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Old 05-12-2014, 03:22 PM   #42
kccrow kccrow is online now
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Join Date: Oct 2011
Location: Michigan
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Fat Elvis View Post
Dorsey does Moneyball on steroids. That is why they use the Decision Lens software. The Packers use it too, and it is why the drafted Clay Matthews when everyone was scratching their heads when they made that pick. As it turns out, it was a good pick.

This isn't some fantasy football type software. This is military grade data analysis and decision making software.

The fact that Dorsey believes in this software is probably one of the reasons why he was hired by Clark. Clark is a numbers guy through and though. This software isn't just being used for draft decision making, the Chiefs are also using it to make decisions about free agency, how much to pay players, and who to let go.
I have an undergraduate degree in Mathematics. In fact, I have a dual degree with the other one being Physical Education, where I studied Biomechanics and Kinesiology. I could give a shit less that he uses a military grade software system. I understand statistics. I also understand human movement. I also happened to play this game of football at a high level I won't disclose. I've also studied draftable players for the past 15 years, and many people that have known me quite some time respect my opinion on players.

People around here act as though the Chiefs and the GM of the Chiefs are the only people that know anything about how a college prospect might transition to pros. Well, those people get it wrong far more often than they get it right. In the end will I personally have a shred of an effect on whether or not the Kansas City Chiefs draft a particular player? No. Will the Chiefs get some picks right that I think they won't? Yes. But here is what I do know on my own personal level, I've gotten more players right than Kansas City has over the years.

If you want a testament to my past, ask Sfeich, he knows.

My assessment stands at this point. Ford was a huge reach. Gaines was a value. Thomas is a McCluster clone. Murray was a solid pick for a 5th rounder, and was a good pick given they need to unload Daniels soon. The Chiefs made solid picks at O-line for it being the 6th round and there is a good chance they could hit on one, but likely not both. If I had to pick the one, it'll be Duvernay-Tardif. Perhaps I'll be proven wrong on some of those assessments, and I'm okay with that. Studying humans is imperfect science. I remain extremely displeased that KC did not adequately address the receiver position in a draft loaded with receivers. Thomas is a gadget player and special teamer in my book, and KC does not have an adequate #2 receiver. A guy, even like Devin Street, would have been good value in round 4.
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