Originally Posted by duncan_idaho
Problem with extending Shields is that anything KC can really afford to offer (which basically means a 3-year deal around $18-20 MM) is something he can likely surpass quite easily on the open market.
I think he's going to age well... he's got the frame to hold up to the innings load he has handled, his arsenal is one that should age well (fastball-changeup usually does), and he's a smart pitcher. But there's also a chance he turns into a Jeremy Guthrie sort before a 5 or 6 year deal is over.
Can't afford to take that risk if you're KC.
Pretty much. If we could even get a little crazy and go 3 for 66-75, I'd be great with it. But the Royals simply cannot risk having potentially $40M+ in dead money because of age.
Naturally, the risk of injury is always there for everyone.