Math does not respect the Chiefs
 

Even though we are the only undefeated team, we only have a 6% chance of winning the Super Bowl. Ahead of us are:

Seattle 35%
Denver 16%
Cincinnati 11%
Indy 8%

and tied with SF.

This is according to my nfl-forecast.com software using team efficiency ratings from advancednflstats.com

ROFL

**** math.

That's fine. The majority of teams we have faced are garbage. Until we have a true test (denver) you can't gauge this teams ability to respond to adversity. We are essentially a mid-major pounding on cupcakes in the mean time.

Your software really likes teams who throw the ball down the field.

Never though Andy Dalton would be lumped into that category, but the kid has stones.

All those teams could probably beat us. Math wins.

That would be the advancednflstats.com team efficiency ratings. That's because efficient passing has the strongest correlation with winning. Fortunately, the Chiefs are good at imposing inefficient passing on the opposing team.

The Seahawks are 25th in passing

I think 6% is overly optimistic personally.

Sounds like Advanced Calculus to me.

Cdcox, how successful have your statistics been at determining playoff and Super Bowl success in past seasons?

That's because their attempts are low.

The Seahawks are a very efficient passing team.

Wilson is 6th in the league in completions of 20+ air yards, and 6th in the NFL in yards per completion and yards per attempt.

They can get chunks in the passing game.

But they are 7th in passing efficiency which is much more important than total passing yards.

6% huh?.....So you're saying there's a chance?























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