Quote:
Originally Posted by NewChief
Hog's starting quarterback, Brandon Allen, is questionable. His brother, Austin, did decent backup work against Ole Miss, but there's certainly a drop off there, especially against a brutal Mizzou pass rush.
AJ Derby is also questionable, and he's our primary receiving threat outside of Hunter Henry. We've also recently kicked (most likely) Korliss Marshall off the team, who was our big play and return specialist. Even if he remains on the team (not likely), he certainly won't be playing this weekend.
Anyway, Hogs are down. Like I said earlier, I believe the defenses are a push. The real place where differences will be made is in whose QB can avoid the costly mistake (such as a pick 6). Both kickers are somewhat questionable as well, so it could come down to missed field goals.
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I don't believe the defenses are a push.
The Tigers and Hoggies have two mutual opponents: Georgia and Texas A&M.
Against Georgia, the Tigers lost 34-0 in a game in which the offense didn't bother getting off the bus. But what did the defense do? (Other than spend 43 minutes on the field?)
Yards Per Rush: 3.6 (Held Nick Chubb to 3.8 YPC)
Yards Per Pass: 5.8
How did Arkansas fare against Georgia?
Yards per Rush: 5.3 (Nick Chubb ran for 6.7 YPC)
Yards Per Pass: 10.5
Georgia only ran 56 plays against Arkansas while gathering 4 turnovers. It ran 87 against Missouri while gathering 5 turnovers. Yet Georgia gained MORE yards against Arkansas that it did against Mizzou.
If Arkansas defended as many plays against Georgia as Missouri did, here are the yardage totals, based on the averages:
305 passing yards
307 rushing yards
That's 612 total yards. Wow.
OK, just one game. And Missouri was playing without a healthy Markus Golden. Was Arkansas missing key defensive personnel in that game?
Let's look at the other common opponent: aTm
aTm vs. Arkansas
Yards per rush: 5.1
Yards per pass: 9.4
aTm vs. Mizzou
Yards per rush: 3.9
Yards per pass: 6.6
aTm gained nearly 200 FEWER yards against Arkansas than it did against Mizzou, in 5 more plays than it faced against Missouri.
Combine the stats against these common opponents...
Arkansas surrendered 5.21 yards per rush and 9.7 yards per pass.
Missouri surrendered 3.7 yards per rush and 6.25 yards per pass.
Arkansas's D has played great the past 2 weeks, but Missouri's D has really been great all year (except for one game without Markus Golden).