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-   -   Chiefs Wow. Denver is an 8.5 point favorite? (https://www.chiefsplanet.com/BB/showthread.php?t=278550)

Rain Man 11-13-2013 12:54 PM

Wow. Denver is an 8.5 point favorite?
 
Maybe it's discussed in a thread somewhere, but I didn't see it and I like the limelight of having a thread with my name on it.

I figured the Broncos would be favored, but I would have expected 5 points or so. Not 8.5. They obviously know something about the officiating that's not public.

http://www.arrowheadpride.com/2013/1...read-favorites

The Denver Broncos will open Sunday Night Football against the Chiefs in Week 11 as an 8.5-point favorite, according to pregame.com.


It's at 8 and 9.5 in other places.

One big question that weighs into this is the health of Peyton Manning. Early signs are that he's going to be fine but an MRI is coming. That is the biggest thing remaining that could affect the line.

Last week I asked the guys over at Odds Shark what the line on the Chiefs-Broncos game would be. The official line wasn't up yet but our guy there polled two oddsmakers and they both said -6.5 for the Broncos. The difference between -6.5 and -8.5 is huge considering a lot of games end in a seven point difference. The Chargers lost to the Broncos by eight points last Sunday so KC would have to perform that well to have a shot at covering.

But we don't really care about covering. We care about the Chiefs winning. Their 9-0 record speaks for itself but oddsmakers clearly feel the Broncos are the better team here. Not that this should surprise anyone. We've known all along that folks think the Broncos are better. On Sunday night, we finally get to put this question to rest.

Mile High Mania 11-13-2013 12:56 PM

I really pay no attention to point spreads.

KC_Connection 11-13-2013 12:58 PM

Maybe it's a little high, but Denver has been the better team to this point (looking past strictly the records) and they have home advantage. It make sense.

KC native 11-13-2013 12:59 PM

homer vote

Sannyasi 11-13-2013 01:01 PM

Denver has a much better team than the Chiefs do.

keg in kc 11-13-2013 01:05 PM

I'll be surprised if it's that close if Manning plays the whole game.

ciaomichael 11-13-2013 01:06 PM

It's reasonable. Maybe 3 for the home field and 7 for perceived superiority minus 1.5 for any lingering doubts about Manning's health.

notorious 11-13-2013 01:06 PM

I am surprised it's that low.

The money will go towards Denver, so maybe Vegas knows something.........

Chief Roundup 11-13-2013 01:06 PM

As I am not a gambler I do not know how this stuff works. I voted for the 3 to 4.5. My thinking was that 3 was about an even match at their house. 4.5 would give them a win by a field goal kind of scoring difference.

Mama Hip Rockets 11-13-2013 01:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KC_Connection (Post 10184010)
Denver has been the better team to this point (looking past strictly the records)

Except for, ya know, records are the only things that matter. Therefore, the Chiefs have been the better team.

Gonzo 11-13-2013 01:12 PM

I'm calling my ****ing bookie.

Nzoner 11-13-2013 01:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by notorious (Post 10184038)
I am surprised it's that low.

The money will go towards Denver, so maybe Vegas knows something.........

it opened at -8 on scores and odds and has moved to 8.5,I look for it to go to -9 or better by Sunday

notorious 11-13-2013 01:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nzoner (Post 10184066)
it opened at -8 on scores and odds and has moved to 8.5,I look for it to go to -9 or better by Sunday

I am right.

They do know something.

philfree 11-13-2013 01:15 PM

Two weeks to prepare.
The "worst' 9-0 team ever.
8.5 points underdog.
A hobbled Peyton Manning.
I'm liking our chances more and more with each coming day.

Chief Roundup 11-13-2013 01:17 PM

I wonder how much, if any, affect DumBowe getting busted had on those numbers.


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