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-   -   Chiefs 538.com weighs in: Chiefs "simulation" nets 10 wins, but game-by-game odds? 13. (https://chiefsplanet.com/BB/showthread.php?t=302007)

Direckshun 09-07-2016 11:43 AM

538.com weighs in: Chiefs "simulation" nets 10 wins, but game-by-game odds? 13.
 
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...l-predictions/

They only have us as clear underdogs in Pitt, in Carolina, and in Denver. We're slated as favorites in the other 13 games. We would theoretically be 8-0 at home and 5-3 on the road.

They give us a 2/3's chance to make the playoffs, but a sub-40% chance to win the division. They think we have a 30% chance to get a first round bye, and a 9% chance to win the Super Bowl.

Pretty weird.

They'll have an AFC West preview in a few days. I'll update the OP with it when it's posted.

TLO 09-07-2016 11:44 AM

12-4

The Franchise 09-07-2016 11:46 AM

Denver has an 11% chance (the highest in the league) of winning the SB? ROFL Yeah....sure.

ChiefsCountry 09-07-2016 12:08 PM

9-7

Chargers W
at Texans L
Jets W
at Steelers L
at Raiders L
Saints W
at Colts L
Jaguars W
at Panthers L
Buccaneers W
at Broncos L
at Falcons L
Raiders W
Titans W
Broncos W
at Chargers W

The Franchise 09-07-2016 12:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ChiefsCountry (Post 12408829)
9-7

Chargers W
at Texans L
Jets W
at Steelers L
at Raiders L
Saints W
at Colts L
Jaguars W
at Panthers L
Buccaneers W
at Broncos L
at Falcons L
Raiders W
Titans W
Broncos W
at Chargers W

11-5

Chargers W
at Texans L
Jets W
at Steelers L
at Raiders L
Saints W
at Colts W
Jaguars W
at Panthers L
Buccaneers W
at Broncos L
at Falcons W
Raiders W
Titans W
Broncos W
at Chargers W

BleedingRed 09-07-2016 12:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ChiefsCountry (Post 12408829)
9-7

Chargers W
at Texans L <--- No one to cover TE's
Jets W
at Steelers L <--- Fine
at Raiders L <--- Jack Del Sucko
Saints W
at Colts L <---- Lol
Jaguars W
at Panthers L <--- Fine
Buccaneers W
at Broncos L <---- Lol
at Falcons L <---- Trap game is what you're thinking?
Raiders W
Titans W
Broncos W
at Chargers W

Address the LOLS

KChiefs1 09-07-2016 12:13 PM

Those numbers will change.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

ChiefsCountry 09-07-2016 12:19 PM

Texans, Colts, and Falcons are the 3 games that will determine how our season goes IMO.

Pasta Little Brioni 09-07-2016 12:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ChiefsCountry (Post 12408829)
9-7

Chargers W
at Texans L
Jets W
at Steelers L
at Raiders L
Saints W
at Colts L
Jaguars W
at Panthers L
Buccaneers W
at Broncos L
at Falcons L
Raiders W
Titans W
Broncos W
at Chargers W

You pick that every year. Those Balls need to drop. This is a very good team.

staylor26 09-07-2016 12:25 PM

You know what I find amusing?

The pessimists love to pick out a couple games we "should" win as losses, but God forbid you pick us to win one of our tougher games against Car, Pitt, Indy, @Oak, or @Den.

Anybody that really believes we don't win one of those games this year is a ****ing pessimistic moron.

O.city 09-07-2016 12:29 PM

Indy is gonna end up with a top 5 pick. That's a win.

Pitt can't stop anyone.

**** that shit. We're going 13 and 3

ChiefsCountry 09-07-2016 12:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by staylor26 (Post 12408869)
You know what I find amusing?

The pessimists love to pick out a couple games we "should" win as losses, but God forbid you pick us to win one of our tougher games against Car, Pitt, Indy, @Oak, or @Den.

Anybody that really believes we don't win one of those games this year is a ****ing pessimistic moron.

You are a ****ing homer so it plays to both dipshit.

Pasta Little Brioni 09-07-2016 12:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ChiefsCountry (Post 12408876)
You are a ****ing homer so it plays to both dipshit.

This team is really good. It's not like he's humping the Hermines. Picking only 9 wins.... ROFL

staylor26 09-07-2016 12:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ChiefsCountry (Post 12408876)
You are a ****ing homer so it plays to both dipshit.

It only plays both ways if I'm saying we are going to win every single game we should. I'm not. I'm just saying we aren't going to lose every tough game either.

If you still feel that being optimistic that the Chiefs will finish better than 9-7 makes you a homer, you must've been sleeping the past three ****ing seasons.

BleedingRed 09-07-2016 12:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ChiefsCountry (Post 12408876)
You are a ****ing homer so it plays to both dipshit.

Still can explain the Lolz can you?


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