Thread: Royals (New) 2013 Kansas City Royals Repository
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Old 09-23-2013, 01:32 PM   #1193
CaliforniaChief CaliforniaChief is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: So Cal
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Quote:
Originally Posted by alnorth View Post
Summary of the above:

I think our chances are about 4.6%. If we win today and all our opponents lose their next game, then our chances are about 15.6%. If we win our next 6 games and go into the last game in Chicago with a 88-73 record, our chances are about 41.3%.

It is still possible to make it with 88 wins, and sometimes with 87. Our chances pretty much statistically go to zero with only 86 wins.

If we are not eliminated, then we are A LOT more likely to tie someone and have to play at least a 163rd game next Monday than we are to have sole possession of a wild card.
Got it. Interesting.
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