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-   -   Elections I'll call it now..Ohio goes Romney (http://www.chiefsplanet.com/BB/showthread.php?t=266122)

petegz28 11-02-2012 08:30 PM

I'll call it now..Ohio goes Romney
 
As of last night:

165k less early votes for Obama compared to 2008

98k more votes for Romney compared to 2008 for McCain

Obama won Ohio in 08 in early voting and actualy lost on election day but early vote carried him.


That's a huge ****ing swing. It will be close but I'll call it for Romney

dirk digler 11-02-2012 08:32 PM

Thanks Karl. :p

As I posted in the 538 thread..

Rasmussen Ohio: It is over (my words)

Quote:

Forty percent (40%) of Ohio voters say they have already cast their ballots, and among these voters, the president has a comfortable 56% to 41% lead.

Both candidates earn better than 90% support from voters in their respective parties. The president is ahead 50% to 41% among voters not affiliated with either major political party.

BigRedChief 11-02-2012 08:35 PM

Pete, wanna bet some real money?

Aries Walker 11-02-2012 08:36 PM

All I ask is if (when) Obama wins, you come back in and admit that you were wrong; no qualifiers, no excuses, just that you, and all of the Republican prognosticators, were wrong. If Romney somehow wins, I will do the same, without blaming voter suppression or any of that jazz.

That's all I ask.

petegz28 11-02-2012 08:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dirk digler (Post 9078539)
Thanks Karl. :p

As I posted in the 538 thread..

Rasmussen Ohio: It is over (my words)

We shall see...

petegz28 11-02-2012 08:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Aries Walker (Post 9078547)
All I ask is if (when) Obama wins, you come back in and admit that you were wrong; no qualifiers, no excuses, just that you, and all of the Republican prognosticators, were wrong. If Romney somehow wins, I will do the same, without blaming voter suppression or any of that jazz.

That's all I ask.

If I'm wrong I'll say I was wrong. I have never had any problems with doing such.

cosmo20002 11-02-2012 08:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by petegz28 (Post 9078532)
I'll call it now..Ohio goes Romney

First Dick Morris, and now you, are calling Ohio for Romney. That is excellent news for Obama.

petegz28 11-02-2012 08:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BigRedChief (Post 9078545)
Pete, wanna bet some real money?

I'll never bet money on politics

dirk digler 11-02-2012 08:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by petegz28 (Post 9078549)
We shall see...

We shall but I don't see any way if he is losing that bad with the early vote and independents.

ILChief 11-02-2012 08:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cosmo20002 (Post 9078551)
First Dick Morris, and now you, are calling Ohio for Romney. That is excellent news for Obama.

I'm still waiting on that UN treaty to take everyone's guns

petegz28 11-02-2012 08:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dirk digler (Post 9078556)
We shall but I don't see any way if he losing that bad with the early vote and independents.

As I said, Obama won Ohio purely on early in 2008. The actually votes cast on election day carried for McCain but wasn't enough to overcome the early vote.

The early vote turnout is significantly down for Obama this year. If pattern holds true then election day votes could very well carry the state for Romney.

dirk digler 11-02-2012 08:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by petegz28 (Post 9078562)
As I said, Obama won Ohio purely on early in 2008. The actually votes cast on election day carried for McCain but wasn't enough to overcome the early vote.

The early vote turnout is significantly down for Obama this year. If pattern holds true then election day votes could very well carry the state for Romney.

What % did McCain beat Obama by on election day votes?

cosmo20002 11-02-2012 08:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by petegz28 (Post 9078562)
As I said, Obama won Ohio purely on early in 2008. The actually votes cast on election day carried for McCain but wasn't enough to overcome the early vote.

The early vote turnout is significantly down for Obama this year. If pattern holds true then election day votes could very well carry the state for Romney.

Where are you getting that?

petegz28 11-02-2012 08:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dirk digler (Post 9078568)
What % did McCain beat Obama by on election day votes?

Have to do some digging on that but feel free to jump in and tell me how much Obama beat McCain by on election day votes?

petegz28 11-02-2012 08:46 PM

Also keep in mind, Ohio is a Repub state when you look throughout the state. It will be close but I think Obama will come up short. Suspense is in the air!


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