Originally Posted by alnorth
Yeah, if I had to play devil's advocate against myself and come up with a reason why I might be dead wrong about 2016, I'd probably talk about turnout.
If we knew for sure that the Dem turnout will be the same roughly as 2012, then the GOP is just completely dead in the water. But we already know that Dems are far less reliable on off-year elections, and maybe Obama really was the magic candidate whose absence will make some left-wingers more apathetic about voting.
I don't know man... I read a ton of news, and there has been precious little good news for the Democrats. You're a pretty lonely voice talking about momentum for Democrats in 2016. Here's another article from the Atlantic today talking about how the Republicans are winning:
I don't see where your narrative is coming from. Not that I completely doubt you. You're one of the few voices on this forum I pay any attention to. But I'm not seeing it right now.