Quote:
Originally Posted by warpaint*
There's no shame in losing at Stanford but losing to Notre Dame is pretty bad and considering it's a second loss should keep any team from being ranked that high. The other thing about ASU is that they won a game they shouldn't have won (Wisc) which is inflating their #'s. If I had a vote I'd be taking that into consideration ranking them.
As for Wash they got hammered in all but one of their losses and don't really have any marquee wins. Looking at their schedule losing to a bunch of good teams is probably driving them being ranked higher than they ought be.
It's nothing I haven't said before. I like computer polls, they take bias out and make you think about teams maybe a little differently than you would otherwise but they're just a tool, there isn't one that exists that's perfect. ASU & Wash highlight that. Marrying yourself to those results regardless can paint you into a corner.
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You can look at Vegas lines as well, they too are extremely accurate. I don't discuss them very often because they're on a game basis and not a composite rank. For these discussion here and on TV studios computers should be given 90% weight and polls 10% at most. Computers and Vegas utterly annihilate polls in predictive ability and the research is crystal clear on that.
If anyone thinks polls are accurate, just watch the Heisman ceremony. See the regional vote breakdown. Laugh when you see the blatant bias. Why would people trust their team voting any better?