBP and .0700 in SLG.

Today, I just got an offer to trade Allen Craig for Soria.

Don't do it, there's only one or two closers i might consider trading straight up for with a player of Craig's caliber. Definitely not Soria

The guy offering the trade makes a habit of trying to **** people over.

Every league has one of those.

Do it

Trade: King Felix (future 1st round keeper)
Receive: Aramis Ramirez and Starlin Castro

No

Well I need to do something. I have no power in my lineup and am 7 category wins from breaking .500. Leaders are 2 categories above even.

Castro would do you nothing. Aim for higher than amram if you are giving up Felix.

Only other trade bait I have is Cespedes... which is stupid because that would hurt my offense.

Trade Felix if you need to. Just saying you can do better.

How can I leverage King Felix into 2 closers that make the value worthwhile

I know jack shit about fantasy baseball, but I'm finding it pretty fun.

Just got offered Julio Teheran, Billy Butler (lol), and Evan Longoria for Carlos Gonzalez and Ian Kennedy.

Thoughts?

Doesn't sound good to me...

I just got offered Teixeira and Fernando Rodney for Greinke.

That would be next to impossible honestly. Who could afford to trade away 2 closers? Might have to go for 1 closer and a batter and see if you could flip the batter for a closer.

Kennedy will probably get a few more K's than Teheran, but Teheran will have better ratios. Pretty close to a wash. So it really comes down to do you believe Butler can hit or not. Also depends on your needs.
Who do you have in your infield? And who would replace Cargo in OF?

Stroman will likely be called up soon and I'm looking at deepening my pitching with him. I'd have to drop one of the following:

Will Venable
Chris Denorfia
Asdrubal Cabrera

What are your thoughts?

I'd say leave Asdrubal but what do I know.

I made a trade, gave up Allen Craig and Felix to get Joe Smith, Soria and Morneau.

Now I'm about to get Kershaw back, and here are my starters:

Greinke
Ervin Santana
Yovani Gallardo
Tim Hudson
Mark Buerhle
Garrett Richards
Drew Smyly.

Assuming I can't flip any of the guys besides Greinke or Kershaw for players, who gets dropped?

I'd drop Smyly.

Forgot that I also have Kazmir.

I'd look at picking Stroman up in your leagues if he's available.

Denorfia

Rookie pitchers scare me.

Ventura is a rookie pitcher. But you're correct on rookies. There is risks. But depending on your roster he could be worth the risk (especially in my keeper league).

This just came across the newswire:

McCutchen, Werth and Jesse Chavez traded for Adrian Gonzalez, Kinsler and Kyle Farnsworth.

Got vetoed.

Also, the Angels are going to move Smith out of the closer role. The guy I traded him from picked up Fieri this morning.

I'm sucking in my keeper league. Considering this deal..

Give:
Shelby Miller
Jonathan Lucroy

Get:
Ryan Zimmerman
Gregory Polanco

Obviously a future move but I'm in last place. Both Polanco and Zimmerman would be keepers. What do you think?

Bats are more predictable than pitchers, and Polanco has elite upside. I'd make that move.

Most definitely.

The trade didn't go through but he countered Wacha/Lucroy for Zimmerman/Polanco. Seems a bit too high of price.

I'm considering making a Holliday for James Shields proposal.

With Sale on the DL and Minor and Homer Bailey sucking hind tit my starting pitching is just atrocious right now, and you can only ride the streaming wave for so long before it bites you.

I have Puig and Choo as my other starting OFers with Kole Calhoun and Eaton on the DL and Oscar Taveras stashed as a minor league player.

Shields is consistent and avoids the DL. I'd probably do it.

I countered Cingrani/Lucroy but he shot it down. We'll see if I can work something out.

Ok keeper league, I give up Cano, Arenado and a 2nd round for Kinsler, Votto, Lohse and a 6th

Keeper league question:

I have Villar, Gyorko and Carl Crawford. None of them are doing dick.

Can I justify dropping Crawford to get another seemingly productive OF?

Depends on how many keepers you can hold, what other keepers you have, etc.

Can have 5 that aren't the same keeper value

Who are you currently targeting to keep?

Gyorko would cost me a 11/12/13th round pick, Crawford probably a 15/16/17th maybe.

I think I can keep Kershaw for a 1st rounder again, and if I can't then it'd be Greinke for a 5th or later.

Beyond that I dunno... Probably Dozier.

I'd do that.

Probably no. Depends on keeper rules.

Absolutely. If the wire has someone you know plays full time. Crawford's keeper days are over.

