Quote:
Originally Posted by O.city
Yadis sack fly was out 2.
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Fair enough but it doesn't change the analysis - Heyward still should have taken 3b there.
I suppose it's possible that Heyward's a mad genius that was looking far enough ahead that he
knew he'd open up the SS hole by staying at 2b...but I suspect not.
Your runs expected improve significantly by getting to 3b, even with 2 outs. He simply dicked up (because this team runs the bases like ass) and got lucky when his screwup put a shift in order that led to a run.