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Sweet Daddy Hate 10-30-2013 05:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pam Oliver's Forehead (Post 10141994)

Completion % seems to consistently drop the last two games of the season.

Yay.

T-post Tom 10-30-2013 05:17 PM

NSFW (language)

<iframe width="640" height="360" src="//www.youtube.com/embed/PDT_Po_hjJM?feature=player_detailpage" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

MagicHef 10-30-2013 05:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sweet Daddy Hate (Post 10141810)
Interesting angle. Do his past stats show regression during away games as the season reaches inclement weather?

The splits have by month and home/away, but not both.

Alex's QB rating drops 10.1 points away, 84.6 (home) 74.5 (away), and he has a steady regression in QB rating from Sept to Dec:

83.9
81.5
74.9
72.9

Peyton's QB rating drops 6.8 away (100.1 to 93.3), and his rating dips in November, but recovers in December:

99.1
100.3
90.4
99.0

It looks like Alex is more effected by cold/away conditions than Peyton is.

Nightfyre 10-30-2013 05:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MagicHef (Post 10142052)
The splits have by month and home/away, but not both.

Alex's QB rating drops 10.1 points away, 84.6 (home) 74.5 (away), and he has a steady regression in QB rating from Sept to Dec:

83.9
81.5
74.9
72.9

Peyton's QB rating drops 6.8 away (100.1 to 93.3), and his rating dips in November, but recovers in December:

99.1
100.3
90.4
99.0

It looks like Alex is more effected by cold/away conditions than Peyton is.

Peyton spent the majority of the career in a dome. Did you factor that in?

Hammock Parties 10-30-2013 05:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MagicHef (Post 10142052)
The splits have by month and home/away, but not both.

Alex's QB rating drops 10.1 points away, 84.6 (home) 74.5 (away), and he has a steady regression in QB rating from Sept to Dec:

83.9
81.5
74.9
72.9

Peyton's QB rating drops 6.8 away (100.1 to 93.3), and his rating dips in November, but recovers in December:

99.1
100.3
90.4
99.0

It looks like Alex is more effected by cold/away conditions than Peyton is.

You're my boy, blue.

Mr. Plow 10-30-2013 05:38 PM

This thread is racist.

MagicHef 10-30-2013 05:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nightfyre (Post 10142062)
Peyton spent the majority of the career in a dome. Did you factor that in?

I didn't factor anything in. They're splits.

If you wanted to try to factor it in, one could assume that Manning spent half of his December games outside, so half of Alex's late-season drop could be viewed as equivalent. However, Manning doesn't experience any drop, so it clearly isn't equivalent.

Alex is more affected by bad weather than Peyton, as far as I can tell.

Nightfyre 10-30-2013 05:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MagicHef (Post 10142128)
I didn't factor anything in. They're splits.

If you wanted to try to factor it in, one could assume that Manning spent half of his December games outside, so half of Alex's late-season drop could be viewed as equivalent. However, Manning doesn't experience any drop, so it clearly isn't equivalent.

Alex is more affected by bad weather than Peyton, as far as I can tell.

That is some pretty shitty logic right there.

Sweet Daddy Hate 10-30-2013 05:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr. Plow (Post 10142094)
This thread is racist.

Was the couch Black?

Nightfyre 10-30-2013 05:56 PM

Looking through his "Outdoor <40F" split from year to year, he doesn't do much differently in the cold.

MagicHef 10-30-2013 05:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nightfyre (Post 10142148)
Looking through his "Outdoor <40F" split from year to year, he doesn't do much differently in the cold.

Where is that?

Nightfyre 10-30-2013 06:01 PM

its on espn.com splits.

MagicHef 10-30-2013 06:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nightfyre (Post 10142162)
its on espn.com splits.

One year was a 71.5, one year was 69.0, and one was 31.8, all less than his career 79.5 rating. The other years he didn't play in <40F weather. That's kind of interesting, this will be his first year playing in a lot of cold.

MagicHef 10-30-2013 06:24 PM

Peyton had years of 144.8, 105.3, 65.5, 97.0, 157.5, 95.6... and I got bored of looking. All but one was near or above his career 96.7.

I'd say Alex is more affected by the cold.

Nightfyre 10-30-2013 06:25 PM

FTR I was only looking at PM. I really don't care about smith. I know he's mediocre.


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