Russia, Iran, Venezuela and a few other oil producing countries with deep debt and budgets planned on $125+ per barrel oil are going to start seriously "cheating" on their production quotas to try and make up the large deficits accumulating on their balance sheets.
This is a self-fulfilling prophecy when oil begins it's decline. It is hard to stop until it becomes incredibly painful for everyone and we are nowhere near the bottom yet.
I said low $60's for oil but I wouldn't be shocked if it gets down to $55 a barrel.
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