Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr. Laz
Some managers have a knack for knowing when to pull a pitcher.
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I do not believe that this is a thing that exists, at all.
I assume we're ignoring the extreme cases I referred to before when a manager comically leaves a pitcher in way, way, way too long running up huge pitch counts. I'm also assuming we're not talking about obvious situations like a pitcher at 95 pitches walks 2 guys and loads the bases in the 6th with one out and that big scary lefty slugger is coming up so you go get your good LHRP.
Those obvious things aside, "knowing" when a pitcher needs to come out reads like a belief in voodoo magic to me, combined with our natural human bias to focus on bad outcomes and forget good outcomes.