View Single Post
Old 03-04-2014, 09:39 PM   #12
kccrow kccrow is offline
MVP
 
kccrow's Avatar
 

Join Date: Oct 2011
Location: Michigan
Casino cash: $-1130000
Quote:
Originally Posted by planetdoc View Post
A guy named Waldo created a Pass rushing formula.

Formulas used:
Mass = weight/height
Explosive Power = (vert+3.5*broad)*(weight/height)/3000
Speed 10 = 100*(1-(10 Split/(0.0114*(weight/height)+1.1785)))
Speed 40 = 100*(1-(40 time/(0.0397*(weight/height)+3.092)))
Speed Avg = (Speed 10 + Speed 40)/2
Agility = 100*(1-(3 Cone/(0.0573*(weight/height)+4.8403)))
Twitch = Shuttle - 2*10 yd split - (1.60 - 10 yd split)


Low Risk 1:



This is the other half of the last group, all the guys that both had a score of less than 1.10 in the twitch formula, and had a 3 cone time of under 7.0. Again sorted by draft position.

One thing to take note of is how most of the lesser players are slow. Show up in this group and a guy has a good chance of working out for you. Draft players in this group with confidence.

Low Risk 2:


Every player that scored above a 1.05 in the power formula.

Sort of unbeleivable, isn't it. Maybe Anderson and Barwin will buck the trend and struggle. Maybe Moch will bust.

Draft with confidence in this group.

From the original link, you can find data on 2012 and 2013 players as well. Here is data from the 2014 combine

The players with the highest "power formula" (which are most likely to succeed):
Clowney 1.01
Kareem Martin 1.02
Chris Smith 1.05
Khalil Mack 1.03
I like his attempt, but it needs work. Twitch, for starters, has a problem right out the gate in that being faster in the 20-yard shuttle brings it down, but being faster in the 10-yard split brings it up.
Posts: 14,048
kccrow has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.kccrow has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.kccrow has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.kccrow has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.kccrow has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.kccrow has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.kccrow has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.kccrow has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.kccrow has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.kccrow has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.kccrow has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.
    Reply With Quote