Also, I have Zimmerman on the DL and my corner IFs are Solarte, Napoli, Matt Adams, and Justin Morneau.

Got this offer this morning...I'm WTR. Oh, and it's a keeper league. I put pricing to keep each player next year to the right. It increases $5 each year you keep him.

WTR trades Brian Dozier, Min 2B to HARP $6
WTR trades Hunter Pence, SF RF to HARP $15
WTR trades Michael Wacha, StL SP to HARP $20
HARP trades Aaron Hill, Ari 2B to WTR $10
HARP trades Adam Jones, Bal CF to WTR $46
HARP trades Gregory Polanco, Pit RF to WTR $10

Competing for this year?

Jones doesn't seem keepable at $46. So you are giving up a lot for Polanco. I'd stand pat. Especially if you are competing for this year.

I'm middle of the road. My offense is upper end (my worst cat is 5th (HR) in a 14 teamer). My pitching is 2nd in ERA, 4th in WHIP but poor in K's, QS's, and W's, and L's.

I've had some poor luck with pitching W/L. I have a smaller staff then others which is why my K's and QS's are a bit lower. It's a daily streamer league.

I'm 10th in overall record but my stats say I should be higher. I had a couple awful weeks right at the beginning which dropped me way behind but I've won the last two weeks 9-4 and 10-2-1.

Here's my roster, btw.

Jonathan Lucroy - C
Brandon Moss - 1B, LF, RF
Brian Dozier - 2B
Kyle Seager - 3B
Alexei Ramirez - SS
C.J. Cron - 1B
Yoenis Cespedes - LF, DH
Dustin Ackley - 2B, LF, CF
Hunter Pence - RF
Alex Gordon - LF
Shane Victorino - RF
Asdrubal Cabrera - SS
Matt Joyce - LF, RF, DH
Jon Singleton - 1B
Jason Kipnis - 2B

Pitching:

Anibal Sanchez - SP
James Shields - SP
Tony Cingrani - SP
Michael Wacha - SP
Shelby Miller - SP
Yordano Ventura - SP
David Robertson - RP
Jonathan Papelbon - RP
Archie Bradley - SP

I'd decline. Everyone loves rookies but very few trouts exist. Usually takes a few sessions and by then they are no longer a bargain for you. Of course my teams such due to injuries this year so what do I know?

I just made a couple of deals in my 10 team standard league.

Trade 1: I sent Kinsler to a dude for Prince Fielder. I already have Jason Kipnis so was looking for some power to insert into my lineup.

Trade 2: Sent Dexter Fowler and Felix Hernandez for Ryan Braun and James Shields. Frankly a little surprised the league didn't vote it down. King Felix is the best player in the league, but Shields isn't that far off of his production year in and year out. I feel like I got Braun for free.

Here is my lineup

C: Carlos Santana
1B: Albert Pujols
2B: Jason Kipnis
3B: Evan Longoria
SS: Elvis Andrus
OF: Ryan Braun
OF: Michael Brantley
OF: Shin-Choo Soo
U: Fielder or Marte

Pitching:
Kershaw, Shields, Teheran, Cingrani, Gavin Floyd, Peavey, Latos

Closers:
Chapman, Cishek

SP/CL:
Tyson Ross, Smyly

I declined. My teams offense seems to be working fine. I love the potential of Polanco which is why i wanted the deal so much but he's dramatically overvaluing a lot of his guys in my mind. (That was trade offer #20 or so back and forth)

Not bad at all. I don't know why but I'm not sold on fielder doing much but still good.

Yeah. He seems messed up bur even if he hit 25 dingers and got 100 rbi I would be happy. Plus he's nice to have to back up pujols if he went down

Sorry.

yeah no crap. Oh well. I got Kinsler off the waiver wire because some idiot dropped him. Would love to still have him, but don't feel like I'm out too much.

That's a shallow league.

I already denied this. Was I right to laugh in his face? i probably would've dropped Victorino and Joyce as well.

WTR trades Brian Dozier, Min 2B to TRUE
WTR trades James Shields, KC SP to TRUE
TRUE trades Jed Lowrie, Oak SS to WTR
TRUE trades Dayan Viciedo, CWS LF to WTR
TRUE trades Jesse Chavez, Oak RP to WTR
TRUE trades Joakim Soria, Tex RP to WTR

Give up Nelson Cruz
Get Kipnis and Adrian Gonzalez

Depends if you need a closer or not. But I'd rather have Shields/Dozier/Victorino/Joyce.

Yes yes and yes.

Will what I lose with Cruz in homers and SLG and gain with Kinis and A Gonz be made up in OBP, runs, steals and RBI?